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upriser7
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Posts posted by upriser7
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2 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:
I'm gonna assume he means 14.5M
what a username lol
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2 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:
its 3PM pacific. Too early to give precise numbers. All I would say is I would be surprised if it finished anywhere near what is being projected.
is 15M possible ?
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38 minutes ago, setna said:
Demon Slayer sold 29 M admissions in a country with 120 M people (over 25 % population)
Bienvenue dans les cht´s sold 20 M admissions in France, a country with 56 million people in that moment.
Avatar sold 9 M admissions in Australia, a country of 25 M , i think these are the most impressive runs of a single market in 21 st century (more than 1/3 of its population)imo Baahubali2 run in India should definitely be up there...India doesn't have as much movie going culture as most of the Western countries (mainly North India) but what makes Baahubali2 run so amazing is that in the last 25 years, Baahubali2 holds the record for highest footfalls (105M+) in India and it's footfalls are almost double the footfalls of 2nd highest which is just insane. Baahubali2 released in 2017 and I'd note that footfalls generally have been consistently on a downward trend over the time in India since 90's.
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4 minutes ago, jma22 said:
In Spain, last Saturday (NYE) Avatar 2 = 250k€ . Yesterday, Saturday was 2M€ . That's the difference
thanks. where do you think it is going to finish ?
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I hope A2 can reach $60M here...this weekend hold gives me some hope but still feels like a long shot. Atleast $50M+ seems like a guarantee now
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9 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:
Sorry, but what's the reason of these increases? Especially in Brazil and Spain?
Jan 6th was a holiday in Spain + maybe possibility of 3rd weekend being slightly depressed due to NY Eve
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I am curios how this movie legs out in LATAM. It's the area where it has significantly underperformed NWH but it seems to have been picking up stream recently. It is now at 55% of NWH in both Brazil, Mexico..wonder where it's gonna finish
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5 minutes ago, CaptNathanBrittles said:
The first AVATAR's 6th international weekend was $107m, a 14% decrease from its 5th.
but didn't first Avatar also have late release in multiple big markets like Japan, China ?
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1 minute ago, SchumacherFTW said:
Genuinely, the only thing stopping 2019 levels of overall box office are the lack of movies, that's pretty plain to see Jimbo.
I don't agree..that might be true in UK but definitely not true in US. Post-covid, a certain section of people have significantly reduced their movie-going
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5 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:
I didn't even believe in $100M because the holidays are done. I wonder which markets are holding very well. France and Germany comes to mind first.
Spain had an amazing weekend of 4.8M Euros (+60% over last weekend).. someone in the Spain box-office thread said that this possibly could be either highest 4th weekend of all time or 2nd just behind Avatar1
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I wouldn't be surprised if Overseas actuals come in higher than studio estimates. They have China at $188M when cumulative number after Sunday actuals is $191M
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If the Saturday A2 number is $20M+, then I think Sunday number of A2 is being underestimated
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Inflation definitely is a much bigger issue currently than it was during NWH release time
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Avatar2 holds in Europe this weekend look ridiculously good.
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6 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said:
Many places had holidays these last weekdays. In fact, 14M is a pretty good total for its weekdays. Let's say it does 13-13.5M on Sunday, I can see:
Mon - 3.4 (-75%)
Tue - 4.6 (+35%)
Wed - 3.2 (-30%)
Thu - 3.0 (-6%) // 14.2M weekdays
huh ? which places had holidays in US last few days ? The numbers you are showing are pointing towards nearly 60% drop which I just don't see happening. A2 has had ridiculously good holds so far and I just don't see why it would change all of a sudden and have such a drastic drop unless there is some pre-sales data pointing towards that. NWH had around 48% drop last year and Rogue One had around 58% drop in 2017 and so far this movie is having far stronger holds than either of them
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8 minutes ago, M37 said:
It is better to just compare full weeks. For example, we're probably looking at a $45M 4th weekend, on par with TGM ... but like a ~$59M full week, which will be $10M less than TGM.
If they were to match weekends exactly from here on out - which is itself a huge IF - Avatwo would fall back to even by week 15 (which is September for TGM, when they're be more accurately weekend to weekend comparable)
why would you be expecting just $14M in this week's weekdays for Avatar2 ? That would mean nearly 60% drop from last week weekdays (adjusting for last Monday being Holiday) and nothing we've seen so far indicates we are going to see such a huge drop. Also TGM's 4th week was slightly inflated by $4-5M due to Father's day.It probably would have been around $65M without advantage of Fathers day and Avatar2's 4th week has a decent chance of crossing that $65M number
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Just now, Shawn said:
Both are staples here!
any latest predictions for the Saturday number ?
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12 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said:
top gun did 44.65
rogue one dropped 33% on sunday, that gets avatar to 44.8
TGM had Fathers day advantage that weekend...without that, it probably would have been around $40M.
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Is Avatar1 the only movie that has done $20M+ on fourth Saturday ?
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10 minutes ago, XXR the Conqueror said:
Try again, try again. You know there's a better number in there
based on the data you have as of now, what'd be your best guess for today's number ?
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Looks like Saturday jump was about 70-75%...probably a $2.5-2.8M weekend, good hold
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3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:
I am feeling good about A2 today > A2 last saturday. That is not an outrageous performance considering last saturday was down day. Question is how much higher can it go? We will only know tonight.
$20M+ possible ?
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So A2 4th Friday ends up being higher than TGM 4th Friday
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M3GAN W33K3ND THR3AD | ACTUALS - DADDY CAM3RON'S MAGNUM OPUS 45.8M | DOCUM3NTARY ABOUT KILL3R DOLL 30.4M | ORANG3 PANTH3R 13.5M
in Numbers and Data
Posted
not to mention, M3GAN didn't have many PLFs and had to compete with Avatar2