The Mad Titan

BP, CW and AOU all dropped 76-77% so it's definitely possible. Hoping for something more along the lines of 70% though.

So even though those who are tracking China are saying it's going to OPEN to over $200m, you think it's only doing $300m? Yea you really are a troll account.

How is this at all optimistic? Lets take $1.75b as the middle of your prediction. It's at $1.165 billion already. At a bare minimum it will do $150m more domestic (which would be worse legs than Civil War from 10 days out). That's $1.315 billion. China presales are tracking ahead of FF8 (biggest opening ever in China, $196m). Lets say it crashes and burns and only does $250m there total (basically impossible). That's $1.565 billion. You really think after making $330m in it's last 7 days OS that it's only going to make $200m more total in the next 3-5 weeks? All I can say is....

Seems to be a lot of talk that $2 billion is dead. That's just not the case It's at $713 million OS after 12 days. That means it made about $330 million in the last 7 days. A 55% drop over the next 7 gives it $861 million through next Sunday minus China. Even if it drops 60% a week after that (which isn't likely) it'll be at $960 million. It's going to do a $1 billion OS - China. Then comes the China factor. Almost impossible to predict the final number but the opening weekend is going to be $200m+ I'd put the floor in China at $350m and the ceiling at, who knows but lets say $600m (not likely, just possible). So even with $350m we're at $1.35 billion OS. Domestically we're going to end up around $650m. That's $2 billion right there with China on the low end of its possibilities.

Great numbers. Are you still being cautious with your estimations? I'm still hoping for a $550m+ run lol

Lets get to ￥75M midnight!

I noticed on Maoyan that IW is now at 1,029,324 on most anticipated. I believe that the first film to ever hit 1 million?

$285m it is! Thanks @ZeeSoh!

If IW has the same percentages as AOU going forward, we’re looking at a $663m finish. Civil War holds give it $625m.

Avatar is good. I haven't seen it in a few years but I always enjoyed it.

I suppose since RTH didn't come back with another update that 46-48 is where it stayed. I'm making my 4th contribution tomorrow so here's hoping for a $35m Sunday.

At best, we're looking at 2.2 I'd say. Probably 2.0 if it's a 9+

Yes definitely. AOE opened to $92m and finished at $320m. Right now, I'd put (based on the info @POTUS and @Proxima Olive have provided) the floor at $200m/$350m and the ceiling at $270m/$600m.

I think the general consensus right now is around $220 million. EDIT: With room to run.

Damn I was looking at Disney's 2019 slate. It's crazy. I can legitimately see 7 films that could over $1 billion worldwide and 3 of those over $2 billion.

No. It'll be right at $80 million by the end of the night. Tomorrow should be right around Friday's number. There is a possibility it ends up lower than BP 2nd weekend, tho.

Saturday, Minimum - $46m Saturday, Maximum - $56m Sunday, Minimum - $30m Sunday, Maximum - $37m 2nd Weekend, $107.4 - $124.4

I can't speak for every theater of course, but my theater is doing within 30% of what it did on opening Saturday. Idk if that's indicative of a $57 million Saturday or not but take it for what it's worth I guess.

Well since Deadline is saying it's gonna do $120 million this weekend with a $31.8 million Friday, it better be a lot more than potential. They're banking on it.

Now that we're so close, what would you say is the absolute floor and ceiling for opening weekend? Like the worst case and the best case scenario?

Shazam doesn't come until CM's 5th weekend, so that will not really be a clash. Godzilla 2 in its 3rd and Dumbo in its 4th are bigger issues than Shazam.

Think bigger! $641 million without China. A4 can improve on that by 10% I think. Then we'd only need $300 million OW from China and BOOM! $1 billion!

Yes, Trevorrow was replaced by Abrams.

I'm hoping A4 moves up a week like IW did. Looking at what's currently on the schedule it would have no competition opening to over $40 million until Aladdin on May 24th. Maybe after IW goes crazy in China they can work out something with the Chinese Film Board to open A4 the same day as domestic.

I'm gonna use there estimated 10 day total ($458 million) to do a final numbers extrapolation against the other 10-Day highest grossing films. PATH TFA..........$794.4 million BP............$789.8 million JW............$741.7 million TA1..........$765.4 million TLJ...........$771.5 million BATB........$723.6 million TDK.........$778.5 million AOU.........$670.8 million HGCF........$656.5 million CA:CW......$631.5 million Looking at this and based on how it's currently holding, I'm confident in a $675m - $725m final total.