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The Mad Titan

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Everything posted by The Mad Titan

  1. Definitely won’t get to $1.3b OS minus China. After this weekend it will be sitting somewhere around $850m. After that it may be able to do another $200m.
  2. Unless the 4 Avatar sequels come out **in a few weeks** Then 2...
  3. So here’s a question. Do you think China opening 2 weeks after everyone else hurt or helped the film? Hurt because it allowed piracy and spoilers to happen? Helped because it let the WOM spread and anticipation build?
  4. So no movie in the Top 20 of China’s biggest opening weekends or total box office has a higher Douban rating than IW has currently. I know the opening will be huge but since this seems like it’s going to be so highly rated I’m hoping for a 2.2x multiplier
  5. So IW Mon/Tues is 3.8% ahead of BP 2nd Mon/Tues. If it can match that through Sunday and hit $68m we’d be sitting real pretty.
  6. $250m is nice.... But you know what’s really nice? $275m! Come on China you got this! 😄
  7. Are all those things likely or just possible at this point? You think it’s going to beat domestic OW?
  8. The absolute floor at this point is $1.95 billion but the ceiling is $2.2 billion. For my official prediction I’m going with $2.09 billion
  9. $57m - $65m is in play at this point but yea $60m is the sweet spot.
  10. China opens in 36 hours. Going to be a fun ride this weekend. Dom will be at around $545m, OS about $845m. China can be anywhere from $200m to $275m depending on a few factors. The road to $2 billion marches onward!
  11. Tracking this for China has become just as fun/interesting as tracking it domestic 😄
  12. 4m is the target but what if it’s 5m? Or 3.5m? How does that change the target?
  13. I’m expecting $545m through Sunday but $550m is my **fingers crossed** hope.
  14. So 8 million less MN than yesterday but over 30 million more OD? That’s a bit unusual yes?
  15. I’m not sure how the Maoyan or Douban ratings equate because RPO is a 9.1 / 8.9 but Rampage is a 9.0 / 6.7 So IW is currently 8.4 but when you look at the differences above idk what that means.
  16. So it’s illogical for one to perform that way but not the other? Got it.
  17. Yea the first thing I said is “it’s not gonna do that much”.
  18. So how do movies usual play in China during OW in terms of how much is earned per day? Like in the US, for huge movies, OD is skewed because of Thursday previews numbers but Saturday is typically 10-15% higher than true Friday. Sunday is usually about 20% below Saturday. Is it the same in China or different viewing habits?
  19. It's not gonna do that much but I just wanna point out that Infinity War is about to make more OW than Ultron did total and 3x what the Avengers made total. So.... There's that.
  20. I’m hoping it at least matches FF8 multiple. It’s current Douban rating is quite a bit higher than FF8.
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