You seem to be confusing “most anticipated” with “most anticipated by Ethan Hunt.”
If you want to bestow the latter title on it I certainly have no grounds to object 😛
If you go by combined all markets opening admits, even with China excluded, it would be way below 11th, so I think it’s fair to say conditions are helping on net even as they aren’t perfect.
Could easily miss top 10. Considering that it’s got simultaneous release in almost all markets and ticket prices out the wazoo it’s be quite an unimpressive opening.
that said, B3
CGV start is 105k. Forecasting CGV end of ~190k for Fri of 410k (380-440)
KOBIS of 1.12M, meaning ~ 915k for sat and onward. Expecting growth to ~1.2M by EOD. Sat forecast (obv this is much rougher than fri):
305k cgv start
450k CGV end
990k day
CGV finish quote as expected with 141k. Had common d2 th pattern of same raw saw same day sales from lower PS. CGV ratios mildly higher than I’d penciled but very within normal range for ~292k
Kobis did not grow as much as expected, only 1.12M or so. Will forecast Fri+Sat in 20 mins just for fun.
Same factors leading to poor OD presales and walkups precisely indicated toward a strong th hold. Between the crazy runtime, no need to see immediately, and 3D plf desire this is going to have some funky patterns before it settles.