Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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I agree with the last part of this but tbf the “as long as” is a real open question.
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The dec 16 date was obvious untenable, but dec 21 would have been workable. Puss in some ways more of an issue (more direct demo competition)
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WW 4th, DOM like 11th? Could use adjusted 17day cume or something to be generous…
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By the time it gets released it will succeed on the first ticket sale
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I mean, I guess even tlj is in the past 5 years (by like, a 0 day margin 😂 ) so that’s 4 above this. Could argue for others but it gets murky.
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You seem to be confusing “most anticipated” with “most anticipated by Ethan Hunt.” If you want to bestow the latter title on it I certainly have no grounds to object 😛
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It’s not even in the top 3 most anticipated films of the past 5 years
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Too late
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If you go by combined all markets opening admits, even with China excluded, it would be way below 11th, so I think it’s fair to say conditions are helping on net even as they aren’t perfect.
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Could easily miss top 10. Considering that it’s got simultaneous release in almost all markets and ticket prices out the wazoo it’s be quite an unimpressive opening. that said, B3
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Cooper Legion replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Solid wed and weak th perfectly matches overseas pattern. Don’t bet on it, lol. More likely the exact opposite -
Holding steady with legion destiny
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I have 3M exactly, could go either way
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CGV start is 105k. Forecasting CGV end of ~190k for Fri of 410k (380-440) KOBIS of 1.12M, meaning ~ 915k for sat and onward. Expecting growth to ~1.2M by EOD. Sat forecast (obv this is much rougher than fri): 305k cgv start 450k CGV end 990k day
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Don’t worry cap, I have a feeling we can pull off more than 24hrs of Monday morning quarterbacking, just this once, as a treat
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CGV finish quote as expected with 141k. Had common d2 th pattern of same raw saw same day sales from lower PS. CGV ratios mildly higher than I’d penciled but very within normal range for ~292k Kobis did not grow as much as expected, only 1.12M or so. Will forecast Fri+Sat in 20 mins just for fun.
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The Little Mermaid had better hope not
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Pick 1: MDW releases are cursed Other 51 wknds are cursed
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TGM can't even see the high end of it's expectations from Orbit so I guess this checks out
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Stone cold baby
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True floppage will be if this thread gets less pages than the avatar thread… if you deleted every post except Jimbo’s
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I think this is how I had it a year ago. updated with copouts after feedback : tlas3=tlas2 loks3 loks4=tlas1 loks1 loks2
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Same factors leading to poor OD presales and walkups precisely indicated toward a strong th hold. Between the crazy runtime, no need to see immediately, and 3D plf desire this is going to have some funky patterns before it settles.
