Cooper Legion
Gold Account-
Posts
23,008 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
17
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Blogs
Gallery
Annual Subscriptions
Media Demo
Everything posted by Cooper Legion
-
The mcu has never had a film before where they had the rights to easily make a sequel but it wasn’t an outright financial success, so to some extent both “sides” are talking out of their ass a bit. But if you try to analyze an mcu entry as though it was a standalone first movie… well, I think you’ll end up baking in some assumptions that are way off base.
-
I think the DOM boost vs FFH will be roughly matched in old OS markets but not as high in newer OS markets, so overall less OS-C. Maybe 600+600 WW-C (I know I’m in the club right now, but just barely, rounding a little here). China sure, 300 maybe, been a very weird year for Hollywood there and mcu especially but GvK and F9 did fine and I expect venom2 will as well. Lack of MCU releases could plausibly help, or maybe hurt, real wildcard market right now.
-
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
They should have the trailer to attach to Ghostbusters, and I assume tickets will come along with it but it’s not assured. Presales runs have generally been shorter during the pandemic here, they could wait until like the last week of nov. -
Bingo. These movies are just threads in a grander tapestry. Eternals 2 will be green lit based on how it ties into the cosmic arc of phase 5 or whatever, not how eternal 1 did. I expect this to be marvel’s 2nd worst performing movie financially after Hulk — but if not for the rights issues I bet we would be on Hulk 4 or so by now despite Hulk 1 being a bomb. There’s a larger project here. The solo movies support the big guns and that justifies their existence beyond the individual financial performances. Eternals 2 was always probably going to be a pretty different movie to Eternals 1, just like cap 2, DS2, cm2, what have you. There were always likely to be other projects involving and developing the characters. So the performance of the first just isn’t as important as it usually would be.
-
I assume they mean that they’re not doing the like, SLJ Sebastian Stan 9 picture deals. Super big. Iirc a certain end credits character is rumored for a 5 project deal though. I bet both characters in the other end credit have about that much, and probably most of the main cast. Even if you don’t necessarily plan to use them for that many you don’t want to be constantly renegotiating after every project,
-
OW was -22%. I went 40% here because in addition to being a later in the run weekend, it’s no longer being fueled by PLFs, which do more constant business across the week. So getting them out of the basket juiced the Sat bump but should also hurt the sun a bit (relative to Sat, not really relative to Fri).
-
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
If Sony decides on a short PS run for NWH (I hope they don’t, would screw with comps) we could have a period coming up soon with no movies being tracked by Porthos -
10 brand new characters is probably too much strain, but 5 was a mega success. Considering that with x-men you have previous versions to lean on for some familiarity/investment I’m sure you could start x+men with like an 8 person main/core team in a 2 hr 10 min movie and have it go fine. Especially if you gave a more normal linear actiony plot for the GA.
-
I think long runtime exacerbates the poor reception issues fwiw. It’s easier to sink 120 minutes into a movie outing you’re a little skeptical of than like 200. I don’t think I would want a shorter cut though. I had concerns about it before seeing it, but to me it felt just right. If a buffer of 25 monstrously successful and well-received films doesn’t buy you a buffer of one like this (actually the buffer is a lot more than one, but that’s neither here nor there) then what’s the point?