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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Cooper Legion
    Iirc the announcement that it would be on hbo Thursday came much later than the announcement of Thursday previews, so I’m still expecting one. I don’t think hbo has had a single second this year where you could see one of their movies in a theater before it was available on max and I’d be surprised if they start now.
  2. Cooper Legion
    This would b good to know -- I assume it is. Looks more like 5+ to me, but it is hard to say how the final week will go for it. I understand jat's concern with the nttd comp.
  3. Cooper Legion
    Gonna lose top 5 pandemic PTAs to AQP2 at this rate.
  4. Cooper Legion
    Ouch for bond
  5. Cooper Legion
    I hope we see a good international hold this week to match the good domestic one — afaik there isn’t much new competition like we have seen the past several wknds. 220+230 would be nice.
  6. Cooper Legion
    Start at 6 with a near 3 hour runtime will obviously restrict preview showtimes a bit, but I wouldn’t be concerned about that. There really won’t be too much in the way of holdover demand, looking at ballpark: V2 3.5M NTTD 4.5M HWK 3.5M Dune 9M Ron 5M Soho 5M nothing else even worth mentioning. So it’s safe to assume it will get as many screens as it needs as long as PS are showing demand.
  7. Cooper Legion
    Indy is an interesting one for sure. I notably didn’t mention it in my “dubious about 300” post.
  8. Cooper Legion
    Gonna have a little boosted Sunday, but yeah, probably. Have been thinking under 60 since the preview walkups were bad and a sub-23 fri reinforces that.
  9. Cooper Legion
    We obviously have not hit such a ceiling. There is no such ceiling. How do you not get this at this point — it’s all product driven!
  10. Cooper Legion
    It’s locked, could beat NTTD+V2
  11. Cooper Legion
    BOP is on 40-55 and that seems quite reasonable to me for now.
  12. Cooper Legion
    MI7 would need a pretty huge increase over previous MI, afaik there’s no special hook to suggest it. Flash I’m dubious but we don’t know much, clearly 300+ is quite possible for a CBM if it clicks. Aquaman 2 would need a fairly mild sequel drop, I think it will miss 300 on its current date (and if it moves, probably won’t become a 2022 300+ film even if it is a 300+ film).
  13. Cooper Legion
    One per month? Works for me. Should just about fully make up for losing all revenue of nonMCU forever.
  14. Cooper Legion
    Per katniss data, SC had 55.7% showtime hold last weekend, Fri +107%, PSA +271%. This weekend showtime hold is 71.6%. If weekend will hold better than 20%, with inflated Sun, let’s suppose Fri hold is 80% on the dot for 1.3M or +174%. Then the PSA is +283%, basically same as last week. Pretty neat. Though this same approach would suggest 220k for FG Fri, which doesn’t feel right intuitive.
  15. Cooper Legion
    People recoiled when I expressed my desire for 6 mcu per year, but soon it will be the only thing keeping the lights on for the MTCs
  16. Cooper Legion
    It’s amazing that gladiator was a top 3 movie just two decades ago. I feel like these movies would flop now.
  17. Cooper Legion
    Can I get an updated forecast for Top Gun 2 now
  18. Cooper Legion
    I mean… I suppose you would think that. But I wouldn’t 😛
  19. Cooper Legion
    NA market got excitement from an overperformer literally 5 days ago.
  20. Cooper Legion
    Anyway, yeah. Might want to start weighting PS behavior higher.
  21. Cooper Legion
    How is AF2 looking?
  22. Cooper Legion
    Well, one of those should happen.
  23. Cooper Legion
    The only spy movie to draw the youngs will be BW2. The powah of Pugh
  24. Cooper Legion
    Hey! Show some respect for your real elders, ya whippersnapper.
  25. Cooper Legion
    As you can see from my name, it's an honory member of the club and thereby protected from Mickey's Law
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