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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Solid fri bounce for venom. Probably not enough for 2nd weekend record but should be enough to pass BW DOM.
  2. My target for 60M is a 17.5 Tfri and I think I would take 17-17.5 from what we are seeing in MTC2, but a lot could change based on other chains.
  3. 70-80% of SC Friday sounds miserable, that is 14.5-16.5. Is the gut 18 taking the high end+Canada overindex?
  4. Considering it is summer vs schooltime, the afternoon vs night pace may be that a greater % of F9 pace is for afternoon shows whereas more of NTTD afternoon sales is nighttime showings that then have less room to grow.
  5. Friday’s problem doesn’t come from being comped with CBMs. The problem is that Th walkups were weak.
  6. 60 not a lock then. We’ll see how fri walkups can go
  7. 6.3 without wed is okay. 6.3 with wed would be awful. Writeup unclear to me atm.
  8. V2 under f9 would be a hilarious way for the marvel top 5 to die.
  9. In the end, every business relies on the people you’re referring to as “lazy shits”
  10. Doesn’t really matter what the cause is as far as analyzing employer side consequences goes 😛
  11. A: Domestic top 10: 1) NWH 575M 2) Eternals 300M 3) NTTD 180M 4) Encanto 165M 5) Sing 2 150M 6) M4 140M 7) Ghostbusters 120M 😎 Halloween Kills 105M 9) Dune 95M 10) WSS 90M Backup 11*) the king’s man 75M *Only used if a film above exits the game B: Top 5 Domestic OW: 1) NWH 210M 2) Eternals 110M 3) NTTD 65M 4) HWK 43M 5) Ghostbusters 42M Backup 6*) Dune 40M *Only used if a film above exits the game 😄 RANDOM FREE QUESTIONS RFQ1: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game: A: 50M Clifford B: 100M HWK C 150M Sing 2 D 200M NTTD RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following best weekend milestones by the end of the game: A: $30 Sing 2 B: $45 HWK C $60 NTTD D $75 NTTD RFQ3: Predict the highest grossing film released in each month by the end of the game: A: October NTTD B: November Eternals 😄 December NWH 😧 January NWH 😧 RANDOM QUESTIONS OF DANGER 1. How many films in the OW Top 5 will release Day and Date on a streaming service? a) 0 b) 1 c) 2 2. If Venom had been eligible for the game, where would its final total gross finish? a) Top 3 b) Top 6 c) 7th or lower 3. Which of the following Studios will have the highest grossing film? a) Sony b) MGM c) Warner Bros 4. How many films will gross more than $100M? a) 6 or fewer b) 7-8 c) 9 or more 5. Which studio will have the most films in the top 5? a) Disney b) Sony c) Warner Bros 6. Which studio will have the most films in places 6-10? a) Disney b) Universal c) Warner Bros 7. Which studio will have the most films in places 10-15? a) Universal b) Sony c) Warner Bros 8. How many different films will finish 1st Domestic, 1st Top Weekend, and 1st WW? a) 1 b) 2 c) 3 9. Which of the following will have the highest combined Domestic gross? a) Eternals + Encanto b) Bond + Dune c) Spider-Man + Ghostbusters 10. Which of the following will have the closest combined best weekends? a) Spider-Man + Halloween b) Matrix + Sing c) Bond + West Side Story 11. How much will the Domestic Top 10’s combined gross be? a) Less than $1.25B b) $1.25B-1.6B c) Over $1.6B 12. How much will the top 5 best Weekends’ combined gross be? a) Less than $300M b) $300M-$400M c) Over $400M DO NOT ALTER THE TEMPLATE! JUST ADD IN YOUR ANSWERS AS REQUIRED. FOLLOWING THIS ONE SIMPLE INSTRUCTION WILL LAND YOU 20,000 BONUS POINT Just got off my shift and really got to go to sleep, so taking the DAJK option of putting all bond stuff here now and finishing tomorrow when I get up. I’d say I got about 60% done on my lunch break 😆
  12. Part A: 1. Will No Time To Die to more than $75M? No 2. Will No Time To Die to more than $100M? No 3. Will No Time To Die to more than $87.5M? No 4. Will No Time To Die's best day be enough to take number 1 for the weekend on its own? No 5. Will Venom drop more than 54%? Yes 6. Will Addam's Family stay above $10M? No 7. Will South of Heaven open above Lamb? Never heard of south of heaven, lmao. Anyway I guess let’s say… no 8. Will Chal Mera Putt 3 stay above Titane? Yes 9 Will Free Guy drop more than 50%? No 10. Will Candyman increase more than 65% on Saturday? No 11. Will Evan Hanson have a PTA above $375? Yes 12. Will Shang Chi have a smaller percentage drop than Jungle Cruise? Yes 13. Will No Time To Die's Domestic Total after Sunday be closer to the domestic total of Venom or Evan Hanson? Hansen Bonus: 6/13 2000 7/13 4000 8/13 6000 9/13 9000 10/13 12000 11/13 16000 12/13 20,000 13/13 24,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will No Day To Die make for its 3 day OW? 65,432,101 2. What will Venom's percentage drop be? 67.0% 3. What will Lamb's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? $900 Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. NTTD 2. Venom 2 4. Shang Chi 6. Free Guy 8. Candyman 10. Jungle Cruise Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000 Deadline is Thursday 11:59pm forum time.
  13. You seem comically misinformed about the job market right now. It is hard to find new workers!
  14. I am not a huge expert on bond franchise history, but this is the Craig finale and some finale bump is not uncommon iirc. In normalcy it would definitely beat specte nominal. I don’t think it would beat Skyfall nominal though since it is coming off reception of spectre, and certainly not beating Skyfall adjusted which was a clear overperformer.
  15. It *appears* — still don’t even have so much as a Wed actual yet — that it’s headed for the 60s. That’s a pretty solid result taking a step back, 3rd biggest bond (far worse adjusted, but hey, it is a pandemic still somewhat). But it’s also below where it looked a few days ago, and below certain chatter and ranges, and a bit of a comedown from last wknd’s shock record breaker which had people jazzed for oct. So people are a little cool on it compared to the alternate timeline where we were getting the same exact number after V2 did 60, bop was saying 45-65, and ps had pointed to 55-60.
  16. Eternals needs to beat NTTD by at least 50% to avoid flopping
  17. Actually that leads me to a followup about rfq3. Does it have to be released in that month (so, Jan releases only for Jan) or just whatever game eligible movie has the highest grosses during the month (so NWH eligible for Jan)?
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