It’s only an hour earlier than Venom.
Speaking of, V1 did 10*8. Going an hour earlier and being a sequel should serve to depress IM, but the pandemic has been boosting IMs a little imo. Expecting 6.6-7.4x. So to make top 3 OWs of the year would want to ~repeat the 1st one’s 10M.
Oh, MCU passed 23B on Sat I think. These covid era movies are really dragging the average down, will take quite a while to hit 1B now. Theatrical exclusives can hit 1B average perhaps between BP2 and Gotg3.
If V2 does poorly it won’t really matter though. Aside from Shang-Chi proving the environment is fine, Oct 1 is too late to delay a lot of the important stuff.