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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Cooper Legion
    Can Malignant debut in 3rd or 4th? Between being on max and divisive reaction I suppose it could go as low as 5 or so. FG would probably need 1.2+ Fri to target that and Candy maybe 1.5.
  2. Cooper Legion
    I’ve got money riding on a 450M WW, what you guys got for me over here
  3. Cooper Legion
    TSS still the only max movie with previews. I would guess Dune and Matrix follow suit, but that’s it.
  4. Cooper Legion
    Yeesh, this place really does like to seesaw between overreactions huh. TWS doesn’t look like a stretch goal that’s very likely to happen, but that is, you know, the stretch part. AM&tW-DS1ish is a great range for a first entry debuting in peak delta.
  5. Cooper Legion
    Some fine weekdays. On Tues morning was looking for the weekly cume to be 110, here we are. Going to want a nice Fri and/or Sat increase though.
  6. Cooper Legion
    In case anybody want a brief reminder: Endgame 1 The Avengers 3 Infinity War 4 Iron Man 3 5 Age of Ultron 5 Black Panther 9 Civil War 12 Captain Marvel 21 Far From Home* 23 Iron Man 44 Homecoming 49 Iron Man 2 50 Guardians of the Galaxy 51 Guardians Vol 2 55 Ragnarok 60 The Winter Soldier 61 The Dark World 73 Doctor Strange 96 Thor 116 Ant-man 137 Ant-Man and the Wasp 138 Captain America: The First Avenger 169 Incredible Hulk 240
  7. Cooper Legion
    CW was upper tier too imo. 12th biggest movie at the time. Maybe roughly: 1-15/20ish Upper (your listed films+CW) 15/20ish-80ish Mid 80ish and worse Low (your listed films+DS)
  8. Cooper Legion
    It actually is useful as comps for other low end openers anyway.
  9. Cooper Legion
    For regionals who do have a V1 comp (just Porthos afaik) I think it would be interesting to see on the applicable days (which are just the final 2 or 3 anyway) as a likely ceiling and something to contrast pandemic comps with.
  10. Cooper Legion
    Yeaaaaaaaahhhhh, so… 5-7 -> 35-50? Maybe it’s depressed by all the recent release date changes, but otherwise we are off to an underwhelming start.
  11. Cooper Legion
    👀👀👀
  12. Cooper Legion
    The previews were only 14% down. PA took care of the rest. I doubt a SMH comp would have performed all that poorly if adjusted for locations that became reserved in between. More generally, audience behavior can’t become more PS heavy forever, there’s a mathematical limit here. I don’t personally believe that 2018-2021 is a long enough time window that makes comps expired all on its own — the concern is more pre-pandemic vs pandemic , and first entry vs sequel.
  13. Cooper Legion
    Yeah there are totally some franchises that just skew backloaded even on their 2nd (or 10th!) entry. Maybe Venom will be one of them. I think generally they are not CBMs, but this is fairly "casual" are franchise as far as CBMs go, it's not like SPUMC megafans are driving up the day one sales here. Tl;Dr 🤷‍♂️ .... but wary 🤷‍♂️
  14. Cooper Legion
    Yeah on the one hand the V1 run provides some reason to believe this could be a pretty backloaded PS run. On the other hand counting on a sequel to be PS backloaded like it's first entry seems like a risky proposition.
  15. Cooper Legion
    Anyway one could argue with plenty of historical precedent that 60 would be solid nonpandemic, and even if pandemic improves a lot that would still be 50s. Let's give it a few more days/Keyser updates.
  16. Cooper Legion
    Nondisney/MCU is dead. ...we did it gang, finally back to 2019 normalcy! 😉
  17. Cooper Legion
    Had a pretty good idea for SC after 1 day tbf. I think my first post on this thread after a few hours was 8*8.6 for 69 3day, reality went 8.8*8.6 lol
  18. Cooper Legion
    Yeah, true. We’ll see what the keyser nums have to say for initial atp. Would be funny if they started 3 or 3:30 — the tiny runtime would get you a second showing with matinee pricing.
  19. Cooper Legion
    Also pure 4PM time will presumably drive ATP even lower than BW, perhaps as much as -15% or so from SC.
  20. Cooper Legion
    As a sequel I doubt this manages to match the final week ramp up of SC, and might not get as much screening/positive press help in the week before. On the other hand, delta situation should be much better for it. Early (early!) read 9-11 -> 60-80
  21. Cooper Legion
    Good news, my mind is safe. 6.6 still quite on the big side. Suggests O/U 40 rather than low 40s, still excellent
  22. Cooper Legion
    About a week earlier start than SC too.
  23. Cooper Legion
    Barely a movie. That’s like one episode from England.
  24. Cooper Legion
    Better yet, 7,500,001 will be safe
  25. Cooper Legion
    Why are we losing nine-hundred ninety-nine dollars here for no reason 🤔
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