Cooper Legion

Very well chosen target... for Saturday

If this and IM3 somehow both make your top 3 I can only conclude you're... A huge Trevor Slattery stan

OMG you and your awful Sun fetish

If CAN is spilling over from capacity limits could help Sun and Mon slightly vs otherwise expected. Let's see.

@narniadis that makes sense as a reason for the weekly holds to be worse than past Labor (although, actually, I think things are holding up quite well in the face of SC, better than I expected!). But it doesn't explain a worse than usual Sat /Fri, right? Fri and sat both affected by SC. My theory on the slightly low bumps is that it's not an unusually weak Sat per se but was a normal Sat+unusually strong Fri from a combination of covid/Ida/school factors.

Anyway yeah, this is why I was like "22 kinda meh." Low 23s makes perfect sense.

We've been expecting that for some time. Even before tickets iirc.

Wow, $25.23M #sorrynotsorry

Ah, the Sat post was showing 22 hours ago at the time so I just subtracted, but must have been thrown off by rounding. Anyway with MTC1 as much bigger, overall PS gross looks down quite close to BP, which led to 9% gross drop.

Not saying this is the bar for success in any way, but fwiw the post-pandemic record Sat is $23,305,929. Will easily set record Sun and Mon.

There was no “meltdown” over 22. Not even a hint of it. Go read the 10 pages after the deadline midday and get some perspective 😛

2 hours difference won’t amount to much I suppose, but just 8PM on a weekend for the west so not nothing either. Looks more like an 11% drop perhaps than 6% I had been hoping for, but PSm could always get higher increase so we’ll see. Either way, confirms there won’t be an unexpected Sun crash cascading an F9 miss.

I don’t think they take a smaller % hit than others, it’s just that they’re one of few who have release movies big enough that they’re still big after the % hit. Also seems like a lot of people don’t really care about 160k daily cases anymore — though if we can get like 40k for this movie’s OW it will still help a little.

70+ has been evident since last night, a 6% lift from Tfri would be a bit on the weaker side looking at past MCUs and adjusting for past Labor days. You can read my post or two just above for more thoughts.

If it happens, the gross is still great thanks to awesome fri, it’s only the % behavior that will be a little meh. Also would want to see other Saturday numbers — I have heard anecdotally of some schools making this a 4day weekend (FSSM) instead of the usual 3day SSM. Perhaps related to covid. That would make the Tfri more summer like and partially explain the strong Tfri/Th ratio. There’s also the Ida situation as a bit of a wildcard. So I’m not calling anything meh yet, and I won’t until we get Sat actuals for all movies. I’m just saying that a 22.5+ makes more sense to me from the Fri num and considering it’s not even 6 PM yet it should be totally possible 🤞

Deadline’s num was a joke from the jump, why would I care how it compares to that? I won’t call 10% meh but 6% would be slightly on the meh side for me from looking at Labor Day and MCU history.

Hope we have a repeat of last night here. This would be non-disastrous but pretty meh

So the only credible threat to a “top 5 OWs all marvel” at this point is NTTD I guess? Or V2 missing F9, in which case you still get top 4 MCU.

Oh yeah, lol. This is my interpretation, vs same point would be awful but keyser gave as % of final previously.

West coast has barely starting going at 4:30. I assume that is where a lot of the late strength came from yesterday.

I would like to lodge a complaint about the title, this is set to be the 2nd biggest opening of the year

Don’t think we see this for theatrical exclusives, it’s just that a majority of blockbusters have been hybrid so that general vibe develops. Anyway the way to be pessimistic about Sat is forecasting a 7% increase, not a 7% decrease.

Really curious how the Sun PS will end up compared to Sat. And if they’re down like, 15%, what to make of that for gross.

Ida, the POWAH

The inflated Sun is gonna make things tough. Right now got it 38 dropping from 75 and that’s with quite a nice -30% Sat. Could pull a free guy though, would love to see it.