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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Cooper Legion
    Are you somehow under the impression that I don’t know about these movies? What is your point, precisely, because it sure as shit isn’t going to disprove mine.
  2. Cooper Legion
    Simu casting, like some other elements of the trailer, seems more focused on American appeal based on personality/comedic chops. And acting ability/fit with the character is much more important than looks, so I’ll wait til seeing the movie to judge. But Sarah Halley Finn verrrrrrrrry rarely misses.
  3. Cooper Legion
    I think the only 125 in this thread has been when I said 125 4-day (including Labor Day Mon) — which would be maybe 95 TFSS. DS1 level.
  4. Cooper Legion
    Not sure if people realize but Incredible Hulk, Thor 1, C:TFA, and DS1 all had OWs ranked 55-65. That range is 95M-105M nowadays. It doesn’t take being an especially strong first entry to hit that kind of range.p for MCU OWs.
  5. Cooper Legion
    It’s simple. 100ish is the figure for a lower interest new character. For a non-AM sequel 150+ is more what to aim for. ... pre-pandemic, that is. Degree on pandemic impact on Sep 3 quite hazy atm, but I expect low.
  6. Cooper Legion
    They were estimating around 2k as of late last week: https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-forecast-a-quiet-place-part-ii-and-f9-hope-to-shepherd-the-next-phase-of-global-recovery/
  7. Cooper Legion
    Ah, okay. Interesting. For purposes of the fantasy movie league it will be quite important whether the official weekend figure is FSS or TFSS — though I guess I can just make it one way or the other by fiat if there’s any uncertainty. Anything north of 5 for previews would be pretty great imo. I mean even 4M previews*3.3 prev:wknd would get it a figure that would be really strong for anime films even under normal conditions, and far above what I expected 10 days ago. Edit: Hah, jinx 😉
  8. Cooper Legion
    I can’t see anyway other way to interpret the posts that makes sense, But... it’s not 😆 I mean, this is just a normal Friday opener with Thursday previews, right? Or is Thursday actually the OD?
  9. Cooper Legion
    I feel like I can rarely tell which days keyser means with “OD” or “D2” for this movie. Is 6.5-7 tpsupposed to be the actual OD figure (Th+Fri?). Or just previews? And D2 is Saturday, but since it’s being compared with MK’s OD I guess that’s how he’s referring to Friday? So then afaik we don’t know how actual D2 (Sat) looking? Anyway 6.5 would be a nutso good preview figure, if those nums are Th only I definitely expect it will go lower as sales remain relatively tapped out. But 6.5M Th+Fr would be pretty disappointing at this point.
  10. Cooper Legion
    Yeah this is deliberately not pandering. Or at least, like CRA, “pandering” more toward Asian Americans than actual Chinese audiences.
  11. Cooper Legion
    mUlTiVeRsE
  12. Cooper Legion
    I’d have BW ahead with identical release conditions, but it’s hybrid and will have some more markets still severely impacted by COVID.
  13. Cooper Legion
    About to hit the 3 hr mark the trailer is pacing about 20-25% above BW’s 1st trailer in YT likes. Not sure if that’s actually an improvement since I forget the timing for BW and there’s probably been some general YT inflation. But probably gonna end up mid-high 1Ms. Very normal for MCU - unlike Ant-man movies.
  14. Cooper Legion
    I could have been more clear about that, but my comment was part of a discussion of what it would have done sans pandemic. Pn the other hand, we won’t really be in a pandemic in Sep. It’s far from clear that this will even do lower in reality than with say a 2020 Labor Day release in a world where the pandemic never happened. Finally the diminishing return expectation doesn’t really have anything pointing to it. If anything the evidence is that the MCU would have seen increasing returns.
  15. Cooper Legion
    Both Ant-man films did very unusually low numbers for MCU. Expecting AM&tW numbers for any other movie is de facto pretty pessimistic.
  16. Cooper Legion
    Normal would probably do standard Marvel stuff, 100/300/900 or something. Shouldn’t get a hybrid release, but a little lingering impact in some markets is likely from COVID. Possible that in other markets early Sep is still part of the reopening boom though.
  17. Cooper Legion
    Hoping there is some twist with Awkwafina’s character.
  18. Cooper Legion
    Just realized these are the same vibes I got from the finished product of Raya.
  19. Cooper Legion
    Numerically idno, 125M 4-day, 260 total? China was hoping for like 250 now will hope for 150, and that gets you to some 800 WW.
  20. Cooper Legion
    First MCU first trailer in a long time that I don’t really like. Still expecting to enjoy the movie of course but felt a bit more goofy and American than I was hoping for.
  21. Cooper Legion
    At last, denting has arrived.
  22. Cooper Legion
    Trailer should come in the next 12 hours or so
  23. Cooper Legion
    WB just posted all their pandemic dailies to Mojo, so looks like daily reporting is back on.
  24. Cooper Legion
    I guess at this point I should try to see if we can dig anything up on Broly and MHA 2019.
  25. Cooper Legion
    If a majority of reserved seats are for DS, then I guess a majority of PWPs for openers that weekend are also for DS. Would be nice to get more clarity, but c'est la vie
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