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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Cooper Legion
    So we expect the without PWP numbers were what, ballpark 8.6 D1 and 6 D2? That’s a 30% drop, PS were down roughly 49% so PSm up about 36%. I think PSm for D3 can be some 50-70% up from OD* with more screenings and fewer capacity issues, would be 10-11.5 sans PWP maybe 11-13 actual. *That’s 10-25% up from D2. Maybe it can go even higher being a holiday and weekend eve, but there are also some factors working against too much PSm growth — namely, higher PS.
  2. Cooper Legion
  3. Cooper Legion
    God I love Zemo
  4. Cooper Legion
    It’s not actuals (which would be like, $9,587,139 or whatever). We don’t get actuals from WB anymore. But it’s not just Deadline cobbling some guess together from industry sources either. It’s an official estimate, could get updated later on to 9.5 or 9.7 or something but I din’t expect they will.
  5. Cooper Legion
    Reasonable: 9.6-7-13-14-10 (~54) Or optimistic: 9.6-7-14.5-15.5-11 (~58) Club is not dead I guess but does need a lot going right (mostly perhaps Sat bump can beat above).
  6. Cooper Legion
    Think MK will overperform. After that is pretty barren until MDW ... unless studios move some stuff up after GvK
  7. Cooper Legion
    Yep. And yep.
  8. Cooper Legion
    We can’t help it if media outlets wanna be silly 😎
  9. Cooper Legion
    So begins mothragate
  10. Cooper Legion
    All I want is for it to do 48M+ so we can get a bunch of misleading headlines about out opening KOTM that totally elide the 3-day vs 5-day distinction.
  11. Cooper Legion
    We have very little context domestically for schoolday D2 sales being 35% of D1 near the end of PS run (really a bit better since PWPs). But internationally I would consider that very healthy. Also wouldn’t BW surprised if an unusually high number of people try to walk up to sold out showings on OD and some of them spillover into D2.
  12. Cooper Legion
    Not in Cali 😁
  13. Cooper Legion
    Getting like 90 minutes in the first week is a treat. It does also mean a real possibility of ending before Loki premiers.
  14. Cooper Legion
    No, it will be very hard at this point for the 5-day to beat 57.9M. I guess not quite impossible
  15. Cooper Legion
    Woah, didn’t realize Tenet set this in the first place. I guess with continuing construction this record will be broken a lot in next few years?
  16. Cooper Legion
    Yeah, but it’s spread out with different districts all across country having at different weeks. Last week (that is to say, March 15-19) was the biggest spring break effect I think we’ll have this year in terms of districts overlapping. Not much break effect for GvK week I think, but see how Monday dailies come in I guess — esp for kids movies.
  17. Cooper Legion
    I guess that’s the difference between school day Wed and winter Fri. More demand from 10-5 and after 9. GvK showings might also be constrained by cleaning policies, which seem to be ubiquitous despite being kind of silly. The big question for GvK imo is how much that showings/loc can increase from the current value.
  18. Cooper Legion
    Oh yeah, today is Sun, so only 2 more days to go. Keyser’s T-3 notation was throwing me off, for e.g. China or SK I think we’d refer to this as the D-2 figure.
  19. Cooper Legion
    Can’t tell if 150/130 we’re talking about is final PS or end of OD total sales.
  20. Cooper Legion
    This whole discussion feels kind of stupid to me, IMDb is an audience score. The RT (critic) score is a... critic score. It’s not like they’re different versions or approaches to the same thing, they’re just different things by design. Compare the IMDb score to RT audience scores if you must compare IMDb and RT (which, really — you don’t).
  21. Cooper Legion
    To be fair though, some critics will spend their whole review discussing it even if there wasn’t much. Luckily most don’t, and some do the opposite, and then the magic of aggregation comes into play.
  22. Cooper Legion
    DTC first is not DTC only.
  23. Cooper Legion
    I think it’s a possibility as well, but not a huge one.
  24. Cooper Legion
    Final PS only indicated 75M or so. It was a few days before that where it looked like it could target 90+
  25. Cooper Legion
    Would need to add like 2.4x the 3-day. It’s not impossible, reception does seem good, but just seems like optimistic legs for me. On the other hand things do seem to be legging well here recently, don’t know of any huge competition. So maybe.
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