Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Cooper Legion replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Forget it Johnny, it’s exceltown -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Cooper Legion replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Sacto did at last kick up slightly: T-2 8.99M T-1 9.13M Without S2: T-2 8.28M T-1 8.56M Without JW4: T-4 9.56 T-3 9.31 T-2 9.24 9.34M My overall impression at T-1: Legion Flash OW ForecastMatrix Thursday Preview Gross Range $8.75 $9.00 $9.25 $9.50 $9.75 $10.00 $10.25 $10.50 $10.75 Thur / Wknd Ratio (IM) 5.275 $46.16 $47.48 $48.79 $50.11 $51.43 $52.75 $54.07 $55.39 $56.71 5.45 $47.69 $49.05 $50.41 $51.78 $53.14 $54.50 $55.86 $57.23 $58.59 5.625 $49.22 $50.63 $52.03 $53.44 $54.84 $56.25 $57.66 $59.06 $60.47 5.8 $50.75 $52.20 $53.65 $55.10 $56.55 $58.00 $59.45 $60.90 $62.35 5.975 $52.28 $53.78 $55.27 $56.76 $58.26 $59.75 $61.24 $62.74 $64.23 6.15 $53.81 $55.35 $56.89 $58.43 $59.96 $61.50 $63.04 $64.58 $66.11 6.325 $55.34 $56.93 $58.51 $60.09 $61.67 $63.25 $64.83 $66.41 $67.99 6.5 $56.88 $58.50 $60.13 $61.75 $63.38 $65.00 $66.63 $68.25 $69.88 6.675 $58.41 $60.08 $61.74 $63.41 $65.08 $66.75 $68.42 $70.09 $71.76 -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Cooper Legion replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Believe in the power of multiverses -
contest The Flash — Domestic Opening Weekend Contest!!
Cooper Legion replied to XXRDJisDoctorDoom's topic in The Speakeasy
49999999 -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Cooper Legion replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Elementals and Indiana each seem to be having a critical recovery from their panning at Cannes which could contribute to somewhat unusual presale trajectories (though to be clear I’d expect the effect to be minor overall). Indiana Jones (and MI7) should be able to track a more RotB/F10/AtSV kind of final week rather than the live action CBMs as long as the impression is “yeah it’s pretty solid for what you’d expect.” Jury still out though. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Cooper Legion replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
This is probably not a significant difference compared to a week ago when rotb did fine, or a week before that when Atsv did awesome, or a week before that when mermaid did solid. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Cooper Legion replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
The discussion was purely about final vs the initial BOP range (135-175 Ava, 115-140 flash). With a serious chance to go under half the low end Flash is shaping up to be maybe the biggest divergence on a movie post pandemic (aside from initial range 6-8 actual 1.5 kinda stuff which is a different boat). -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Cooper Legion replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Initial range 135-175, actual 134. Pretty fine. I haven’t explicitly been keeping track or anything but I think some of the biggest misses (for movies opening like 20M+) have been: TSS Shazam Flash -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Cooper Legion replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Hmm those actually look nicer than I expected (in the sense that over like 5-6 movies no clearly poor result). Clearly some information loss is inevitable when condensing multiple nums into a single num and the process used isn’t perfect or anything but I do think it should have some predictive value and make it easier to see day to day movement at a glance (compared to a day where say 4 comps move up and 3 down etc). -
I would guess 7-9M finish but 5 is possible I suppose
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Weekday Thread | WED NUM - Spidey $6.4M TF7 $4.3M TLM $3.0M
Cooper Legion replied to Issac Newton's topic in Numbers and Data
Gotg3 chugging along with nice holds, can probably maintain decent screens until at least MI and maybe even Barbie/oppen with the way things are going. 360s with a slight chance of hitting 370 for ~3.1x -
Weekday Thread | WED NUM - Spidey $6.4M TF7 $4.3M TLM $3.0M
Cooper Legion replied to Issac Newton's topic in Numbers and Data
Wonder Woman probably had more competition than sv will tbf -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Cooper Legion replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Even 70 is quite a clear highball at this point -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Cooper Legion replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Note that these *do* still include JW4 to remain apples to apples. Without JW4: T-4 9.56 T-3 9.31 T-2 9.24 -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Cooper Legion replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Ad here I was about to congratulate you on rejoining the graveyard side -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Cooper Legion replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Philly was overindexing, now coming more in line with over regions. Not hugely alarming -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Cooper Legion replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
But 6x isn’t the low end multiplier wise -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Cooper Legion replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Black Adam comp was going to freefall even if this got 95% RT. That’s how it goes when comping an established fan nostalgia crossover thing with a fairly GA first entry that had much lower initial sales. Though, yes, review timing is important for the exact daily jerkiness of that fall and level of reception for flash is important for the exact degree of magnitude.