Cooper Legion

Dont tend to be 22% off either. But ignore deadline completely, we still know it's looking more mid 9s-low 10s

No. Very unlikely actually

Forget it Johnny, it’s exceltown

Sacto did at last kick up slightly: T-2 8.99M T-1 9.13M Without S2: T-2 8.28M T-1 8.56M Without JW4: T-4 9.56 T-3 9.31 T-2 9.24 9.34M My overall impression at T-1: Legion Flash OW ForecastMatrix Thursday Preview Gross Range $8.75 $9.00 $9.25 $9.50 $9.75 $10.00 $10.25 $10.50 $10.75 Thur / Wknd Ratio (IM) 5.275 $46.16 $47.48 $48.79 $50.11 $51.43 $52.75 $54.07 $55.39 $56.71 5.45 $47.69 $49.05 $50.41 $51.78 $53.14 $54.50 $55.86 $57.23 $58.59 5.625 $49.22 $50.63 $52.03 $53.44 $54.84 $56.25 $57.66 $59.06 $60.47 5.8 $50.75 $52.20 $53.65 $55.10 $56.55 $58.00 $59.45 $60.90 $62.35 5.975 $52.28 $53.78 $55.27 $56.76 $58.26 $59.75 $61.24 $62.74 $64.23 6.15 $53.81 $55.35 $56.89 $58.43 $59.96 $61.50 $63.04 $64.58 $66.11 6.325 $55.34 $56.93 $58.51 $60.09 $61.67 $63.25 $64.83 $66.41 $67.99 6.5 $56.88 $58.50 $60.13 $61.75 $63.38 $65.00 $66.63 $68.25 $69.88 6.675 $58.41 $60.08 $61.74 $63.41 $65.08 $66.75 $68.42 $70.09 $71.76

Believe in the power of multiverses

49999999

Elementals and Indiana each seem to be having a critical recovery from their panning at Cannes which could contribute to somewhat unusual presale trajectories (though to be clear I’d expect the effect to be minor overall). Indiana Jones (and MI7) should be able to track a more RotB/F10/AtSV kind of final week rather than the live action CBMs as long as the impression is “yeah it’s pretty solid for what you’d expect.” Jury still out though.

This is probably not a significant difference compared to a week ago when rotb did fine, or a week before that when Atsv did awesome, or a week before that when mermaid did solid.

The discussion was purely about final vs the initial BOP range (135-175 Ava, 115-140 flash). With a serious chance to go under half the low end Flash is shaping up to be maybe the biggest divergence on a movie post pandemic (aside from initial range 6-8 actual 1.5 kinda stuff which is a different boat).

Initial range 135-175, actual 134. Pretty fine. I haven’t explicitly been keeping track or anything but I think some of the biggest misses (for movies opening like 20M+) have been: TSS Shazam Flash

Sounds gas tbh

Hmm those actually look nicer than I expected (in the sense that over like 5-6 movies no clearly poor result). Clearly some information loss is inevitable when condensing multiple nums into a single num and the process used isn’t perfect or anything but I do think it should have some predictive value and make it easier to see day to day movement at a glance (compared to a day where say 4 comps move up and 3 down etc).

Flash is more comparable to marvel films, Indiana Jones is not. This will be cold mathematical truth in two weeks.

I would guess 7-9M finish but 5 is possible I suppose

Gotg3 chugging along with nice holds, can probably maintain decent screens until at least MI and maybe even Barbie/oppen with the way things are going. 360s with a slight chance of hitting 370 for ~3.1x

Wonder Woman probably had more competition than sv will tbf

Its probably not hitting either num. Even 400 is hazy

Even 70 is quite a clear highball at this point

Note that these *do* still include JW4 to remain apples to apples. Without JW4: T-4 9.56 T-3 9.31 T-2 9.24

Ad here I was about to congratulate you on rejoining the graveyard side

Philly was overindexing, now coming more in line with over regions. Not hugely alarming

But 6x isn’t the low end multiplier wise

This is ridiculous

160 seems pretty optimistic given the DOM highball from deadline.

Black Adam comp was going to freefall even if this got 95% RT. That’s how it goes when comping an established fan nostalgia crossover thing with a fairly GA first entry that had much lower initial sales. Though, yes, review timing is important for the exact daily jerkiness of that fall and level of reception for flash is important for the exact degree of magnitude.