Cooper Legion

I mean, TASM3 probably outgrosses a pure Keaton bat solo legacyquel by a healthy amount?

Aug 30 you cowards

A majority of these comps are DC already, so not sure how much you can really adjust up to account for Sacto DC underindex — in fact the numbers from only the 3 Dc comps is 8.96M! Definitely feel that 9.0 is more likely than 10.0

54321000

Also EAs hurt slightly (though at their size it won’t be a big factor) and most importantly Fri presale comps looking soft (though presales from beyond th always have to be handled with care and taken with some large error bars)

No one has star power. Comedies are dead. 10 sounds perfectly reasonable to me (not to say it can't go higher, just ballpark)

make funny GIFs like this at MakeaGif Legion Flash OW ForecastMatrix Thursday Preview Gross Range $8.50 $8.80 $9.10 $9.40 $9.70 $10.00 $10.30 $10.60 $10.90 Thur / Wknd Ratio (IM) 5.4 $45.90 $47.52 $49.14 $50.76 $52.38 $54.00 $55.62 $57.24 $58.86 5.6 $47.60 $49.28 $50.96 $52.64 $54.32 $56.00 $57.68 $59.36 $61.04 5.8 $49.30 $51.04 $52.78 $54.52 $56.26 $58.00 $59.74 $61.48 $63.22 6 $51.00 $52.80 $54.60 $56.40 $58.20 $60.00 $61.80 $63.60 $65.40 6.2 $52.70 $54.56 $56.42 $58.28 $60.14 $62.00 $63.86 $65.72 $67.58 6.4 $54.40 $56.32 $58.24 $60.16 $62.08 $64.00 $65.92 $67.84 $69.76 6.6 $56.10 $58.08 $60.06 $62.04 $64.02 $66.00 $67.98 $69.96 $71.94 6.8 $57.80 $59.84 $61.88 $63.92 $65.96 $68.00 $70.04 $72.08 $74.12 7 $59.50 $61.60 $63.70 $65.80 $67.90 $70.00 $72.10 $74.20 $76.30 Edit: FWIW you can take the penultimate values on each direction of each axis as my 80% credence interval

Hell yeah baby, thank you Kandahar 🤣

Today! Those aren’t particularly meaningful terms (different people might interpret it to mean a bottom 2% scenario vs a bottom 0.2% scenario which would be a huge diff in nums presented without any diff in actual projection!) but taking things from the more extreme end, 8.5*5.5-> 47 & 12*7.1 -> 85 CBMs in established universes about previously established characters (and *especially* multiple previously established characters meeting for the first time) can play very differently than pseudo first entry GA popcorn action stuff

None of these are exactly great comps in a traditional genre/size/reception similarity sense, but purely in terms of final:t-4 I guess something like: TLM Dune A2 Batman true th some will be better or worse depending on various regional idiosyncrasies

Gut check: shouldn’t be nearly this bad, QM actively tanked from the rotten rather than just plateauing at a low level Actually checking some data: the comp vs QM should increase some 40-50% from now til finals but it may still appear to trend badly in various samples going by the straight comps since people have mostly been using optimistic ones which give higher straight comps that will come down

Sacramento has looked 8.5-10ish since over a week ago. Obviously I understand people hoping for that to increase, but at the same time there was no particular reason to expect it to increase. It will probably underindex a little but if you look at all the other data that’s been posted 10 would be a clearly above median outcome from here.

New in bold

I’m the only person at this RotB showing, a rare opportunity to do a live commentary in the spoilers thread? 🤔

RIP to my young homies

All those schoolchildren will be so happy to get a day off before returning to school on June 20

High praise

I’d say like a 15% chance to go 54 or below vs .01% for 100M

But really we know that the other 9 movies barely matter in the face of all important Kandahar

We’ll get Sunday updates throughout the day but the people on a night schedule will have it be more applicable. The last of those should be Porthos is ~20 hrs or maybe a bit sooner. For morning update people like Kantmiss you wouldn’t see the effect of a Sunday night increase until the mon update.

I suspect Fast is in for a proper gutting

I mean it’s not even clear Flash will open 50% over Elemental. Like 40 vs 58 would be perfectly reasonable. Even if it comes up low for elemental and high for flash for more of a 25/75 scenario Elemntal will be much closer in the amount of screens taken, just with worse PSA. The blackening will come to squeeze screens a little as well. That said there are a good amount of screens to give up from Machine, About my Father, Fast X, Mario, Boogeyman, Mermaid etc

Could easily be within 10% not sure exactly how you want to define “close”

New in bold

I made this joke on telegram days ago, great minds 😎