Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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That’s true, looks like a failure to update to me. Also, I will just harp on this one more time — this is a good example of how utterly fucking stupid and annoying it is to pretend that Thursday grosses are part of Friday. Without that silly farce these ambiguous situations would never exist.
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They are hearing 45 instead of 54. But the 54 would be true Fri needed to hit 3B today, so the 45 should be true fri as well.
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This is a possibility, but 45 true Fri makes a lot more sense than 36.5 when considering the ratio to TLK pure Fri.
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It says that the 8.5 is included in the 2.946 cume, right? So when it says 54 needed to hit 3B today, that’s 54 pure Fri? Edited to add emphasis.
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Hey, could somebody double check my reading comprehension here? ‘Cause I’m pretty sure that buried in this article: https://deadline.com/2019/11/walt-disney-box-office-industry-record-3-billion-third-time-frozen-2-avengers-endgame-1202793029/ Is deadline’s first number... of 45M true Fri.
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Somebody recently posted about the 11 rotten Billie film on reddit, thought I’d look at the opposite. 27 certified fresh 1B films: 9 MCU 4 Pixar 3 Star Wars 2 Cameron 2 Nolan 2 WDAS Deathly Hallows 2 Return of the King Skyfall Jurassic Park F7 Of course this is very skewed by market growth and inflation. Many Middle Earth, many Potter, many Bond, many Pixar, many WDAS, many SW would easily make it if working with 2019 WW marketplace strength.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
MTC1 is the one where Wang’s source said ~160, right? Seems like they were wise to the IM being high teens between that and low Thurs showtime count. -
I guess so. 150x4 imo.
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You know it’s a domestic club, right? Don’t really understand this is fine dog when the club is actually looking good.
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Spider verse 2 would need to open at like first film total... Zoo2 also skeptical. 180 is such a hurdle for less frontloaded genre. I2 being superhero+14 years anticipated is a lofty bar for now. For me nothing on the horizon that will knock Frozen from animated #2 open.
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True Friday officially updated to 246M. GWTW is quaking.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
True Fri to True Fri comp, right? 80% would be like a 152+ weekend, 75% 143+... -
Still happy to be IN the F2>TLK club.
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My calculator agrees with your calculator on this matter
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What’s the precedent on that Sun drop? For Survivor I went 9 41.5 60 40 Cautiously optimistic still.
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Single digits has been almost assured for like 10 hours now. Disney should just release 8.8 and let people freak out about missing 100 or some nonsense. Would make the 150 so much more fun.
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To some degree it’s just getting showtimes slammed.
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I believe it’s an industry standard for comscore to not even show them.
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No wonder Chadwick seems to be souring on his BP role...
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Sat CGV PS:actual CM 225k:1M FFH 280k:1.23M AEG 527k:1.66M F2 comes in at a MONSTER 437k. Can maybe add Endgame’s 210 for 650k CGV, and 1.5M day? Hard to say at such a massive level. Also call it 900k PS across all chains, then 1.45-.9=550k Sun PS outstanding already. So I think the OW will clear 1M avg/4M 4-day.
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So about 625k real. Solid Fri, but just FFH sized. Now time for Sat to show us what it can do.
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Movies like TLK and I2 show basically nothing about this situation since they’re non-schoolweek. Relatedly, Thursday previews are a way smaller % of F2 presales than for TS4 or I2 or TLK, etc. If previews are 75% of TS4 (as currently expected) will still beat handily for the OW.
