Cooper Legion

Yes. After OD a movie’s level of PS heaviness is baked in to future days projection from PS. Can look at PSm change of comps rather than absolute PSm level of comps. Exactly how it happens in China, Japan, SK, etc.

Lol, the timing

This Wednesday discussion may be better served in the newly opened 5-day thread:

To clarify, I think they’re likely still rounding down a bit. But out of general caution, rather than general caution plus extrapolating rather than interpolating.

For some historical context, the deadline articles on TFA and TLJ hitting tracking: https://deadline.com/2015/11/star-wars-the-force-awakens-box-office-opening-estimate-1201636913/ (180-210) https://deadline.com/2017/11/star-wars-the-last-jedi-200-million-opening-1202213679/ (~200) But also, here are the top 15 OWs when TFA tracking hit: So TFA was projected at 4th to 1st. And the top 15 when TLJ hit: So a TLJ was projected at 4th still. And the top 15 now: So TROS is being projected at about 12th to 8th. Now, why does that matter? The tracking models didn’t really have a handle on TFA because it was out of historical range. When they’re uncertain due to small sample sizes, they round down out of caution. These TROS numbers aren’t really at the unknown regions of the OW range anymore so tracking should have a better handle on them and not need to round down for the same reason.

Nope, will go a bit over 600k. I underestimated how presale heavy culture day would be, but still a spectacular schoolday for it. CGV PS for Thursday is 50k again, should get the 8-day cume just U/O 6M. Also KOBIS PS are already at 450k, so about 350k of that should be banked up for FSS. @pepsa when you said we should try to bank up 600 before the weekend did you mean before Fri or before Sat?

Nothing lasts forever. Who knows what my next name will be.

Greetings, fellow citizens.

^

The CWverse is the most consistently liked and financial successful connected universe that DC has. It’s not on the same scale as the MCU nor my cup of tea, but it’s got an impressive scale and holds together reasonably well.

Have you watched anything that’ll gross under 1B?

It’s after 1, so this will be closer to final: Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Frozen 2 U.S. Nov 21, 2019 $2,202,509 ($36,955,893) 319,368 (5,110,944) 2,226 71.37% 2 BLACK MONEY South Korea Nov 13, 2019 $385,088 ($13,991,834) 56,983 (1,933,909) 856 12.48% 3 The Divine Move 2: The Wrathful South Korea Nov 07, 2019 $109,483 ($15,443,705) 16,391 (2,118,763) 647 3.54% 4 KIM JI-YOUNG, BORN 1982 South Korea Oct 23, 2019 $78,314 ($25,495,097) 11,897 (3,641,869) 490 2.53% 5 A Little Princess South Korea Dec 04, 2019 $53,130 ($164,485) 10,465 (29,663) 62 1.72% 6 Terminator: Dark Fate U.S. Oct 30, 2019 $35,146 ($17,009,567) 5,480 (2,393,734) 220 1.13% CGV PSm dropped to about 3.1, so around a 9% drop. Totally fine. CGV PS for culture day are a massive 152k. At minimum it should do 2x and 50% ratio for low 600s, but I think 700 or even 700+ are pretty possible. I wonder what the current non-OD culture day record is.

Lion King just 120M. It benefitted from summer unlike F2.

They did, but they were probably being too optimistic.

I mean, do we even need to open a Thanksgiving thread at now that cdsacken has spoiled all the twists 🤔

How do you figure? Nemo peaked at DOM 10 and Dory at DOM 8. Catching Fire 10 vs THG 14. Gotg2 27 vs Gotg 31. So all real increases relative to the time imo.

They weren’t before? You are a saint

Catching Fire, Gotg2, and Endgame are all I’ve got

No

1 Frozen 2 U.S. Nov 21, 2019 $2,426,044 ($34,747,514) 348,784 (4,786,667) 2,187 75.63% 2 BLACK MONEY South Korea Nov 13, 2019 $395,055 ($13,607,723) 58,039 (1,875,454) 836 12.31% 3 The Divine Move 2: The Wrathful South Korea Nov 07, 2019 $111,049 ($15,342,599) 16,538 (2,101,732) 618 3.46% 4 KIM JI-YOUNG, BORN 1982 South Korea Oct 23, 2019 $69,771 ($25,437,871) 10,526 (3,629,902) 460 2.17% 5 Terminator: Dark Fate U.S. Oct 30, 2019 $34,079 ($16,988,114) 5,022 (2,388,160) 214 1.06% So maybe 355 or so in the end, a nice -77%. PSm slightly more than doubled and CGV ratio was also a bit better than my morning projection. Tuesday the PSm normally drops slightly, maybe 3.3. Tues CGV PS are 50k, so that would give 165k or so final CGV for a nearly flat 340k or so final day. Good sign for legs if it hits that. That also leaves about 200 of the 315 overall presales unaccounted for. Thinking a lot are on Culture Day and the Wed CGV PS might come in 120+ Incidentally I notice that this means F2’s 5-day just slightly edges out IW’s 5-day open. Will fall behind soon as IW’s first week has Labor Dah, but may regain the lead by Sun if things drop nicely.

I’ll compromise on 60

600 would have been nice, but clearly on higher end. I think below 500 can be called a bit underwhelming, but only below Ultron DOM is where it seems actually bad to me. Don’t think that’ll happen.

Jackson was a good one. Also has 23 #1s from the 2000s from just 4 movies

15th #1 for Taika this decade, lmfao. I wonder what director had the next most,