Cooper Legion

H&S CONFIRMED #notAnEvent No interesting numbers really until at least It2. Go live your life 😛

The closest it’ll probably get is around Friday, with low 350s vs low 400s TS4/TLK. A 14% miss. Was always going to be tough if FFH fell short of CM.

WW top 3 was more trivial than bold. Club for top 3 DOM and WW on same day. FFH can make it to #3 WW+#5 DOM tomorrow, but that’s as high as it’ll go, so a clear miss.

It’s like 3.3 SK, 1.8 Japan, 2.1 rest 🤣

And for Mon, Aladdin PS of 15k are up 25% from last Mon. Also even with Thurs, which was just 69k in the end. For now I’ll say 76k finish, but could be 70-85 or so depending on how the day runs. TLK presales 22k about flat from last week, but not planning to hourly track that one anymore now that the 2nd weekend is over.

Jul 28, 2019 Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 The Lion King U.S. Jul 17, 2019 $2,450,418 ($28,030,461) 319,527 (3,703,637) 1,432 36.64% 2 Aladdin U.S. May 23, 2019 $1,252,232 ($84,048,058) 167,043 (11,660,148) 1,009 18.72% 3 The King's Letters South Korea Jul 24, 2019 $1,209,098 ($5,338,985) 164,302 (754,228) 964 18.08% 4 Red Shoes South Korea Jul 25, 2019 $499,936 ($1,433,813) 71,693 (209,741) 717 7.47% 5 Spider-Man: Far From Home U.S. Jul 02, 2019 $530,154 ($57,225,478) 71,335 (7,870,554) 676 7.92% 6 Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire Japan Jul 24, 2019 $214,838 ($1,137,065) 30,447 (167,651) 552 3.21% 7 LONG SHOT U.S. Jul 24, 2019 $194,792 ($1,072,717) 25,010 (141,872) 440 2.91% Aladdin should rise about 3.3k with actuals, so the week is provisionally 720k (-8%) for a cume of 11.663M. Need to beat Avatar’s 13,624,328: 1.961M admits -> 3.7236 weekly multi -> 26.85% avg weekly drop Needed to beat Endgame’s 13,932,921 (plus a couple k end of run): 2.272M admits -> 4.155 weekly multi -> 24.06% avg weekly drop Wed 31st will be a culture day, so would not be surprised if next week increased. Both clearly in Aladdin’s sights though it’s hard to predict just when it’ll start falling harder.

Better than TDKR.

Easily $95M+, solid shot 100M.

Imagine spending 1B on 5 seasons of a show and finding out halfway through season 1 that people don’t like it much Not sating that *will* happen, but what a nightmare ‘twould be

I just don’t understand how someone could have possibly OK’ed that. What is it even being used for? That’s like 3 Endgame’s of budget!

Wow, this meme is dead for 5 years and then I see it twice in two days. Other one was for Jojo Rabbit, pretty funny as well.

16:20 update Maybe low 320s for TLK. Aladdin I only have partial data from last Sunday. Some extrapolations are suggesting 165ish, some more like 180. We’ll see, guess I’d go in the middle with 170 if forced.

Arithmetic mean of Aladdin and Endgame is 610, but I’d argue the geometric mean of 556 is more appropriate as a halfway point here. So it could come down to the wire, especially if Aladdin get Labor Day play.

Thanks to that Tues, the first week was 4.5% ahead. Same for total would be 548M. I think it’ll beat that thanks to the differing genres, but dunno by all that much.

Btw, aside from Tuesday’s being crazy now playing quite close to TDKR adjusted so far. Basically 2% ahead OW, roughly 2% ahead 2nd weekend looking like.

It’s expected because kids hate it /s

Great point actually. I hadn’t thought about this explicitly before but it goes a long way toward explaining the critic vs audience divides on some movies.

Well it was bound to happen eventually, just hadn’t realized we were already there outside CNY. Not great news for my Phase 4 club, but c’est la vie.

Well here, let me use it correctly then. That comment was pretentious.

Yes

Obviously 😂

Jeez, such a hardline intolerant stance. I am much more accepting. People are allowed to like or be neutral towards movies I like, dislike or be neutral toward movies I dislike, and feel however they want about movies I don’t care about. Why that’s like a full 78% of the possibility space that I’m allowing them, and somehow so many people here still manage to get it so wrong

If Aladdin sees Labor Day expansion TLK might miss 1.5x

Very informative breakdown, thanks. Still the TJB 150 is no fees and TLK 120 will be with fees, so might as well look at it as 45 vs 55 rather than 45 vs 51.7, right? Is growth expected to be slow for the foreseeable future, or rebound to a faster rate soon?

Indeed. At the time of that update I was thinking final CGV 173, 90. Just woke up to find 172, 90, which was a pleasant surprise. Still need to see what the ratios to actual admissions will be, but Aladdin is pretty much where I expected from presales, a solid -12% or so from last Sat. Jul 27, 2019 Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 The Lion King U.S. Jul 17, 2019 $2,734,658 ($25,541,355) 353,131 (3,379,420) 1,403 37.09% 2 The King's Letters South Korea Jul 24, 2019 $1,446,123 ($4,105,921) 196,444 (586,874) 1,006 19.61% 3 Aladdin U.S. May 23, 2019 $1,329,014 ($82,769,625) 176,052 (11,489,764) 1,007 18.02% 4 Spider-Man: Far From Home U.S. Jul 02, 2019 $604,705 ($56,678,467) 81,137 (7,797,046) 670 8.2% 5 Red Shoes South Korea Jul 25, 2019 $478,812 ($933,739) 68,879 (138,033) 709 6.49% 6 Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire Japan Jul 24, 2019 $237,557 ($920,510) 33,567 (136,972) 568 3.22% 7 LONG SHOT U.S. Jul 24, 2019 $207,601 ($867,016) 26,712 (115,483) 428 2.81% Sun PS 58k TLK, expect around 310. 32k for Aladdin, expecting 175ish.