Cooper Legion

First estimates today: Jul 30, 2019 Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 The Lion King U.S. Jul 17, 2019 $1,003,377 ($30,241,601) 147,380 (4,014,231) 1,307 30.96% 2 Aladdin U.S. May 23, 2019 $638,760 ($85,601,903) 95,349 (11,853,901) 931 19.71% 3 Red Shoes South Korea Jul 25, 2019 $374,305 ($2,157,312) 60,215 (325,071) 673 11.55% 4 The King's Letters South Korea Jul 24, 2019 $390,113 ($6,183,664) 59,299 (879,229) 867 12.04% 5 Spider-Man: Far From Home U.S. Jul 02, 2019 $254,475 ($57,922,189) 37,718 (7,947,862) 638 7.85% 6 EXIT South Korea Jul 31, 2019 $107,400 ($254,244) 17,516 (38,940) 100 3.31% 7 Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire Japan Jul 24, 2019 $102,866 ($1,346,091) 15,857 (199,258) 500 3.17% 8 LONG SHOT U.S. Jul 24, 2019 $104,233 ($1,299,083) 14,863 (173,486) 443 3.21% 9 Toy Story 4 U.S. Jun 20, 2019 $71,822 ($24,203,671) 10,932 (3,377,087) 201 2.21% Aladdin was able to keep flat at final CGV after all, with this number being up 31 people vs yesterday first numbers. Should settle around high 96s, same as yesterday, +30% weekly. Will edit Wed PS data in 20 mins Wed PS (culture day): EXIT 85k (97% Egg) (OD) The Divine Fury 68k (91% Egg) (OD) SLOP2 43k (OD) TLK 31k Aladdin 25k Aladdin is 145k away from 12M, probably looking at a day in 140s or so. Maybe lower if I’m underestimating the openers.

Disney isn’t just having great OWs this year, they’re having great 8th-12th weekends. 8th: CM 12th place, Aladdin 39th, should add some more to the top 100 9th: CM 57, Aladdin 65, should add some more to the top 100 10th: Endgame 14th, Aladdin 64th 11th: Endgame 47th, Aladdin probably to make top 100 For lists with so many 20th century movies, it’s quite impressive.

Even if H&S did 350M the lack of Aug movies is irresponsible imo. For 4 months we’ve been saying “XYZ won’t let that well because of upcoming competition,” and August is just sitting there empty and inviting. Basically money left of the table due to superstition.

Looks like a 1-3% drop, final CGV should be 49k as opposed to 50k yesterday. Predicting final numbers is easy with this one basic trick: on Mon-Thurs &Sat, 16:20 is halfway between 12:20 and 23:20 Friday nights are stronger, add a bit more. Sunday mornings/afternoons are stronger, add a bit less. Part of OW and nights are stronger as well. Will only work for weekdays until school resumes, I assume. Expecting to pass 12M tomorrow, but only just barely.

It would be wild if August had no $100M movies. 4*9*2.75? I really think that’s quite unlikely, I think it’s the kind of movie where Wed+Thurs will do solid increases and the presale multiplier is fairly high — but when you’re counting on that sort of reasoning and it turns out not to be the case, that’s when the big disappointments happen 😬

Furious IM’s: F8 98.8/10.4=9.5 F7 147/15.8=9.3 F6 97/6.5=15 F6 was forever ago though, and summer should make things worse as we saw for Once this weekend (though H&S is actually 7Pm start, right?) If it actually hit 5 I would be wondering a bit about 50M.

DH2 added 3x the 4th weekend. Homecoming 4.22x. AM&TW 3.78x. Given the difference in reception and mega-dead looking August I think FFH can at least match AM&TW for an additional 47M and 390+. 400 would take better legs than AM1 or SMh though, thinking 390s unless fudge is applied.

Like 150 DOM+200 China+350 rest imo.

Wow, even with the most favorable comp that gives $0M previews. Sad

SK may have just released 2 all-time highest Hollywood movies less than a month from each other 👀 But also maybe not, still gotta see another couple weeks.

Not actually dethroned in Mexico. Admissions yes, but I think the lc record is most important there. #1 Hollywood hasn’t happened yet in SK (where admits is the main record metric), could theoretically miss. Brazil I really doubt it.

Regarding DOM, I think you had the wrong weekend (9th vs 10th)? I prefer looking at weekly multis, in this case I’ll just take the last 7 days. TJB made 3.22, added 8.09, 3.51 multi. Aladdin would need to add 17.83 off a 5.85 week, 4.05x multi or about 25% weekly drops. Quite possible with the way things have gone and the way August looks imo.

Thanks for the clarifications. I guess Black Widow opened this Thursday because it wasn’t officially announced before that then, it’s another one that had me a bit confused.

Well, TJB is below 1B. And Aladdin is already above 1B. So... prettttttty decent, yeah.

Also, take a look at these sexy sexy PTAs 😍 20,443 9,571 6,486 4,868 3,856 3,126 2,725 2,414 1,941 1,691 -74% in 7 weeks, avg 17.5% drop.

To stay flat at 64 needs 2.4M, think it’ll be around there. Heading toward 360+ DOM and 1.06+ WW.

Hmm, good to know. I guess I’ll try to do a full 10 then to give the top ones proper weight. Once I do this once it should be pretty easy to keep up since you only need to remove released movies and look at ones newly eligible that week. Frozen 2 Black Widow Onward Soul WW84 Jumanji Mulan Charlie’s Angels Terminator Bird of Prey I don’t feel like I have a clear idea of what’s eligible. It’s one year from now, right? I’d list Eternals if it was eligible, but I thought it wans't, but it seems like some people on this page have it listed?

Neat trivia to notice, and good confirmatory research.

😈 So close to Warcraft. Maybe WB can find 3M under the floorboards.

Top 3 will be Endgame TLK IW just savage.

Do I need to list 10? Often I feel like there are only 4-8 or so movies in the next year that I’m seriously anticipating, and then I don’t want to do the work of figuring out the last 2-6 to hit 10 and I don’t post at all.

Domestically JW3 is within 25% of F8. OS H&S will do way more, that’s how they justified the budget. That said, I think H&S is looking to underperform Uni’s Hopes DOM and OS.

4K short on Sunday, 93 days? That Sunday drop is HUGE, actually. Wonder what is going on there.

I don't think anyone has seriously cared about Endgame "spoilers" (lol) for a month. But them's the rules.

Just 8 hours away