Cooper Legion

You don’t have to try to reason about why it doesn’t matter much. I don’t know why and I don’t care why. Important thing is simply whether it does or whether it does not looking at numbers. And there isn’t really anything in relative late legs of movies depending on release date to suggest that this is a factor worth thinking about. Maybe it affects like 1%, 2% something like that but reception and competition play a far larger role

By holding better 😛 The schools thing basically doesn’t matter at all 🤷‍♂️

Completely normal Tues after completely normal mon, nothing has really happened since Saturday 🥱

Anyway seems $30M may be possible which would help in hunt for TLK

Almost a 10% fluctuation in ER compared to a month ago — what did Disney know 👀👀👀

3518

It will need better than 50% to stay in the race, but better than 50% is very likely

Yes we know schools are closed. All taken into account already

13-13.5 would be fine for 700 target but it’s not gonna be that high

12ish would be fine, suggesting expected drop in 40s for this week

It’ll be below 13 lol. 15 would be a crazy hold, sending to something like a 120 week and TGM dom (not happening)

I have about 5M less than that for TA DOM. In any case, China does make things a bit tricky. Leaving China aside for now: TA 3rd DOM, 4th os-c, 3rd WW-C AoU 7th DOM, 10th OS-C, 6th WW-C For DOM nowadays that’s 815-685, OS-C 1.1-850, WW-C 2.1-1.9ish. With Geomean of ranks ~5th (720), 6th (1B), 4th (~2.05B). Doomsday should probably be able to perform at least 700+ DOM 900+OS-C 150+China given where various markets are in moviegoing and 2026 atps.

You know what years those came out, right? Matching TA or AOU success/admits is 2B+ now

Oooh, right. I was thinking of those as the same since JW is currently 10th DOM and OS, forgot 8th WW. Agree with your list

I mean why would it possibly be below that. It’s avengers

One shot, one kill

? Doomsday should clear 1.7 eassssssssy

INSIDE OUT II overseas weekend grosses 140.0M | weekend 1 167.8M | weekend 2 [372.6M] |232.6M week 108.0M | weekend 3 [545.5M] | 172.9M week (-25%) 080.9M | weekend 4 [685.7M] | 140.2M week (-20%) 049.6M | weekend 5 [776.9M] | 91.2M week (-35%) 036.5M | weekend 6 [849.2M] | 72.3M week (-21%) 023.4M | weekend 7 [893.0M] | 43.8M week (-39%) 929.3 | OS-J 924.3 | 30.7M week (-30%) OS-J if it continues dropping ~30% will add ~71.6M for 995M. Japan may be ~25M. 1B almost assured at this point, may bump JW out of OS top 10 by a hair just like DOM

Yeah some of the best standalone marvel movies have solid romance components. And Wanda/Vision stuff was some of the best parts of CW and IW despite not taking much runtime. Regardless of protagonist’s gender (or that of the love interest for that matter) it’s a relatable way to quickly create emotional investment, show more sides of the characters, and add different kind of stakes than “87 trigillion people will die.” When executed decently, of course. It’s a bit of a lost art for them now, but it will be important for FF so we’ll see

Back to school shifts the grosses weekdays to weekends more than really hurting weekly gross, I wouldn’t worry about it much. It ends with us and aliens will both squeeze screens a little, then it’s largely free sailing for two weeks including Labor Day re-expansion/bump

Put me down for D but these all have at least like a 5% shot imo which is unusual

JW1 was a great surprise run of course but the reason it draws particular goal statements atm is being the border of top 10. If that changes people will talk about “can it pass DPW” more than “can it pass JW”

Cmon, let me gross 653.3M, as a treat

I expect IO2 and DPW to both pass it at this point. Small chance that IO2 does so slightly slower thus never tasting top 10, but more likely I think it will get a week or two in top 10, one of shortest stays ever. Should remain up in the air the order that all 3 finish for a few more weeks at least