Cooper Legion

Looking ahead to next wknd the bar for a top 10 6th wknd is J:WttJ’s 16,144,874, or ~a 11.8% drop. Doable but far from assured

Sure, domestically it almost got within 20% of IW admits and beating AoU by ~5%. A great performance… still not really close to avengers level (those are the two worst avengers performances)

FWIW I think this summer has cemented that movies are having better legs now than they were pre-pandemic, so I don’t know if it was all that close. Summer helps too. That said yeah general reception was great (despite the movie being pretty bad in my personal opinion) and their is definitely a many pages long stretch of this thread that looks super funny now

After this does outside the top 15 WW when every single Avengers movie made top 5? This movie is doing great and I’m happy for it, but it is decidedly not, as the kids say, an Avengers level threat

INSIDE OUT II overseas weekend grosses 140.0M | weekend 1 167.8M | weekend 2 [372.6M] |232.6M week 108.0M | weekend 3 [545.5M] | 172.9M week (-25%) 080.9M | weekend 4 [685.7M] | 140.2M week (-20%) 049.6M | weekend 5 [776.9M] | 91.2M week (-35%) 036.5M | weekend 6 [849.2M] | 72.3M week (-21%) 023.4M | weekend 7 [893.0M] | 43.8M week (-39%) 929.3 | OS-J 924.3 | 30.7M week (-30%) 958.1M | OS-J 946 | 21.7M week (-29.3%) 985.1M | OS-J 964.2 | 18.2M week (-16%) 1003.3 | OS-J 977.2 | 13M week (-28.5%) Continuing 30% drops would add 30M for ~1005-1010 OS-J. Essentially all still on track for last week's nums

CBM weeks at #1: NWH 6 DPW 5 (nearly assured with next wknd) BP 5 BP2 5 SC 4 gotg 4 TDK 4

Maybe like 20% for JW and 30% for 650 imo

Kind of a weak hold for DPW, though fingers crossed sun will randomly overperform again. Now looking for maybe 605-610 the through Labor Day, likely 640s finish

Definitely a bit weak past 3 days. Seems to be narrowing in on 640-655ish

Put me down for incredibles 3 or frozen 4

Yeah this is a late august wknd thread alright

No, 52M post labor would be pretty unlikely. Not totally impossible but it would need to hold extremely well throughout September, particularly on Beetlejuice wknd

Probably make ~5-10% more from now through labor and ~10-25% less post labor, relative to gotg1

Sure, should do a little under 6M on wed+th for weekdays of ~12.5 cume ~559 wknd ~20 (-33%) for week of ~32.5 cume ~579 weekdays of ~8M (-35%) // 587 Labor 4day of ~23.5M, Tues-th ~3 for a wk ~27 cume ~614.5 poat labor wknd of ~ 9M and weekdays ~3M for 12M week // 626 cume from there ~30% avg drops adds ~29M

Never

Quite possibly Almost certainly given expansion

OW: 6th biggest 2nd wknd: 8th 3rd: 12th 4th: 11th biggest (removing Sniper and Revenant nonsense) 5th weekend real 11th place would be 20M, has some chance to rise back up to 9th (requires beating Barbie’s 21.03M). 6th weekend could very well rise back up to 6th biggest (and biggest for MCU for the 1st time) requiring 17.1 to beat BP 7th weekend the party will be over as it drops out of top 20 (albeit with a chance to land around IO2/TDK/TA/CM zone for top 25)

I mean it will hit that by next wknd. O/U 1.05B OS

Movie Gross Shows Change PSA Last PSA PSA drop Alien:Romulus 42,003,361 96,775 434 Deadpool & Wolverine 30,003,064 57,241 -35.13% 524 609.45 -14.00% It Ends With Us 23,807,130 54,327 -19.37% 438 612.57 -28.46% Twisters 10,000,340 34,594 -14.33% 289 371.52 -22.19% Borderlands 2,427,379 33,515 -26.60% 72 156.55 -53.74% Despicable Me 4 6,258,985 28,465 -15.06% 220 238.23 -7.70% Trap 3,441,333 20,538 -43.25% 168 183.77 -8.82% Inside Out 2 3,470,125 17,104 -29.06% 203 200.76 1.06% Coraline 9,611,555 16,061 598 Ryan's World the Movie 420,049 10,199 41 My Penguin Friend 1,026,002 9,439 109 Cuckoo 873,296 8,511 -56.81% 103 137.68 -25.47% Harold and Crayon 1,102,070 7,372 -75.83% 149 100.51 48.74% Skincare 323,856 6,117 53 Rob Peace 253,216 4,789 53 Longlegs 698,075 3,296 -62.15% 212 224.06 -5.47% FWIW a little show postmortem on the weekend (all credit to @katnisscinnaplex samples for data). Coraline and Borderlands jointly will be giving up ~45k screens, Aliens can part with another 40k+ in all likelihood, newbies won’t demand much so clear room for the well performing holdovers to have very robust screen (and gross) drops BTW just to be clear “change” is Show count vw last wknd

One wknd before labor hood be interesting timing for expansion relative to history, question would be whether they try to expand again, hold steady, or accept some losses the wknd after. Makes sense that it should claw some back during the dead zone though tbh, very robust PSA compared to a lot of what else is out

Haven’t thought about it much yet, don’t usually care much about 4th weekdays or whatever. Low 3s I guess

I'm not sure exactly what calculation this is? I have 674 following the gotg calendar comp but it should hold poorer than that. Maybe 645-665 or so at this point

PTA drop for summer MCU on pre-labor day wknd: cap:tfa -24% gotg1 25% am1 -10% Smh -25% am&tw -13% ffh -10% bw -11% l&t -27% Usual relationship of better TC hold worse PTA hold, DPW likely a 90-95% TC hold 20-25% pta drop for overall 28-32% drop or so

Actuals will probably be 30-30.5 or so, so might be able to skate by with ~34% drop. But yeah should be expected more around 30% or a bit better. That would be a pretty typical drop for a well received summer MCU around late August, especially with no major competition/screen loss, coming off of losing PLFs this week, and more school these next weekdays hurting weekdays but shifting business to weekend (these are the typical dynamics that drive such holds in this zone of course, but just noting they apply here as well) Could creep into the 21-22 zone even depending on how thing play, or might drop a bit on the harsher side of possibility to like 18-19 which is still a solid shot to win the weekend