Cooper Legion
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Posts posted by Cooper Legion
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3 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:
I wonder, could Gitesh be one of the members here?
Could he not?
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I don’t think anyone has been saying that 220 would be an objective disspointment. At least, I certainly hope not — that would be absurd. I think people were just trying to express how 220 would be a personal disspointment, and were told that they needed a perspective check for their troubles. That’s all I was trying to push back against.
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11 minutes ago, narniadis said:
The bold part is the problem that some of us are having. There is ABSOLUTELY no disappointment in a 225m OW for Infinity War. Per normal, BOT on a large % got numbers drunk in the week leading up to the opening (spurred on by Deadline's bad behavior last night) and now can't reconcile the irrational expectation with reality. Those of us that have stuck down to earth and more grounded (in actual realistic data not one of the God's overhype....) were mocked incessantly the past week....
225m is not a disappointment - no way, no how and besides it should pass that # anyway IF the current trends hold up.
It’s like you completely missed the point of my post. 225 is disspointing if you were expecting notably more. Many people were expecting more. Ergo, for many people, 225 is disappointing. How “rational” those expectations may have been plays no part in the simple truth that they weren’t met.
It is completely possible both to know that your hopes were a lonshot that was unlikely and to have an emotional reaction of disappointment anyway. If someone was hoping to get accepted to Stanford, and they get rejected, are you going to tell them “oh, that was an irrational hope anyway considering their acceptance rate, this isn’t ‘actually’ a disspointment?”
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1 minute ago, IronJimbo said:
did you think it was an Avatar sequel or something?
It wasn’t!? But it’s right there in the name
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Maybe part of the issue is people talking past each other by interpreting “disappointing” as “not great.” 225 is great. It is just also disappointing. These concepts are not mutually exclusive if you were hoping for “super great.” (Not that you need to be *expecting* super great for great to be dissapointing, mind you. Even if you were expecting 225 and hoping for 250, 225 could be both great and disappointing.)
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Lol at people trying to tell others that they need a “perspective check” just because they dared to dream a little bigger. There was a movie that had at least somewhat of a chance to break a big #1 record, and it didn’t. As someone following the box office for fun, that will never be anything but disappointing. Any kind of performance can be relatively disappointing if it gets very close to something and misses, no matter what the absolute numbers may be.
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Hoping for 10 then
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2 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:
Just got back.
It's better the other two Avengers movies but still through and through a Marvel movie. Thanos was pretty cool.
Holy shit, if this is Iron Jimbo’s reaction we’re doing 600 after all.
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59 minutes ago, aabattery said:
God damn. One of my scenarios was 4m but it seemed a little too crazy to be true. Absolutely bonkers performance.
Near 100% increase on TA1's 4-day.
Avengers finished with 8.8, right? I assume IW will have worse legs, but how much worse?
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9 minutes ago, tawasal said:
Damn BP's Opening Day percentage of the current total is amazing for a movie with such huge opening. You have to go down to #45 TS3 to find a movie with better % of it's total gross.
Yeah, really impressive stuff. If IW pulled a similar kind of OD:final multiplier (never going to happen, purely demonstrating the insanity of BP’s) it would end up near or above TFA in the 900s
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1 hour ago, Deep Wang said:
2.66x would be a multiplier hitherto undreamt of for an Avengers sequel
N=1
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Great for AQP, hoping for 200.
BP vs ST2 for the last top 5 slot interests me a fair bit.
IW should pull a true FSS between TA’s 189 and adjusted 215, for 228-254. Probably on the lower end of that though, #2 opening looks quite likely right now.
Getting to 600 off a 230 opening could be pretty rough sadly, though that RT audience score makes me slightly more hopeful for an A+ than before.
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7 minutes ago, sfran43 said:
Down about 5% from last week
Still not sure how the weekend will shake out then.
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54 minutes ago, KJsooner said:
The three MCU films will gross close to 3.5 billion this year. Fuck me.
BP 1.35 billion
AIW 1.5 billion
Antman 600-700 million
Yeah, 3.5 has been looking good for a while. Should end up pretty close to 4 even.
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15 minutes ago, Giesi said:
If IW1 doesn‘t take the OW crown this weekend, I don‘t know which movie will. Certainly not Ep9, Avengers 4 or Lion King.
Even if IW misses, A4 will have a very pompetitive shot. Even a 5% improvement on IW might be enough to take the record.
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I see we’re getting the crumbling out of the way early with this one. Still hoping for a less frontloaded weekend and the adjusted OW crown then, but hard to really say until we see Friday.
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1 minute ago, a2knet said:
and their 36-45+ is a laughable range. i don't think it qualifies as a range if you have to as many symbols as numbers.
Breaking: Inside sources tell me that IW Thursday previews should land somewhere between 25M and 60M.
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3 minutes ago, aabattery said:
I imagine the later showings on a weekday were a lot weaker than what TFA would've had on a Friday night. Super interested to see how it did today. I'm hoping it stayed about flat so we can get a real juicy 4-day number.
Yeah, since it’s a 2nd day Thurs vs 2nd day Fri can’t really draw much from it. Very interested to how the remaining 3 days can compare. By the way, is there a particular central score that captures audience reception in NZ such as RT, Maoyan, or cinema score? If not, do you have any impression of what the reception seems to be?
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23 hours ago, Rthanos said:
IW 2nd day looking to blow TFA 2nd day out of the ballpark
5 hours ago, Rthanos said:IW 2nd day , should be around 865k
Biggest non-opening Thu
2nd biggest 2nd day behind TFA
Drat, crumbling already.
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2 minutes ago, The Mad Titan said:
That’s 4 added showing in the last 30 minutes. All 4 are below 70% right now of course. 26+6+4=36.
Right, exactly. Of the 32 showings that aren’t super new, 32/32 are above 70.
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6 minutes ago, The Mad Titan said:
AIW Numbers From My Theater, Thursday
36 showings
26 over 90% sold
6 between 70% and 90%
4 just added 20 minutes ago
These sum to 36, so that is 0 theaters that existed half an hour ago and are below 70%?
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Woah, 1650 for real? I might be IN a top 3 club
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In particular, Avengers 1 has the adjusted True Friday record with about 70M iirc. If IW actually does have a 260+ (which is clearly possible, though we can debate exactly how likely) then that would likely come with a 70-75 true Friday.
Still not sure how the weekend will shake out then.
AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR | 1369.5 M overseas ● 2048.4 M worldwide
in International Box Office
Posted · Edited by Sliver Legion
Certainly gunning for it. Gunning for a 2nd highest first-release OS, imo.