Cooper Legion
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Posts posted by Cooper Legion
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3 hours ago, That Ambitious Guy said:
Anywhere from $490M-$622M.
Going full Deadline today.
Bit of a conservative range there. And that high end seems like it might have some kind of special significance somehow...
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4 minutes ago, Sam said:
@fmpro didn’t like it, from what I can tell. He only booked tickets for Wed to Sat. True fan who loves the movie would also go for Sunday.
A pretty simple calculus. More than 1 showing a day indicates you loved it, less than 1 showing a day is dislike. Exactly 1 a day shows ambivalence.
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1 minute ago, titanic2187 said:
Disney/Marvel has no right in deciding their release data, it's China film Bureau to make the call.
But breaking the WW OW record by 300 instead of 100 is sooooo important — they should have just delayed it to May 11 everywhere /s
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2 minutes ago, JB33 said:
Is it seriously on course for $400M OS this weekend???
Could fall short still, but probably wouldn’t be by too much.
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Good timing on that account sale. When I ran out of reacts at 11AM with a dozen pages to go, I knew what had to be done.
Edit: My screen is so wide now it’s disorienting. Almost want the ads back
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6 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:
Insane Saturday business around the local 25 theatres, reminds me of the first avengers.
Adjusted: 78.6...
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Winston Duke’s very first movie of his career came out in mid February. 5 months later, movies he has been in (exactly 2) will pass 3B WW. All-time record for fastest actor to pass 3B?
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Oh, and I really doubt this is going for a total below JW now.
If we could put both members of the Thanos duology into the WW top 5 it would truly warm my heart — deserving of his status as an A+ villain, wouldn’t you agree @Fullbuster?
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1 hour ago, Sam said:
MCU worldwide total for 3 movies last year was 2.6B
MCU total this year will be close to or above 1B over that amount.
2017+1B is frikkin’ dead. 4B is the new number to watch for 2018 MCU
Also I think an 850 all markets opening looks good now. 900 with the current ERs probsbly isn’t in reach, but would be absolutely juicy.
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I knew not the can of worms I was opening. Still, if IW can be the first movie to do unadjusted 200M between 6AM Friday and 6AM Monday, that will put a smile on my face.
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20 minutes ago, chasmmi said:
I think it's an obvious typo. So I'll change it to 249 when I get access to a pc.
(Ill only fix typos. And only when the typo makes a prediction ridiculous
E.g film x will make $4588m. And I'll only change it to a number that makes sense as a typo. 4588 cannot become 249.)
So if I had put down, say, 2353M, would I be able to specify later whether this was a typo of 235M or of 253M
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4 minutes ago, Rthanos said:
Bump game, bump it up bump it down dump. it bump it all around
Unfortunately the brilliance of this post is beyond my ability to decipher
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Less than 15 from here to beat DH2? Looking pretty possible after this DOM weekend...
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7 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:
Makes you wonder where it would be with a holiday...
But it is opening on a holiday. IW weekend
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5 minutes ago, eXtacy said:
Well Avengers adjusted would be like 215m true FSS today.
Yes, only the unadjusted record is in contention. My optimistic projections generally had IW doing exactly TA adjusted true FSS, but that looks pretty out of reach now.
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1 minute ago, aabattery said:
The Avengers had true midnights, not Thursday previews
Ah, so that is the technicality in question. I was under the impression that shows between 12:01 and 6AM or so were conventionally counted as part of the Thursday preview gross rather than the true Friday though?
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1 minute ago, SchumacherFTW said:
The Avengers managed that in 2012 😉
???
Avengers wasn’t too preview heavy, but it still had 18.6 million, roughly 189 true FSS. The highest so far are it, JW, and TFA, all clustered around 189-191, leading to some claims of a “ceiling” around there. IW looks to be proving that wrong, as Deadline’s current 237 estimate for the weekend would be a nice 198 true FSS.
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If we miss the OW record (as still seems likely), first 200M+ true FSS would be a nice consolation record.
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4 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:
Nothing can stop BP
From now until the end of time, BP will miraculously and mysteriously show up to place in 5th whenever a new MCU movie comes out.
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20 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:
Still think that the OW record could be in play (it's remarkably subdued here for the biggest true Friday ever), but the absolute best-case scenario is probably squeaking by TFA.
I think it looks good for biggest true Friday and Saturday ever, also a very real shot at best Sun ever. It just seems a little less exciting because I’ve been expecting both for weeks. Human psychology can be funny sometimes.
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Okay, new prediction for the weekend. IW is below TFA’s OW — but the MCU movies combined are above it
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Boom, Deadline officially has BP in the top 5. Rampage is out of reach, but I think it can come in above 4M at least.
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17 minutes ago, aabattery said:
1B OS minus China 🤔
1B OS-UK&SK, maybe.
Aside from 1B, the OS goalposts I’ll be paying attention to are:
Civil War WW
Fast 7 OS
IM3 WW
Titanic first run OS
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1 minute ago, That Ambitious Guy said:
AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR (2018) Basically the worst plausible score, but honestly the plus was pretty unlikely too. Basically changes nothing.
INFINITY WAR WEEKEND THREAD | Actuals ~ 257.698M OW (RECORD) | 106.334M Friday, 82.131M Saturday (RECORD), 69.231M Sunday (RECORD) | 640.9M Worldwide Opening (RECORD) | Read the Rules on the First Post | SALE NOW LIVE
in Numbers and Data
Posted
That “highest gross from a single franchise on a weekend where one of its members opens” record is pretty much locked now, huh? MCU with 250M over Star Wars 248?
This is definitely a very meaningful and not at all contrived category, let me assure you.