Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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Tuesday Thread: Tomb Raider - $1.52m, Game Night - $585k
Cooper Legion replied to Fancyarcher's topic in Numbers and Data
BOOM, great Tuesday number. Over 35% increase is the best Tuesday increase of its run so far, and down a mere 13% week to week. -
Tuesday Thread: Tomb Raider - $1.52m, Game Night - $585k
Cooper Legion replied to Fancyarcher's topic in Numbers and Data
Black Panther median Tuesday increase on weeks without a holiday monday is 28.8, which would give 2.34 today, so I’m looking at above 2.35 or so as better than expected and below 2.3 as worse than expected. -
Monday Numbers - Tomb Raider - 1.04m, Game Night - $440k
Cooper Legion replied to Fancyarcher's topic in Numbers and Data
690 is very doable, that last 10M is probably a bridge too far. Off a 10M weekend it would need a 6x 7th weekend multiplier, which is a huge ask. Off a 12M weekend it would only need a 5x multiplier, which is a lot more possible. I think it’ll be around 11M, need a 5.5 multiplier off that weekend, and miss. I guess we we could have a situation where it’s going to make like 698 “naturally” and Disney just leaves it in theaters forever and uses some IW double features to try to drag it over, but they don’t seem to be too concerned about that sort of thing. -
Monday Numbers - Tomb Raider - 1.04m, Game Night - $440k
Cooper Legion replied to Fancyarcher's topic in Numbers and Data
Not Wrath of Han, but no, it won’t. Best Tuesday increase it’s had (+32%) gets it a 2.4 Tues, then best Wednesday drop (-25%) a 1.8 W, then best Thursday increase (8%) a slightly under 2 Thursday for a bit under 6.2 from the remaining weekdays and a Thurs total of about 639.3. Then it would need a 13M weekend (spectacular 24% drop) to pass JW. More realistically we should be at 639 after Thursday, 11-12 weekend gets to 650-651, pass JW next Tuesday or Wednesday. -
Monday Numbers - Tomb Raider - 1.04m, Game Night - $440k
Cooper Legion replied to Fancyarcher's topic in Numbers and Data
BP starting to pull ahead of TDK adjusted in the dailies more decisively now. Hard to see it below 680 for me. -
With 17.1M, BP has the 4th best 6th weekend ever, and could drop 30% and still remain in the top 5 weekends. It couldn’t afford to drop much more than that though, with the current 5th best 7th weekend being The Blind Side at 11.91.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
9 days into IW presales. 32 days to go. It’s in third place. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Wow, just getting sales by the 1000 and refreshing every half hour or so could be a big improvement to our Pulse data extraction. In fact, if we’re careful about not double counting tickets from overlapping windows, it should be possible to refresh more frequently and just have access to basically every ticket sold on fandango, right? Or are there sales that don’t appear on pulse? -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
At this rate the number of empty seats will have grown by over 2000 by OW, doesn’t look good -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Yay, more numbers. -
nu zillund Box Office New Zealand
Cooper Legion replied to Peeta Tong Karanasios's topic in International Box Office
So how much can we get out of New Zealand with Black Panther 2 directed by Taika Waititi? Eh, eh? -
Forecasted for 3rd best 5th weekend then, but fingers crossed on edging out Titanic’s 30.01. Deadline’s update also says: “that many ultimately believe will be an end game of $650M stateside, $1.25 billion worldwide” Which seems like a total joke lowball to me off of a 29 Mil weekend — 1.3 is more likely than not.
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Weekend Thread: Weekend estimates pg 38...BP 41.14....WIT 33.31
Cooper Legion replied to Alli's topic in Numbers and Data
To get Disney to 1B before IW, presumably. Instead they’ll have to settle for making it on opening Fri or Sat, which will still beat the previous record for fastest to 1B by about 10 days (and make the only times it has been done in under 150 days Disney 2016, Disney 2017, and Disney 2018). -
Weekend Thread: Weekend estimates pg 38...BP 41.14....WIT 33.31
Cooper Legion replied to Alli's topic in Numbers and Data
Zilch. They’d be lucky to get another 60 from Wrinkle and 140 from Panther, which is not even close. Even a crazy optimistic 80 from Wrinkle and 180 from Panther (over 750 finish, lol) still falls short. -
Weekend Thread: Weekend estimates pg 38...BP 41.14....WIT 33.31
Cooper Legion replied to Alli's topic in Numbers and Data
Really sad to see Black Panther C R U M B L I N G like this on Sun. I’ll revise my estimate down to 675. -
Weekend Thread: Weekend estimates pg 38...BP 41.14....WIT 33.31
Cooper Legion replied to Alli's topic in Numbers and Data
So they’re projecting a 13.1 Sunday — -29.6%. That is almost exactly between the last two Sun drops. In order to beat TFA’s 4th weekend it would need a 13.8 Sun (-25.8%). That’ very close to its 2nd weekend Sun drop, so definitely still within reach. -
Weekend Thread: Weekend estimates pg 38...BP 41.14....WIT 33.31
Cooper Legion replied to Alli's topic in Numbers and Data
20 would be absolutely incredible. -
Weekend Thread: Weekend estimates pg 38...BP 41.14....WIT 33.31
Cooper Legion replied to Alli's topic in Numbers and Data
Okay, a post with some more serious numbers. If BP gets a 42 weekend to get a 563 total to date, then here’s about how it would do with the 4th weekend multipliers of some various movies (some better comps than others): GotG2 675 TFA 687 TA 689 BATB 692 DP 693 The Jungle Book 693 JW 701 TDK 710 WW 722 JUM2 731 Zootopia 739 SM:H 740 That was all mental math, so don’t @ me if some of them are like +/- 2M, but basically top 3 DOM is looking *very* good.