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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. TGM 4th week 69M thanks to father’s/teenth, that will be the killer. May be able to bank 95-100M lead by end of week 3 though
  2. For @charlie Jatinder, ranked 2nd and 3rd weeks. This is from movies with 500+ total DOM only to avoid having to comb too many small Dec movies, but if anyone wants to add any that would make the top 10 (cutoffs 148M/81M) feel free to respond and I’ll add them in. 2nd Weeks 3rd Weeks * SMB is the only non Fri opener, weeks reflect D8-14 and D15-21 respectively. Please use same method for any suggested adds
  3. Not sure if this will really be a common pairing tbf 😛
  4. The I1 to I2 admit bump would take it to ~745M so still not quite that crazy Movie Adjusted ow -> adjusted DOM: I1 126-> 467.5 I2 223 -> 743 (+77% -> +59%) IO1 119-> 469 IO2 154 -> ? (+29.5% -> +?%) I guess tbf CS was flat from I1 to I2 so flat from IO1 -> IO2 no issue — 745 or flop @charlie Jatinder 😤
  5. Taking 30.5: first week 255 30.5 38.5 (+26%) 31 (-19.5%) //100, 355 60M weekdays // 160 week, 415 cume Add 1.78x week (avg 36% drops) for 700 should be plausible
  6. Fri/Th: similar to elemental Fri/juneteenth: similar to elemental 2nd wknd/first true fss: actually a better drop than elemental Insanity. So far run is indistinguishable from if had got the + (which would send to 700-750ish)
  7. Probably like 610-670+840-920 or something. Very likely over F2
  8. It’s probably going to be the biggest animated movie of all time, DOM and WW (nominal)
  9. Tbf while IO2 overperformed expectations massively and is going to have a stellar DOM finish and even more monstrous os… the DOM ow wasn’t truly BIG big. Like 25th nominal and 60th adjusted, unlike say I2 was 8th nominal and 14th adjusted. The OS debuts were actual behemoth level in some markets but that can be a bit more hit or miss in terms of attracting Rth
  10. Generally speaking “walkup”=same day sales. Too hard to measure otherwise (and would be extremely low and less meaningful)
  11. Yeah Sat start of 151k vs 176k last week. For now penciling ~650k for the day (-17% vs -11% on Fri)
  12. Th at 140k and chang is the 2nd highest nonOD weekday so far after yday. ~+3% weekly Fri cgv start is 41k vs 42k last week, I would guess day will be down 0-5% weekly…👀
  13. 79 would be good relative to other June Pixar sequels with great WOM. There is nothing in particular in first 6 days of data that points to higher be it in daily behavior or reception metrics. I think there’s room to go a bit higher based on vibes but some of the numbers being thrown around are kind of detached from reality and seem likely to bring nothing bit disappointment 🤷‍♂️
  14. Getting some very overheated projections because of the midweek holiday imo. Coming in at like 79 would be a good hold!
  15. And I’m saying it probably includes the sun cume for new markets, 2day for 2day holdover markets (not sure any of these are left after Japan switch though?), 3day for 3day holdover markets, 4day for 4day holdover markets, and 5day for 5day holdover markets. Just like reported wknd fig
  16. In order to really hurt a brand, sowmthign has to be: clearly bad widely watched by adults clearly canonical For animated property tie-in/spinoff stuff it’s not so easy to hit both of the first two at once and even if you do can inject some doubt about 3 as needed
  17. No, for openings markets it will be Sun cume of course but lots of markets have 4 or 5day weekends regularly. E.g. SK is WThFSS OW, fss after but France is WThFSS for all weekends
  18. Well I can’t very well act shocked with 32.5 after making these comments yesterday 😛 Let’s see how strong it plays at night
  19. Another 24k start, all set for ~ flat th-to-th. Sun cume should be 4-4.2ish probably
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