Easy top 10 I think
IV and V opened limited and expanded gradually. Usually we bounce around the list for Nth weekend of wide openers because it can be unclear which weekend should be counted otherwise. VI did open wide so it’s eligible, just hasn’t had any weekend big enough yet. It’s a 1983 movie and the lists are nominal, so pretty understandable.
Considering the presales it racked up in dec and that the 3rd biggest other movie that will will be like 4M, there’s every reason to give it a pretty wide release.
Now that the possibility March extended release seems dead, I think April 29 is a pretty decent date to push NWH for a final hurrah, playing into DS2 anticipation.
This is one market where NWH really did get savaged by Batman. 210k weekend ~300k week. Will need 23% drop from here for NTTD, probably dead without expansion.
No proper holiday mon until Memorial Day Weekend in 12 weeks. Easter in 6 weeks will have a boosted Mon but it might not even make 100k there since it will be after Morbius Sonic Dumbledore.
I think it should be able to pick up:
13th Sat
13th Sun
14th Sat
Pretty easily. If things get wild (well, medium wild) can possibly nab 1 more sun, 1-2 more Sat, and maybe 1 more Fri.
Sunday hadn’t happened yet, Friday and Saturday have. They can still get tweaked a little vs estimates but it would be more in the range of the updated fri figure, perhaps a few dozen k at most. So it could settle at like 4.55 perhaps but 4.6 very little chance.
That’s sort of what I was hoping for since it demonstrates how expectations fell over time with the so-so sales. It is barely short of recent expectations at all, bit further from longer ago ones.
Yeah, SC is a great calendar comp with better WoM and a lower ow. It pulled a true FSS multi of 3.24x. Assuming 131.6M for Batman (roughly 31.5 sun) that would take it to 378M for 2.87x. So realistically I’d say 2.5-2.8x probably the range.