Joyous Legion
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Posts posted by Joyous Legion
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5 minutes ago, Torontofan said:
Sales have not resumed for No way Home for Saturday and beyond yet in Ontario.
They need to start soon because those sites are going to be down for 24 hours from demand…
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13 minutes ago, Cap said:
Sim Steve’s Eco Reno took longer than I thought. I’m going to bed, and I’ll put everything up when I get up.Wow, 8am. You’re on my schedule at this point
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14 minutes ago, Danhjpn said:
why?
13 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:UK for one and most of Europe.
BOND.
^
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Oh, we’ll if it’s setting daily record on a workday I guess we can settle for sub 8 after all 🤣
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Just realized there are many territories where this won’t even do highest grossing Sony
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3 hours ago, Cap said:
I guesssss we could do that 😉
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Fucking without u is master bait
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Good rates in Brazil are worth like $100M by itself 😔
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Just now, charlie Jatinder said:
Celebrate
Why we celebrate low nums 😒
SpoilerI will accept 800s if I must, but in all seriousness seems like either sub 300 open or weak Xmas legs
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Final midday update, looks like 400. Slightly better afternoon/early evening pace, helped by less PS saturation of night shows I would guess.
Pretty similar drop in same day sales as FFH D2. Not going to forecast FSS given volatile circumstances, but I feel good about making up the difference in days 6+
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2 minutes ago, BK007 said:
They didn't even credit Rhys Ifans or I must have missed it. I thought it was weird how little both of them were featured, so I assume they weren't really in it? All just CGI?
Also, can someone more keyed in let me know -
Dr Strange 2 was meant to come out before this pre-pandemic, but in the trailer at the end, it seemed like Dr Strange 2 is based on what happened in this film...so did they have to reshoot the entire film or something? Just because of the pandemic and Sony wanting to release Spider Man first or what's the story behind it?
They changed NWH to be a multiverse story, DS2 would have been mostly the same either way.
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14 minutes ago, Saul Goodman said:
Best word of mouth for any big movie since Endgame.
It would be the best WOM for any big movie since Endgame even if it got an F
SpoilerI agree with your substantive point 😛
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Gotta have competition flop and legs 20 from spillover
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IF we get 320 OS-C opening I don’t really see what is stopping us from WW-C over JW WW 🤷♂️
If we had a good China date it should have pulled 330+ probably, though let’s see how HK and Taiwan end up.-
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Blah blah omicron disclaimer blah blah.
I mostly agree with John. If OS-C-J goes to like 320, I don’t see why it wouldn’t leg to mid 900s for over 1B/over IW OS-C once Japan does it’s part.
I guess one reason could be that SW is stronger in leggier markets and Marvel stronger is lower legged markets, but on the other hand you have reception. And including J in the calculation for the SW boosts the multis a bit.
TFA looks like a 4.34x OS-C multiplier 👀. 3.34 post sun/OW, vs 2.8 DOM. If NWH can go 2.2x DOM as I suspect, then why not a 3.3x+ OS-C legs? Call OS-C-J 320, OS-C 335, there we are again O/U Billie.
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Endgame had only 5900 seats left at the same point, sold half that many by final bell.
TROS 9100 seats left, sold… uhhh… 1/8 of them.
IW had 3600 seats left, sold like 43%.
NWH isn’t going to sell anything close to the % of remaining capacity that the other marvel’s did, because of the extra capacity from the 3pm. But quite noteworthy imo that it has waaaaaaay more space available for people to walk up to tomorrow, and a larger window of time for them to do it in.
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10PM Limit means no shows after 7, will really cut into weekends. But if people want to see it, they’ll find a time on some day.
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3 minutes ago, imbruglia said:
so it's 4 people
What does this mean? Clearly 4 people per show would be insane but not sure how else to interpret it
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Don’t take these too seriously, plenty of rough estimation, different franchises, different months, different Th start times, different pandemic conditions, etc. But still, was playing around with numbers and I figured some people might like this as a reference.
Movie Final PS (fri morning) Previews True PS True FSS True FSS/True PS True FSS-True PS wknd AEG 190,000,000 60,000,000 130,000,000 297,115,007 2.286 167,115,007 357,115,007 TFA 140,000,000 54,000,000 86,000,000 193,966,675 2.255 107,966,675 247,966,675 TLJ 120,000,000 45,000,000 75,000,000 175,009,584 2.333 100,009,584 220,009,584 TROS 115,000,000 40,000,000 75,000,000 137,383,864 1.832 62,383,864 177,383,864 IW 105,000,000 39,000,000 66,000,000 218,698,183 3.314 152,698,183 257,698,183 Geomean 130,975,482 46,921,990 83,872,899 197,833,069 2.359 111,442,434 245,433,419 Trimmed geomean 124,547,699 45,978,566 78,500,723 195,079,384 2.291 118,137,671 227,697,791 NWH rough proj 133000000 47000000 86000000 197046447.5 2.291 111,046,448 244046447.5 NWH worst case 128000000 46000000 82000000 150206358 1.832 68,206,358 196206358 NWH best case 140000000 52000000 88000000 220000000 2.500 132,000,000 272000000 -
Just cut a 30 second Garfield clip to slap on the end and Morbius is the next 100
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2 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:
Seems pretty divisive here. This is my favorite MCU series
I think widely liked here+Jat hates it
Pre-finale eps are I will say a dead tie with WV, so it’ll be finale vs finale.-
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@Cap, could we get a summary like this for the other 4 columns?
SpoilerQuoteThe Previews Are Locked In. We had 34 users submit Preview Predictions. Names omitted to protect the guilty:
PREVIEWS 45,000,000 42,120,000 40,500,000 40,000,000 37,000,000 36,000,000 36,000,000 35,510,000 35,069,420 34,200,000 34,000,000 33,255,743 33,000,000 31,000,000 30,500,000 30,200,000 30,200,000 29,000,000 28,800,000 28,000,000 28,000,000 27,690,000 27,500,000 27,300,000 25,000,000 25,000,000 24,100,000 21,400,000 20,000,000 18,500,000 16,500,000 16,000,000 15,000,000 There's still 2 weeks left to finalize your F/S/S/OW predictions -- or just send me predictions! If you edit them, PLEASE tag me. I don't want to miss any last minute tweaks.
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5 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:
Okay, No problem!
I’m a geomean kind of guy, so this is what I’ve converted your submission to for now
SpoilerUsername Isaac Newton DOM rank 2nd DOM gross 871,779,788 Username Isaac Newton Weekend Predicted Rank 1 4th 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 -
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4 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:
NWH Prediction:
(biting lips.....)
OW : $230M-$260M
Finals : $800M-$950M
Deadline passed I guess?
It’s scheduled to close in a little over 25 hours (though I’ve been thinking on pushing the deadline for everything except wknd1 to end of Sunday — @Multiverse of XXR, thoughts?).
We will need a specific number by then however — I could just take the average or the geomean of the range if you’d like, and then convert to the appropriate rank.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
in Numbers and Data
Posted
The only thing stopping a 4K t-1 is the fact that it’ll be 3 hours early 🤣