Cooper Legion

FWIW that same 2nd weekend regression predicts 667 for IW (off by less than .05x), 301 for DP2 (off by roughly .15x, DP2’s 2nd weekend was really hammered by Solo), and 579 for I2 (should be within .1x or so), so it’s been doing very well and even slightly underestimating on SH movies not in the training set. Also I’d consider that pretty conclusive that I2 played like a superhero movie.

Weird that they’re calling that a 61% drop. It’s 61.63, which pretty clearly rounds up. This simple linear regression of 2nd weekend drops to final multi for summer SH movies would map that to a 2.71 for a 205 total, which looks about right to me.

No, the 1.366 OS total is correct, and so is the WW. The consequence of China’s real number being 376ish is that OS-China is 990, and will not reach 1B. There’s actually a thread on reddit right now that is high on the front page celebrating 1B OS-China, and the only comment correcting it is sitting at like -40, which is some pretty hilarious shit.

Ant2 is having a decent increase, so this question is very strange. I think Strange 2 will almost certainly join the 2017 movies in 300+/800+ though, considering where the first one landed and how much the character perception was improved by IW.

THE DARK KNIGHT RETURNS CONFIRMED

And the first 2 Ant-Man films made fine money. That's why this whole line of conversation from you is a bit odd.

Both Ant-Man films have been well-received and turned good profits (and without any Avengers appearances for the character, which is about to change). There will clearly be a sequel, and it won’t necessarily have a big change (Ragnarok’s change had more to do with the audience and star actor’s dissatisfaction with the character’s handling in TDW and AoU than the financials). I certainly would expect the third to have some more connectedness with the rest of the universe, possibly including a guest hero with a substantial role, but that would have been the case even if this one did 850.

My god, it’s genius.

HT3 was the first good one, why stop there?

AM1 OS-China was about 240, so 33% higher would be 320. I can see anywhere from 100-200 from China, for 420-520 OS and some 620-720 WW. High end there is a real long shot though.

No digital/blu-ray release yet, so putting details in spoilers WW does some things better than IW, but overall level of emotional impact is not even close.

Mmm, AM&tW over Solo club is officially dead with that weekend. Still a good chance to pass 200, but not by much. It’s pretty sad how Ant-Man movies always seem to be lagging the rest of the phase, especially when their quality is actually really high. Hopefully A4 can really give a boost to the character. Oh well, even if Marvel is missing 1.6 DOM at least they should still hit 4B WW.

But can it hit 1/7A?

LOL, WW was a fine film but let’s not get carried away, it was pretty cliched and cheesy in a lot of parts as well. IW was way more emotional.

I don’t think they can release a movie together before next May though

Presumably the same reason they’re afraid to call this a useful post

You guys have convinced me to watch HT3. I hope you’re happy with yourselves.

Fingers crossed 😛 If you want fewer outs you could go for Logan at 615.

What do you mean, that was just 6 days ago

Well, there is a pretty infamous recent CBM in the mid 600s... might not be the best comparison to draw though. Probably Ant-Man and the Wasp will settle in the right range.

When this movie comes out the perception of Black Widow in the period between IW and A4 isn’t going to matter in the slightest. It’s all about how that movie positions the character moving forward (and maybe also some small details like the quality of the movie ).

Now that is the 10M dollar question. It’s conceivable that with A4 on the horizon, they’re just blatantly lying about it being a prequel to avoid spoilers. It does seem like the possibility to be an actual prequel is a lo higher than with FFH though.

I like the Black Widow character, but having this be a prequel pretty much kills my interest tbh, unless they can tie it into the modern day storyline well. Doesn’t make much sense to speculate about this movie’s prospects until we see how the character is received in A4.

It would be really bizarre to do a movie starring her in that case. Presumably if this is successful we have Black Widow 2 and Black Widow 3 in the pipeline, and there’s no way they’d be planning to have them all be prequels.