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Legion Again

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Everything posted by Legion Again

  1. In 2021 my top MCU product was the first show of the year. Starting to suspect a repeat for 2022.
  2. Toku basic nailed it, though I would also say that the weekdays look good for it assuming wed and th ~flat from mon. I know some smart people who think it could go higher than 4.6 👀 BOP is at just 4M, so 🤞 Though fwiw over 12 weeks, NWH actuals have been 10% higher than BOP’s forecast on avg, which would give 4.4
  3. Just noticed that Batman got a 33rd place OW, and my projections for 2nd, 3rd, and 4th are also very close to 33rd rank.
  4. Nope. Presales tracking for 2nd weekends is very rare, I think we had a little bit for NWH and Endgame but that’s pretty much it. Generally all weekends after OW people make forecasts based on past days and historical comps, including info like demos, calendar, etc
  5. Wed/Mon: ~ -22.5% Joker -1% (!) Logan -21.5% CM -22% Various other comps I’ve seen ineligible because of pres/labor/Easter.
  6. Yeah I think you’re right. Here’s the thread if anyone wants to go diving for contemporaneous explanations 😛
  7. Glad I got the forecast in before the wed. My forecast was from 8.5. FWIW, 1st Th’s: Joker -14% (vs 2.85M in previews) Logan -13% (vs 3.7M in previews) Deadpool -7% (vs 1.25M in previews) SC -15% (vs no previews) CM +8% (???? (must have been a moviepass Th after nonmoviepass wed I guess))
  8. Not quite sure where to put this. I guess here is as good a place as any since the weekend thread doesn’t exist, maybe I’ll cross post there when it does. Legion Weekend Forecast Batman 55-63M (59M) Uncharted 8.15M Dog 5.25M NWH 4.6M Nile 2.3M Sing 1.5M Jackass 1.15M Cyrano 510k Scream 500k Marry Me 330k Couple of these are higher than I had last week, LOL
  9. For all we know this has some unexpected connection to DS2 and the trailer won’t come out until May. It’s not like that would hurt the movie any.
  10. Man I loved rl1628142187, but the franchise really started to run out of steam by the time they did rl1628144892. And with the disastrous performance of rl1628145152, I just don’t see much potential here.
  11. NWH had a disappointing 1st Tues as well as I recall. Tuesday are just tough to interpret in this marketplace, wed/mon is what really matters.
  12. Easy top 10 I think IV and V opened limited and expanded gradually. Usually we bounce around the list for Nth weekend of wide openers because it can be unclear which weekend should be counted otherwise. VI did open wide so it’s eligible, just hasn’t had any weekend big enough yet. It’s a 1983 movie and the lists are nominal, so pretty understandable.
  13. Hey @Tokugennumataka, do you have a 13th weekends list? I can whip one up myself if not.
  14. It’s pretty expected I think between calendar and age skew. Maybe a little better considering runtime.
  15. Considering the presales it racked up in dec and that the 3rd biggest other movie that will will be like 4M, there’s every reason to give it a pretty wide release.
  16. Looks like 2000+ based in currently available shows. h/t @katnisscinnaplex
  17. Now that the possibility March extended release seems dead, I think April 29 is a pretty decent date to push NWH for a final hurrah, playing into DS2 anticipation.
  18. This is one market where NWH really did get savaged by Batman. 210k weekend ~300k week. Will need 23% drop from here for NTTD, probably dead without expansion.
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