Legion Again

Yeah, I mean there is a lot of truth here, which is why I haven’t been complaining that hard about the aggressive modding on the topic. My personal preference would be to warn/ban the people getting toxic about it when they do rather than banning the entire topic before it’s devolved but I won’t get too heated about it.

This is really the key. Sure the 5B hits are fun. A few megamonsters a year with plenty medium-medium small is a healthy market. A few megamonsters+rest small-tiny is not.

I also feel like there’s a lot of strawmanning and assuming the worst in there, but I won’t continue this publicly if I’m not supposed to be 👍

Man that is long. On the one hand thanks for engaging, on the other hand it is a bit overwhelming 😅 I will try to have some more detailed constructive thoughts later, but to be very brief: A lot of this sounds more like reasons (understandable reasons!) for your personal stance in the discussion rather than reasons why the discussion needs to be officially disallowed — especially before any real bad behavior has occurred.

I knew it was coming out, but I’m not even into movies

Yes, O/U 50

I guess Mormons just love to go to the theaters on Thanksgiving 😛 Safe to say it will not follow normal trend, but still probably gonna be a huge mega overindex. I am skeptical of bugs as an explanation because the other days looks fairly within reason, but special bookings quite possibly?

Ahh, okay, perhaps I misunderstood you. I don’t really have an opinion on what is more subjectively important. I was just saying that Last Man Standing’s point (that it’s lack of audience willingness to pay for these movies that will prevent more from being made, moreso than a top down studio decision) remains true even if it’s well regarded by audiences in 2035 or whatnot.

Like I said 😛

It is obvious that critics have agendas sometimes, but that whole conversation is so intertwined with some toxic elements that it’s hard to have a reasonable back and forth about it (and the mods don’t seem inclined to let people try).

If so, it will still be a massive money loser because it was rejected by audiences at the box office.

The real event of the holiday, gonna get more engagement than Encanto Gucci and raccoon combined

The millennials didn’t come to see it. The zoomers didn’t come. The boomers didn’t come, the Xers didn’t come, the greatest gen didn’t come… I mean, this was not a generational issue. The whole public was not interested in paying to watch this movie in a theater. That’s life.

Well, things definitely aren't any better than they are. But on the bright side, things aren't any worse than they are either 😛

The competition certainly plays a role, though FB1 was of roughly the same magnitude as GBA here, and Eternals is going -58ish vs -61 and -62 when Thor's wemt up vs CF and JL. I have no idea how you're getting 157 -- actually, wait, I do have an idea, I think you forgot to add previews back in.

It's basically TDW redux in terms of legs, the 3rd weekend drop is actually very typical for Nov MCU. Now TDW ain't exactly aspirational, but it's better than feared on OW.

Ahh, Sat was a bit better than I realized. Would think -35%ish so yeah something like 32 will be pretty close.

Don't think it matters much

It’s oddly good compared to last Sun so I am not exactly convinced by any explanation that applies equally as well there 😛 Not that I expect to be convinced by any explanation per se — sometimes things are just a little high or low for essentially inscrutable stochastic reasons.

Speaking of V2, convincingly dethrones FG for 8th weekend record: OW — Venom LTBC 90M 2nd wknd — SC 34.7M 3rd — SC 21.7M 4th — SC 13M 5th — SC 6.1M 6th — FG 5.1M (SC has now dropped below FG’s weekends) 7th — FG 4.1M 8th — V2 2.77M 9th — Croods2 1.8M 10th — Croods2 1.8M 11th — Croods2 1.7M 12th — Croods 2 2.1M 13th — Croods 2 1.7M 9th should be easy with holiday. 10th no chance, only an amazingly received NWH can hope to challenge the powah of the Grug Moment.

No big deal with GB:A anyway, real drama is in Dispatch vs V2 race 😏

The preview:true OD sales look more like a Moana/coco prev % than WIR, which was over 20% and the only sequel of the bunch. But trying to read too much from that is shaky.

Oddly good sun for et. Ghostbusters sun est looked right on the money, no surprise there.

5day should be ~1.4-1.5x the 3day, I am ballparking 3day at ~18x previews, range 14-22 (probably lower multi if higher previews, yadda yadda). So if previews can do 2, which I bet they can, like 36 3day low 50s 5day? 30-40 for 42-60?

But 50% still has plenty occupancy issues. It’s not like 50% every show, areas of high interest can go completely full while others are at 20% or whatever. So with an extra time the 20% just go even lower from diffusion but the areas hitting caps see more real sales.