Legion Again
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Posts posted by Legion Again
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2 minutes ago, Borobudur said:
so domestic box office is now able to accommodate a 30m opener like GvK and MK+DS. AQP2 will challenge 50m mark .
Cruella on same weekend. Should take it well above 50
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4.5*4 or so would be a very good debut, pretty in line with more conservative expectations this week and vastly above optimistic ones from two weeks ago. MK really finishing strong. Will be a nice overall weekend for the market.
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6 minutes ago, Menor said:
It's down about 28k tickets at MTC1 and 19k at MTC2. I expect it will gain well over 10k at each just from tomorrow's PS. Walk-ins will be much stronger as well for MK. I think it will comfortably surpass DS on Saturday as well.
Yeah the day-of sales can overwhelm even a substantial % PS lead, which DS probably won’t even have.
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1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:
Fun part. DS pre-sales for weekend yesterday was $9.5M.
Deadline has the inside scoop on Nega-walkups incoming.
After OD it will earn -2M Sat and -2M Sun for 12-2-2=8
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That other Spanish box office expert’s high end is just 17k short of Broly 👀
Ganbatte ne, Demon Slayer!
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46 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:
What the fuck. This sucks ass.
Other studios presumably to follow - especially those with their own DTC. I don’t really see the big deal. Technology is evolving, older formats/distributions methods/mediums get phased out. Same thing happened with VHS.
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“Industry projections have Endgame making 120-150M for the weekend...”
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I... I.. is that...
... I’m just gonna assume that’s a bullish pure Fri projection and move on
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4 hours ago, DAJK said:
A Mortal Kombat breakout would be nice, but would probably also kill GvK's chances of surpassing KOTM domestically.
It’s dead. Bury it.
100M probably also dead.
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1 hour ago, Borobudur said:
Any chance that we can get BOM to fix their DS number? the site not only underestimate their Japanese gross, they also ignore few notable market like Taiwan. And worst of all, I still seeing media quoting BOM's number for DS. I am scared if this will steal away DS' moment as the highest grossing film in 2020.
It absolutely doesn’t matter that BOM is using wrong numbers. Toho/industry sources announce based on reality, not based on erroneous 3rd party figures.
But also DS is going above 500M, even if it was like 60M short right now instead of actual 20M, worldwide crown is still safe.
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1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:
Yeah the boost is in one chain only as CGV is just at 627 pre-sales.
Yeah it’s just mega box, right? So we might get a pretty funny CGV%. But it wouldn’t show up in the daily PS anyway since event doesn’t start for 2 more days.
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Yeah these PS for the new promotion are wild. 50k on KOBIS vs 33k atm for this weekend’s opener, Recalled (and some 20% of those are probably for Thursday). Seems like a good chance to return to #1 3 months after release, but PSm will probably be very low so don’t be surprised/disappointed with “just” #2.
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10 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:
I guess the Detective Pikachu hard ups had some reason to believe it might blow up then lol
Ahh the good ol’ days.Yeah one of my first thoughts when I looked that up was “damn, PDP didn’t even do half that.” I agree with Eric that the peak (at least DOM) was late 90s.
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In fact, poking around on wayback, seems Pokémon scored a top 40 OW. Today same OW rank is It with 123M 👀
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8 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
Top Foreign openers in North America
- Hero - $18.25M
- Dragon Ball Super: Broly - $15.4M (Best 3 days in 5 days weekend of $20.3M)
- Baahubali 2 - $11M
- Fearless - $10.57M
- Yu-Gi-Oh - $9.5M
Don't think I miss any.
Pokémon 1998 31M 3-day, 32.8M best 3 of 5 days.
Then the sequel (Pokemon 2000) did 19.57 off a Fri opening.
Pretty insane stuff adjusted.
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Can I just say, amazing to have a weekend battle again.
Loking forward to the 2nd weekend battle as well 👀
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3 minutes ago, PKMLover said:
Sorry to ask again but you wrote $6.5-7M OD means Thursday night + Friday, right?
No, just for previews! Actual OD from 6.5 previews would have to be at least 11M I’d imagine.
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8 minutes ago, marveldcfox said:
Ant-Man and Ant-Man 2 say Hi
Are you somehow under the impression that I don’t know about these movies? What is your point, precisely, because it sure as shit isn’t going to disprove mine.
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Simu casting, like some other elements of the trailer, seems more focused on American appeal based on personality/comedic chops. And acting ability/fit with the character is much more important than looks, so I’ll wait til seeing the movie to judge. But Sarah Halley Finn verrrrrrrrry rarely misses.
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I think the only 125 in this thread has been when I said 125 4-day (including Labor Day Mon) — which would be maybe 95 TFSS. DS1 level.
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Not sure if people realize but Incredible Hulk, Thor 1, C:TFA, and DS1 all had OWs ranked 55-65. That range is 95M-105M nowadays. It doesn’t take being an especially strong first entry to hit that kind of range.p for MCU OWs.
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1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:
For lower trailer views y'all are like its new character and FFH and all were sequels and stuff.
But for box office y'all ignoring all that and expecting 100-125M like every other MCU film
Pick a lane.
It’s simple. 100ish is the figure for a lower interest new character. For a non-AM sequel 150+ is more what to aim for.
... pre-pandemic, that is. Degree on pandemic impact on Sep 3 quite hazy atm, but I expect low.
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1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:
Not just do well at MTC 1 and 2 but release will be MTC 1 and 2 heavier. I am expecting 1.3-1.5k release size, as compared to 3k of GvK.
1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:@Shawn what is the show count/theater count for Demon Slayer. Is there any official word.
They were estimating around 2k as of late last week: https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-forecast-a-quiet-place-part-ii-and-f9-hope-to-shepherd-the-next-phase-of-global-recovery/
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3 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
Well technically it is just like pre-CoVID Thurs preview but many times non-Hollywood films Thursday are reported as a separate day instead of rolling them in Friday like Hollywood studios do. Donno how Funimation rolls. Need to check.
Ah, okay. Interesting. For purposes of the fantasy movie league it will be quite important whether the official weekend figure is FSS or TFSS — though I guess I can just make it one way or the other by fiat if there’s any uncertainty.
Anything north of 5 for previews would be pretty great imo. I mean even 4M previews*3.3 prev:wknd would get it a figure that would be really strong for anime films even under normal conditions, and far above what I expected 10 days ago.
Edit: Hah, jinx 😉
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Disney+ MCU: The Falcon & The Winter Soldier | Featuring Captain Ughmerica and Battlestar Galactica
in Streaming, TV Series, & VOD Movies
Posted
Guess it’s that time again
5 — IW, TWS, Endgame
4.5 — CW, IM1, Gotg1, WV, Ragnarok, AM&tw, BP
4 — AM1, Gotg2, FWS, CA:TFA, AoU, TA, SMH
3.5 — CM, Thor, DS
3 — IM3, FFH, IM2, TDW, Hulk