Legion Again
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Everything posted by Legion Again
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Daily Numbers | Thursday 1st March 2018 | BP 6.7 million
Legion Again replied to MaxAggressor's topic in Numbers and Data
So 65 needed to beat JW on the Fastest to 500 chart? IN -
Monday Numbers: Black Panther 8M Guru
Legion Again replied to WrathOfHan's topic in Numbers and Data
75 seems crazy, but that’s what I thought about BOM’s 120, and that ended up being a pretty good estimate. If the 3rd weekend falls below that estimate to the same degree, we’ll end up with 111/120*75= 69 -
Monday Numbers: Black Panther 8M Guru
Legion Again replied to WrathOfHan's topic in Numbers and Data
MCU 2018 stretch goals: 1.5 DOM, 3.5 WW -
At least there will be a movie that makes over 150M in March
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Now a 3.5 multiplier with this weekend only gets it to 683 The only thing that can save this movie movie now is 69M next weekend.
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The cume is 405, so add 10 to everything.
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Seems possible. Also would edge out Avatar for 2nd place.
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This Tues-Thursday BP did 50 compared to JW’s 62 (~80.6%). JW made 43 in its second week Mon-Thurs, so if BP can get a similar ratio it would be about 35M, to be at 440 end of Thursday. Then it would only need a 61M weekend (46% drop), which should be super doable, to also pass Jurassic world for fastest to 500. Of course Jurassic World had summer weekdays, and BP’s first week was a partial holiday week, which it’s 2nd is not. The best part is that a 69M third weekend is very in play.
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Also this gives a 405 10-day to comfortably surpass JW on the fastest to 400 list. Making a mere 2x this weekend going forward would be a 631 total to easily pass TLJ and TA (all unadjusted, of course). 700 only requires 2.61.
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This fucking movie. I just can’t believe. Box Office’s Mojo’s 120M prediction ended up being way closer than the “barely 100” predictions. 36.5 Sun is a 113M weekend, is a 36% drop from the pure FSS. Simply unreal, and a very good chance at DOM top 3 now.
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Is Avatar even overrated? I thought everyone just knew it wasn’t that great.
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Should have great Public Relations.
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You get some pretty good exposure
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RIP Iron Man 3 Worldwide. Also, MCU DOM totals: 2012 625M 2013 615M 2014 595M 2015 640M 2016 640M 2017 1040M 2018 1300M+ Solid shot to beat a few real studios this year.
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You need a person to use, so just go with Stan Lee. But honestly, are you really going to need all 6 degrees? Four Degrees of Stan Lee should be plenty.
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Now we just need a third weekend drop around equal to Spider-Man for a nice 69M 3rd weekend, edging out Avatar for 2nd best again.
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BV has 130 this year from Ragnarok, Coco, and TLJ. Might be able to squeeze 650 out of a Black Panther by the time Infinity War releases. BoxOfficePro currently forecasting 140 total for Wrinkle in Time. That at all adds up to 920, so they could pass 1 billion domestic on IW Friday, May 4 — beating their own record of 128 days (May 7th) from 2016. If if you feel truly optimistic about BP legs and Wrinkle in Time, they could even hit 1B off IW previews or earlier.
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What in the Holy &#%! Beating JW for fastest to 400 is back on the table.
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And Ragnarok had a 32M pure Friday, only about 3M above BP’s second weekend. If if we do get 46+ here, Black Panther could conceivably edge out Ragnarok’ 108.2 pure FSS.
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Holy crap, I was joking with the 46.9. Even if it ends up a bit below this early estimate with, say, 44, It would be comfortably above the Avengers for 2nd best 2nd Sat, and could beat JW for 2nd best 2nd weekend with a 22% Sunday drop or so. Also looks pretty hard to miss 100 now— you’d need today to come in well below and/or a pretty weak Sunday drop.
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Oh Mighty @Rth Wakanda, it has now been more than one full rotation of this planet around its axis since you last graced us with your wisdom. Can you now confirm for me Black Panther’s 46.9M Saturday?
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Presumably one of April’s problems is that people don’t want to have their legs crushed by the first May Friday release. But this May shows that a wide variety of scheduling cluster&#@%s for big movies are still possible, so I’m sure April will get there someday soonish.
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Oh, Tele, Tele, Tele. So experienced, and yet still so innocently hopeful. No, we cannot. To not have a pissing contest would be an impossible violation of human nature.
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27.6 would be a nice number.
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For anyone wondering, that was about 87.5-106
