Legion Again
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Everything posted by Legion Again
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Also this gives a 405 10-day to comfortably surpass JW on the fastest to 400 list. Making a mere 2x this weekend going forward would be a 631 total to easily pass TLJ and TA (all unadjusted, of course). 700 only requires 2.61.
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This fucking movie. I just can’t believe. Box Office’s Mojo’s 120M prediction ended up being way closer than the “barely 100” predictions. 36.5 Sun is a 113M weekend, is a 36% drop from the pure FSS. Simply unreal, and a very good chance at DOM top 3 now.
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Is Avatar even overrated? I thought everyone just knew it wasn’t that great.
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Should have great Public Relations.
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You get some pretty good exposure
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RIP Iron Man 3 Worldwide. Also, MCU DOM totals: 2012 625M 2013 615M 2014 595M 2015 640M 2016 640M 2017 1040M 2018 1300M+ Solid shot to beat a few real studios this year.
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You need a person to use, so just go with Stan Lee. But honestly, are you really going to need all 6 degrees? Four Degrees of Stan Lee should be plenty.
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Now we just need a third weekend drop around equal to Spider-Man for a nice 69M 3rd weekend, edging out Avatar for 2nd best again.
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BV has 130 this year from Ragnarok, Coco, and TLJ. Might be able to squeeze 650 out of a Black Panther by the time Infinity War releases. BoxOfficePro currently forecasting 140 total for Wrinkle in Time. That at all adds up to 920, so they could pass 1 billion domestic on IW Friday, May 4 — beating their own record of 128 days (May 7th) from 2016. If if you feel truly optimistic about BP legs and Wrinkle in Time, they could even hit 1B off IW previews or earlier.
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What in the Holy &#%! Beating JW for fastest to 400 is back on the table.
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And Ragnarok had a 32M pure Friday, only about 3M above BP’s second weekend. If if we do get 46+ here, Black Panther could conceivably edge out Ragnarok’ 108.2 pure FSS.
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Holy crap, I was joking with the 46.9. Even if it ends up a bit below this early estimate with, say, 44, It would be comfortably above the Avengers for 2nd best 2nd Sat, and could beat JW for 2nd best 2nd weekend with a 22% Sunday drop or so. Also looks pretty hard to miss 100 now— you’d need today to come in well below and/or a pretty weak Sunday drop.
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Oh Mighty @Rth Wakanda, it has now been more than one full rotation of this planet around its axis since you last graced us with your wisdom. Can you now confirm for me Black Panther’s 46.9M Saturday?
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Presumably one of April’s problems is that people don’t want to have their legs crushed by the first May Friday release. But this May shows that a wide variety of scheduling cluster&#@%s for big movies are still possible, so I’m sure April will get there someday soonish.
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Oh, Tele, Tele, Tele. So experienced, and yet still so innocently hopeful. No, we cannot. To not have a pissing contest would be an impossible violation of human nature.
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27.6 would be a nice number.
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For anyone wondering, that was about 87.5-106
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Updated pessimistic prediction:69+69^.69 Updated optimistic prediction:69+69^.69+69^.69
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RIP dreams of beating JL WW with DOM money alone. Y’know, unless estimates are way too low. Like last Friday. And last Saturday. And last Sunday. And last Monday.
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And consider this a mercy.
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Slumdog Millionaire, 2943. The Sixth Sense, 2784. Frozen, 2754. Chicago, 2701. There’s Something about Mary, 2538. List should be exhaustive.
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Being slightly pessimistic, my take on this weekend’s numbers: BP~N(105,6)
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BP currently running 108% of TA. If it can keep that up for the weekend it would be just over 111 — enough to dethrone JW and take 2nd place for fastest to 400
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Dunno about that division, man. Almost seem like cheating. We can get an exact solution with 69/.69+69/6.9+69/6.9 if we start allowing things like division
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BOM is predicting almost exactly 6.9^((6.9^.69)^.69)-6.9
