RealLyre
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Posts posted by RealLyre
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Just remembered that Wonder Woman 1984 is scheduled for Oct 2nd which is less than 4 weeks from now (for some reason I thought it was in November). So Tenet will have competition and might start losing screens then .
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watched singin' in the rain (1952) and it was absolutely exceptional, I loved about almost everything about it (the broadway melody sequence drags down a bit but it doesn't detract much from the ending). Donald O'Connor is a joy to watch and Make 'Em Laugh & Moses Supposes are fantastic examples of lyrical physical comedy and O'Connor is just an amazing dancer, his dance choreography is extremely impressive for its time. I'm not too familiar with the musical genre but this one was one of the most hilariously entertaining feel good musicals I've seen. 8/10
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Netflix has yet to make an action blockbuster feel like it's on par with a Nolan/bond/mission impossible/Mad Max film or even an MCU/DC cbm
so i dont think they are really a threat for the studios with that demographic. Netflix's strongest point (in the film division) is their mid to low budget films and their acquisitions of obscure foreign films and w/e they can get their hands on from festivals
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3 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:
A 20M weekend would look good, but this is like a 10-12M weekend. The rest is from pre-weekend 4 days in US and 9 days in Canada.
so if Tenet makes 10-12M next weekend it could be technically close to a flat drop? The New Mutants had a normal 59% drop this weekend and that movie opened less.
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i think the box office attendance in South Korea, Japan, China & Europe have spoiled us for the past few weeks. so the domestic market not performing anywhere close to these in terms of a return to normalcy can only be disappointing. although it's understandable with how the pandemic have been going on in the us the last couple of months.
it seems like Tenet isn't going to make anything on Monday
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1 minute ago, grim22 said:
The bigger issue is that Tenet's hype has died down now and CA/NY grosses will be sub-optimal as a result when it finally releases there.
it said Tenet opened in 2815 theaters which would about 70% of the usual theater count so if all was open it could had done closer to 30M which is still isn't as good as Europe comparatively. although I think Canada is mostly open everywhere no? not sure how much they factor in theaters count
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Warners believes that Tenet will have a longer run in theaters than is usually the case, versus boasting a mega-opening weekend. Most analysts agree, saying the film has a shot at earning $500 million worldwide. If it doesn't, it will likely lose money.
500M needed at least a 100M from China so that's not happening.
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2 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:
OS-China should cross 200 mil at this rate. Seems like 350 mil is the ceiling to me. Still gonna be a big loss for Warner.
200M from OS-China, 55M in China. doubt it does 100M in North America now. probably more like 70-90 imo
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2 minutes ago, tree said:
Wasn't it forecast a $45M opening in china this weekend? So $30M is pretty bad?
poor WoM brought down under 40M. total run will probably like 50M-55M at best rn i think
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where are the Nolan fans when you need them. so the only place where this done well is Europe, welp
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4 minutes ago, Johnny Tran said:
First big movie out in 6 months with some markets not participating and a lot of people still not going anywhere and people are in here expecting normalcy? Gotta be trolling lol..
I want to see the numbers too but they ain't gonna be normal. Nothing is normal.
numbers are close to being semi-normal in China & Europe. I think people were expecting a similar performance to that in the states. which it might still do so as we still don't have
any numbers
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wait so WB will report the OW + the early previews + all of what Tenet made Canada in a single figure later today? I thought we would get FSS first.
also if all what Tenet made from that is only 20M-23M, I don't how see how it could reach 90M-100M domestic total. even with it opening in 2500-3000 theaters instead of the usual 4000+ I never really subscribed to the idea of Tenet opening to less than 30M so it may be more about my expectations.
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does anyone know how many theaters Tenet is supposed to be playing in? according to boxofficemojo, Unhinged opened in 1.8k theaters & The New Mutants in 2.4K. would 3000+ theaters this weekend be plausible?
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this reminds me when Once Upon A Time in Hollywood got a B CS (& somewhere in 70s on RT audience verified score) but still thanks to its star power managed to have great legs. not exactly sure why that movie got timid audience reception as it wasn't hard to understand or anything (it was also Rated R that was almost 3 hours long so maybe that's why). Joker getting a B+ makes sense though
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2 hours ago, Mango said:
The fact that Tenet has a lower score on RT than Mulan just superficially bugs me. I can't help but think it says a lot about this industry now- or at least its "critics"
You have an original, well made, ambitious film that truly tries to do something new and a soulless cash crab copypasta project from a corporation who is attempting to monopolize the industry and the latter has a higher scores from whatever hole RT pulls their "critics" from. I'm not saying everyone had to love Tenet or anything, I just dislike Disney's live action copypasta #20 is somehow more revered right now.
The reviews aren’t saying that either of them are ambitious or original than the norm. Tenet seems like an above average action movie with a sci-fi element with no characters you can care about and Mulan seems like an above average Disney remake with some heart.
critics are not obligated to lie about their opinions to please Nolan fanboys. The reviews are also on par with Interstellar so I’m not sure what changed in the industry opinion of Nolan and his critics.
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10 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:
Surely the first sentence is reversed from what you meant? Openings might be fairly close now.
Not sure I would call the China WOM good, especially since it has some chance to settle at 8.5. More like “okay.”
Yeah I meant closer. Not sure how less got it in 🤭
I guess it’s not ideal but isn’t that good enough for 2x multi? 60M-70M sounds good
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So the domestic and Chinese openings will be a lot closer than I thought. It initially looked like an easy win for China
thankfully word of mouth is good in both countries
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do people forget that two of Nolan's 2010s films have won the Oscar for Sound Mixing.
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6 minutes ago, Daxtreme said:
Well, having the #1 spot surely deserves beating tie breakers
Thanks a lot for the list, it was great! Glad to see such a varied selection, it wasn't one-dimensional at all.
Parasite is gonna be like the Shawshank Redemption of foreign movies - it's gonna top lists because it's universally liked AND popular, not because it's the most ground-breaking. Very few people dislike the movie
more like the godfather of foreign movies in terms of success & awards. haven't really seen that much of praise (relativity to those 2 movies) for Shawshank outside of IMDB.
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why is Tenet still not certified fresh on RT? it's at 78% and it got over 140 reviews. it was in the low 80s for the past week with 100+ reviews. meanwhile I'm Thinking of Ending Things is already certified fresh from only 46 reviews..
Rotten Tomatoes certified fresh process will remain a mystery for me i guess
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haven't seen Tenet but a stark difference between Nolan and Lynch for me has been how Lynch doesn't try to make you understand his stories while Nolan tries as best as he can with his terrific exposition. it's kinda hard for me to get confused watching Interstellar or Inception when everything is explained as simply as possible imo.
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26 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
20-22mn OW IMO. + US Sneaks + Canada 9 Days 31-34mn.
didn't Canada do 3.5-4M? US+Canada should be 35M-40M if it's 10%
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500M+ gross for Tenet is great for theaters as it shows consumer confidence in going back to cinemas. but Tenet's break even point was 800M iirc so it's still a bit far off from being a financial success i guess
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TENET Weekend Thread | 20.2M opening with previews and Canada | RIP Movies 1888-2020
in Numbers and Data
Posted · Edited by RealLyre
nvm