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charlie Jatinder

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Everything posted by charlie Jatinder

  1. Yeah part of miss was we didn't had a big family flick exploding like that recently. Jurassic World was expected to be so but it had muted bumps in final 3 days. Walkins during weekend were good though. Lightyear was worse in all ways. By Tuesday it was clear Minions is not doing those two did but was too late by then to call it a win.
  2. Minions were bigger than all these I think. Atleast the last two.
  3. DS2 sales are mostly not worth for this. CGV presales for OD of DS2 was only 18% of overall pre-sales while a normal release title would have 23-25%. Not a huge diff but will be a diff of 150k pre-sales for something like 100K CGV start. I think Thor 4 will have final sales of around 450-500K, and CGV start of 100-125k. OD probably 400-500K.
  4. The point is to see opening numbers far out with sales data. It's fine. Would have failed with something someday.
  5. So this is the first major release we got wrong in a long time. Venom 2 was there but we had excuse of release date vagueness giving it an unusual trend. We didn't see $100M OW coming for Minions until now. I was thinking around $60-65M before Monday, only TUE I started thinking $75M+ and on WED took $85-95M train, which is a bit too late, but I guess happens. After how JWD didn't get big jumps, thought Minions may be following same route. It didn't.
  6. Thor: Love and Thunder Harkins T-7 Days Shows Capacity Sold % Sold Gross ATP 512 119,100 13,267 11.14% $165,838 $12.50 +585. Good bump. Need more such good bumps. Since targets work well for it. Expecting 16.6K by Sunday. Will be great if its more. Also Gross is estimate today. Comps 0.579x of DSitMoM admits - $21M 3.210x of Black Widow admits - $44.1M 4.119x of Eternals admits - $39.1M
  7. Different release time too. Far From Home had only 465K pre-sales. Holiday on WED or THU drives sales a lot. Will be tough to match DS2 here. Eternals at same time was 97K and ended at 360K. This has a better pace so far.
  8. I am gonna name the theaters. 🤯 Northfield 18 JWD - 909 Minions 2 - 1109 Santan Village 16 JWD - 1186 Minions 2 - 1347 These two are the ones that overtake JWD. Few others were close.
  9. Minions: The Rise of Gru Harkins Final Shows Capacity Sold % Sold Gross ATP 331 83,149 23,033 27.70% $257,990 $11.20 Excellent final day, adding over 16K. Actual gross shall be around $230K approx, which will normally be $10-12M but this seems to be over-indexing region. If Harkins is performing like this, we can assume Cinemark is too. Comps 0.65x Jurassic World: Dominion - $11.6M (ATP adj gives $10.4M) 1.65x Lightyear - $9.6M (taking Lightyear $5.8M, ATP adj gives $9M) 1.94x Sonic 2 - $12.1M (ATP adj gives $11M) Comps are all very high. The main purpose of tracking Harkins is to estimate non-MTCs. Doing that, I am coming around $9.3M approx previews. So let's take $9-9.5M.
  10. nope. he do something like this. When you said 160K final from mid day and I said around 20k, he started doing this and see, your number hit 178k and mine is already 22.2k.
  11. The Black Phone IMO is the winner in relative jumps, though in terms of volume Minions.
  12. Why 1.9M though? 1.9M was the weekend numbers for last week not OD. JWD THU was $900K & FRI was $2.2M for OD for $3.1M
  13. At 5:45 PM PST, 17,163/83,156 (331 showings) $189,136 As expected solid walkins. Will be going over 20K final.
  14. You mean .59x? It can't be that low. JWD had $950K THU previews in Canada. So can THU to THU comp
  15. You gotta see it. Minions & Despicable movies have drop on SAT historically and further adding to drop will be FRI is holiday in Canada. That said, I am expecting FRI much higher than 23M.
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