charlie Jatinder

The Burger

Top Gun 2 Harkins Early Access Format Shows Capacity Sold % Sold Gross ATP Cine 1 (EA) 9 2,778 2,403 86.50% $45,357 $18.88 Cine Capri (EA) 2 891 744 83.50% $10,923 $14.68 IMAX (EA) 1 415 398 95.90% $7,562 $19.00 Total (EA) 12 4,084 3,545 86.80% $63,842 $18.01 The true occupancy is 91% considering there are around 180 seats not available for sale. Though I guess these blocked seats will cancel out Senior and Veteran discount. Generally $63K in Harkins would mean $3.25-3.5M but no. of shows are just 12 on 33 locs and we obviously know that gross will nearly $4M, so Harkins under-indexed due to less shows.

The early shows didn't make that much of an impact so far but this summer they may start doing that. With schools off, THU shows starting 2PM will be as good as THU OD. I won't be surprise with FRI barely over THU for Thor 4, but also means THU of Thor 4 can be 40+.

Less than $700M is disappointing.

So thinking about it, I have almost forgotten most of them except first, Ghost Protocol and Fallout. My ranking be a definite 1 & 6, but others are fluid. 1. Ghost Protocol 2/3/4. Fallout (Though I need to rewatch Rogue Nation to see if it can be) 2/3/4. Rogue Nation 3/4/5. 1, 3 4/5. 3,1 6. 2

This is first film after a long time which is just going to be fun and not much into the big picture MCU and speculations. Also they doesn't seem in anyways treating this as final Thor so I guess we get another. Can pretend Ragnarok was origin, this 2nd and then finale of Taika trilogy.

I think they are better than DS2 because CBM are frontloaded. DS2 comp will be just too small.

Ah the reaction. Expected mostly. Fallout was may be 2nd/3rd best Mission film but it got like 90 Metacritic and won best picture 2018 here. That's a bit excessive.

Actually huge in Asia so should do well on internet.

Fallout most overrated film in recent times. Didn't found anything special in this trailer as well. BUT I hope this make all the money.

Eric what is your Tue & Thu breakup.

Those who are aware with Maoyan in China thread, it will be like their predictions. A bit weird/abnormal at first then start making a bit more sense near release.

DS2 13.4. FRI I think should be around 8.4 ish.

Probably around $460-465M. I don't know what Disney will cook. Ideally I would be at around $475M. Full run may be $530-540M.

DA 4.8. Weekend 15.75-16.

Good trailer. Should be hit.

I don't know if that was a joke but I think you mentioned Sacramento isn't a late night town so may be having early THU previews is now playing better for the town. Other reason is simply pre-sales becoming more and more common which mean you are getting some of audience which would have walked in/booked just before show are now booking in advance. This wouldn't be an issue if you were tracking final sales, but since you are taking sales before the shows start in evening, you are missing the walkins during that time. May be sales after shows started were more back then than now.

Perfect. Thanks. Most important comps IMO other than F9 in final 7 days.

The only problem is that what China did with its economy is rarity, India cant even possibly dream to do.

Yeah, back then it was biggest standalone movie from MCU. Did ₹77cr ($12M). If this is good, can do ₹250cr+.

Considering the numbers are underreported by Disney, not even interested in tracking DSitMoM anymore.

Yeah at T-19 JW:FK was only at sale for 4 days so wont say it was awful. For first 4 days of sales in comparable theaters, JW: D was 83% of total sales. If that ratio maintained, JW: D has ~1625 seats sold in those at T-20. I will probably compare the two at T-10. JW:FK was 1656, JW: Dominion has 10 days till then and may be will be around 2.25-2.5k ish. But Sacramento is doing better for previews than it was doing in 2018 I believe considering our most pre CoVID comps overperform by like 10-15% iirc.

Porthos tracked a lot less data back then than now. I think for 20M now it will need something like 12K tix.

7M+ views for Hindi trailer so far. 400K+ likes. This is gonna be HUGE in India. Probably bigger than NWH.

I am interested in adjusted seat map comp for mostly two reasons. 1. TLK is also a family movie which sells big in presales but also get walkins. It also opened in range most here are expecting JWD to. So final days (like final 7/10 days) trend could be something to watch. 2. Since my target/expectations is lower than most others here, I wanna see if and how much lower JWD will be from TLK.