charlie Jatinder

That's a big drop. IW had stablized next weekend after Solo release with no competition and just 21% drop, we will have Godzilla. Another 55% drop perhaps.

Who estimates 14% on Memorial Day Sunday? Disney.

Let's use 40% drops next week onward for EG.

-47.5% FSS of original. The same in US will account to $55mn. The original was dumb and I hardly remember anything. So IDC. Better for Endgame holds 😛

Did you just pretend not reading the above post, on why the numbers of Lumiere means nothing.

what if Week 1 is 30mn

50mn plus. Strong pre-sales for tomorrow, purely by normal psm shall do ¥25mn plus tomorrow. An optimistic case (take lightly) 28 51 51 / 130 25 22 20 18 / 215 15 35 30 / 80 / 295 12 10 8 10 / 120 / 335 15 17 13 / 45 / 380 5 5 4 4 / 63 /398 5 12 10 / 27 / 425 4 4 3 3 / 41 / 439 $63mn full run Approx.

That is what normal ATP of 2009 and 2010 gives. Not Actuals. 2009: gbp 32.81/ 5.44 ~ 6.03mn 2010: gbp 61.8/ 5.9 ~ 10.48mn

All it need is 3.14x FSS. TJB 3.53x from 103 Maleficent 3.49x from 69 OZ 2.96x from 79 Cindrella 3x from 67 Average of these 67-103 openers is 3.27x from 85mn FSS. We have 89FSS and probably 3mn inflated from Sunday being Holiday but deflated Saturday. Roughly goes to 281.

Let's get Aladdin to $280mn plus.

The Big 5 of Europe (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Russia) Avatar - $663mn (57mn admissions) • $11.6 ATP Endgame - $221mn (30mn admissions) • $7.4 ATP UK admissions data isn't available, but going by Avatar ATP in these 5 countries compared to 2010 ATP of the country, Avatar was 45% more than usual in Germany. Endgame is 15% more than usual of 2019. Avatar UK: 11mn admissions ($145mn) • $13 ATP Endgame: 11mn Approx final. ($125mn) • $11.5 ATP This adds up to Avatar - $808mn (68mn admits) Endgame - $337mn (41mn admits)

Avatar number could be 280-300. I mean the number I posted are estimates. Besides I took USA 75mn and Europe numbers (whole Europe) from a post in this thread few days back. Anyways, I will be doing a post with actuals once Endgame is almost at closing in June end comparing all 5 $2 Billion films.

1st 4 months Bollywood ~ ₹1465cr +22% 2018 +69% 2017 May will see the first down from 2018. June will depend on Bharat if it can take on Sanju + Race 3 + Veere Di Wedding, with help of Kabir Singh. By 6 months, lead of 2018 might be gone. July can do well with Super 30 and Mental Hai Kya but nothing great. August looks dull at moment and may drop from 2018. Though Saaho from Tollywood can do great numbers. September is dull again save for a Ayushmann Khurana film if that can breakout. October has two big films, HvT and Housefull 4. Last October was pre-Diwali but Badhai Ho & Andhadhun breakout. 2019 will easily improve. Ideally HvT shall alone do more than last October. HF4 can do big. November is dull save for any breakout. December has 4 films, one seems like huge Disaster. Another will do mid bizz and then Dabangg 3 which shall do Simba numbers. Save for surprise breakout, I expected 2019 to be flat from 2018 despite such great start.

Yes.

Week 4 Big 4 Chains: ₹7.5cr (0.4mn admits) Other Chains: ₹0.95cr (0.07mn admits) Single Screens and Rest: ₹1.5cr (0.18mn admits Approx)  Total: ₹9.9cr (0.65mn admits Approx)  Total Big 4 Chains: ₹267.5cr (10.5mn admits) Other Chains: ₹43cr (2.3mn admits) Single Screens and Rest: ₹128cr (8.9mn admits Approx) Total: ₹438.5cr (21.7mn admits Approx)

2.15

Saturday Actuals Aladdin $29.7 / $61mn cume JW 3 $8.8mn Endgame $6.35mn PDP $5.3mn BB $2.4mn

Chinese number are available on Maoyan. For all the rest just go through the various country threads on forum. Its not that tough. India number, well "Main Hoon Naa" मैं हूँ ना।

Naa, it was credible when I said 385 itself.

Did you ask other than US/China. I only deducted China. Rough numbers US 85 (at Mojo it will be 92mn Approx, I am taking 85) China 86 Mexico 25 India 23 Brazil 20 South Korea 14 Indonesia 11 Russia 11 UK 11 These are 286mn for $2.02 Billion. Australia, Germany, France, Italy, Japan account for $270mn Appprox & 28-30mn. The rest $500mn will be 70-80mn easily as big chunk is from Latin America, Asia and Africa where ATP is as low as $3-5.

Dumbo did $43mn in rest & TJB did around $80mn, I imagine, we can expect $60-65mn approx from Aladdin. $113-118mn weekend or more. That will give $202-208mn worldwide weekend.

Some markets opening weekend China $19mn UK $10mn est. Italy $6.5 Korea $6mn Russia $5.5mn Germany $3.5mn India $3.25mn Total 53.75mn Approx (OS-C $34.75mn) In these markets Dumbo $30.2mn ($19.5mn) Beauty and the Beast $104.5mn ($60mn) The Jungle Book $92mn ($44mn)

Speechless is powerful. Powerful as Let It Go. Don't know if it will be that big.