Could be a wishful thinking, but
from a 11.9 Tuesday, a 37% and 10% drop will led to $143mn Week with $6.75mn Thursday.
A 100% jump, being a family film, and word of mouth hype, will mean $13.5mn Friday. Another 55% jump and 25% Sunday drop will be $50mn photofinish (-45% drop Approx).
Yayy. Outselling I2 in first day pre-sales. Great.
So $150mn
That said, I obviously want something like $192mn but I will be content with $158mn and $547mn full run.
Can Avatar 2 manage to be over ¥45 as I think Endgame had the spoiler rush hype in weekend when the ticket prices were over ¥55 and a dedicated fanbase buying them anyways.
Its funny, how even the default low numbers for Aladdin looks like huge win for the film. An year out, before teaser came, I would have told 350 and 900 WW as floor.
Now the film gonna do 300 and ~850 & that looks huge.
If Aladdin gross $300mn, that will be 3.46x of FSM (ignoring holiday Sunday) of $86.6mn.
The Jungle Book had 3.52x of its normal weekend. If Aladdin manage same, it will be at $305mn.
That 116.85 is less impressive than or less better judge then the later part of the weekend i.e. Sunday and Monday. Just like $40mn Monday for BP would be better judge than $75mn Friday or $200mn weekend it had for legs. $25.5mn Monday is very big.
A 7-7.5x Monday, post Monday, compared to 6x and 6.06x of Solo and PoTC 5 i.e. $295-308mn.