Good pickup in pace and seems like may hit $250mn as well, which will be an impressive ¥65mn final day.
Now, I will be making a final post at midnight but before that have few things to say.
Unfortunately we don't have admissions pre-sale data for Infinity War but more than ¥s its tickets that should be analysed. A:EG will have OD around 40% over A:IW in term of money but in term of tickets its less than 10%, in fact could be same only.
Now, many of us will be thinking that the since numbers are very high for A:EG its Psm shall lower but in reality EG has sold similar tickets as A:IW only. This gives EG room to have similar walk-in as IW.
But there is another factor, i.e. despite having much bigger hype and 20% more tickets to sell, tickets sold are just same as A:IW. Considering this, it is not wise to expect same walk-in as IW. Also since its Wednesday release and not Friday, noon shows will be not as strong as Friday.
Considering that, we know that A:IW sold about 17% of its potential tickets in pre-sale while A:EG will be around 15%, i.e. 88% approx. Accounting for weekday release factor, I expect the walk-in to be 70-75% of A:IW i.e. 4-4.5mn Approx. Which will give opening day admission of 8.5-9mn and a gross of ¥400-430mn.