By morning all shall open.
I suggest you guys do track you theatres. If you are on PC. Open your show o BMS. Right Click - Inspect. In search box "_blocked". Number of search means ticket sold.
Avengers: Endgame T-3 days Midnight: ¥112.8mn (30k shows) (+3%) Wednesday: ¥148mn (167k shows) (+7%) Thursday: ¥40mn (123k shows) (+11%) Friday: ¥54.7mn (113k shows) (+11%) Saturday: ¥69.8mn (104k shows) (+12%) Sunday: ¥17.7mn (87k shows) (+14%) Total: ¥443mn or $66mn (+8%) Comp http://bit.ly/ChinaPreSale
Weakest day yet in pre-sales with OD growing just ¥9.7mn. This is first day when Infinity War daily growth was higher than Endgame. This could be due to some issue with Maoyan, we will know.
At this time, I will project ¥240mn OD pre-sales, that would be +35% Infinity War's ¥179mn. Hopefully it pick up tomorrow and next 2 days.
I think it will loss a lot of steam by then. If it is higher, as you say, will take your word, I don't see how it do less than ¥3Bn. Besides, you told me 1.5x OW shall be probable case, so I was thinking that may be you will say it is too high.
On that note, IMO holiday usually boost a day by 80-100% and using the normal trending, as in Infinity War, May 1st would have been ¥75mn Approx, if not for Holiday.
1. What is the source for that number because TA had 52% of its weekend from 3D and doing basic math, that will account for 86 (207*0.52*0.8) + 99 = 185mn and full run of 560mn Approx.
2. That said, I don't agree of these films as big as Infinity War let alone TFA and Endgame and that's only domestically, worldwide this is simply laughable.
CM overperformed my "what I would love to see" but I won't mind if it simply perform at the level for next two days. In fact, I won't mind the lower limit.
That said, from $940k Wednesday, if it had followed the normal trend, this far in Week 7, Saturday shall be around $3.4-3.6mn. If it is able to do the lower limit of that and then 30% drop on Easter Sunday, will be close to $9mn weekend, just $50-75k from $400,000,000.