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Menor the Destroyer

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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer

  1. Menor the Destroyer
    Cinemascore is lower than PostTrak indicated but matches up quite well with the RT verified audience score which was on the low side for such a fan heavy films.
  2. Menor the Destroyer
    Verified makes a huge difference especially for fan heavy films. For example FFH has an insane 95% with 4.63 average rating.
  3. Menor the Destroyer
    If Deadline's number is correct then it must have gotten some kind of ridiculous numbers at small chains. MTC numbers were pointing to high 30s.
  4. Menor the Destroyer
    I want to forget about this movie. Super disappointed.
  5. Menor the Destroyer
    Closer to Christmas so weekdays will be stronger compared to TLJ
  6. Menor the Destroyer
    It'll still get some. Currently late pace is looking like about 70% of TLK from MTC2. TLK added about 7 million from this point, this may do 3-4 as it's fading fast relatively. So perhaps 36-37 but overall in that range.
  7. Menor the Destroyer
    It should be already at or around there from Keyser's data. I'm expecting $4-5 million more based on the pace compared to Lion King. 37-38 million.
  8. Menor the Destroyer
    Lol. Dark Phoenix was #3 on last year's list too. I guess there are a lot of Fox-men fans voting in these polls.
  9. Menor the Destroyer
    Mostly unrelated but I find it funny how SW gave up 2 opening weekend records with weekday openings. Both TPM and ROTS would have nabbed it if not for that. If TLJ had kept the May release date it would have had a shot as well. And here we are with TROS opening...sigh.
  10. Menor the Destroyer
    Your projection actually matches BOP's, and they are going with a prediction closer to their "optimistic" model than their "mid-range" one.
  11. Menor the Destroyer
    Looks like they're seeing the same trends we are in the Tracking Thread with the low pop in last couple of days.
  12. Menor the Destroyer
    Yeah it started a bit low though not far behind TLJ, but the last two days have made "low" into "potential disaster" (emphasis on potential). And especially after like you said last week it was making up a lot of ground only to stall in release week and have disappointing ODs across markets.
  13. Menor the Destroyer
    Last couple of days have been such a bummer. Things were looking okay up till then. I am still hoping for a positive surprise but not expecting it.
  14. Menor the Destroyer
    Now that is interesting. I'm not sure how the film would be even a 6/10 in that case as much of what I love about it is the conclusion of subplots from TPM/AOTC. But then again some people watched and enjoyed Infinity War without seeing the previous MCU films which is even crazier to me.
  15. Menor the Destroyer
    The PT is my favorite trilogy and ROTS, AOTC, and TPM are 1, 2, and 4 on my SW rankings respectively, ROTS also being one of my favorite films of all time. I think Sith is definitely better than the other two but not by a huge margin. So we are in near-total disagreement on their quality but your overall point about how the films should be evaluated was still correct.
  16. Menor the Destroyer
    I agree the three should be considered in context with each other. But I was responding to the poster who claimed that ROTS was benefiting by being compared to the previous two, and showing that you can easily make that argument in the other way so it's pointless to try to "separate" it from the other two. I think we are in agreement as to how the films should be judged though we clearly disagree on their quality.
  17. Menor the Destroyer
    I'm also confused. Are people looking for final projections because I doubt they will be much different from before.
  18. Menor the Destroyer
    Your subjective opinion about it is totally irrelevant to what I was saying. I was talking about the overall reception of ROTS.
  19. Menor the Destroyer
    That's just speculation. You could easily say that if someone hates AOTC then they will go into ROTS with a negative mindset and be more inclined to dislike it. No way to know so I prefer to just treat people's opinions as they are.
  20. Menor the Destroyer
    It has good critic and audience scores (other than its RT which was subject to mass review bombing) in isolation, not just in comparison to the other two. So I'd say ROTS is generally well liked on its own merits. If anything the not-so-great reception to the previous two hurt it as people lumped it in with those two.
  21. Menor the Destroyer
    ROTS also ended the trilogy on a high note at the box office with a big increase from AOTC and showing strong growth in OS markets. To this day it has the lowest DOM % of any SW film.
  22. Menor the Destroyer
    Buzz for BW is so much higher than Ant-Man 2. Like they're not even in the same realm as far as trailer response.
  23. Menor the Destroyer
    It's lower than I currently expect but looking at the current numbers and making some extrapolations, it's far from impossible. If the bump for previews is below average (quite possible) it's looking at $35 million. Friday presales are looking to be in the $31 million range with a normal increase. If the movie is more presale heavy than TLJ, which is quite possible given 2 years of presale growth, then True Friday could be only $43 million. The rest of the weekend follows from there.
  24. Menor the Destroyer
    If things don't start picking up for TROS I can see 35-43-47-41 for a $166 million OW. Last few days the jumps have not been impressive. I'm hopeful it can beat this but there is potential for it to go quite low.
  25. Menor the Destroyer
    But Jumanji franchise has already shown the ability to eat into an SW film if reception isn't glowing.
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