Menor the Destroyer

Nah, these aren't established characters so it'll be hard to get initial buzz that high. But I think if this turns out as good as its looking then we could see some serious legs like GOTG.

Goddammit I can't wait. I did not expect to be this hyped this far out but every new bit of info makes it look like something really special.

That's just an Avengers bump and the movie itself was much better received. Even TDW which is probably the least-liked MCU movie had a huge boost from Thor 1.

Deserve doesn't play into it. WW2 is gonna make what it does based on how the marketing attracts interest internationally and how well the first film has lasted in the public consciousness, not on some weirdo comparison to CM just because both are female-led CBMs.

That seems quite low. I mean $750m is probably what Doctor Strange would have done in 2020, and that had way less buzz than BW does right now. $350 million DOM $180 million China (trailer did disproportionately well there and seems to have a lot more buzz than say Captain Marvel) $450 million Rest is what I'm thinking.

1. Eternals 2. Black Widow 3. Rise of Skywalker 4. Wonder Woman 1984 5. Soul 6. Onward 7. Godzilla v Kong 8. Cats 9. Tenet 10. Artemis Fowl

This looks awesome

Very strange and low Friday bump for F2 with no new releases worth noting.

"Scene stealing" part???

I'm not worried about this. Even if it doesn't look good in test screenings I'm pretty confident that the final product will be quality.

Haven't seen Batman Forever but I thought it was one of the worst parts about Batman and Robin.

I think because Bane got knocked down and as far as we know didn't have any beskar, he likely died. But who knows, Bane was pretty cunning and might have hidden something in that hat. Getting back on topic, the only problem I have with the theory that it's Moff Gideon is that the figure appeared to be alone (Granted we don't get much of a shot), and it seems unlikely that an Imperial official would do his own dirty work. I'm thinking it's more likely to be either Boba or Cobb.

My irrational hope is Cad Bane...I don't think he's canonically dead right? Or is that unfinished ep canon still?

But if it's just that, then why put emphasis on it in the final shot? This show is starting to feel a lot like TCW with the side quests and not really worrying too much about the main plotline. I'm kinda digging that vibe (other than episode 2). As long as the individual episodes are engaging enough, it's nice.

Yeah I tried to account for those factors (also missing non-reserved theaters) by giving a more generous estimate. But while non-reserved theaters are easy to account for the ratio it's hard to factor in sellouts. So the estimated number could be off but in general I think the main point that it's running behind TLJ, but not by that much, is still true. Agreed that a Wang number will be very helpful.

I wouldn't worry too much for the OW if it comes in lower. Pre-holiday weekends don't lend themselves to high walkups so I don't think the internal multi will be that high. Once we get the opening 10 days we can really see where it'll land (just like with F2).

I guess it should be at ~$18 million for MTC1 roughly (well, depending on the sellouts too, but this is already definitely a higher number). That is 61% of Endgame at the same point. TLJ was at $22.8 million at T-8 and finished at $36 million. TROS shouldn't end up too far from that, though I think it will come in below unless final week comes in huge.

He was definitely too extreme but SW skews a bit older than a lot of other mega blockbuster franchises. Not to the extent he was saying but for example Avengers tends to average about 50/50 split for O/U 25, while SW is in the 60-70% over 25 range for opening weekend.

Yeah, but this year sees the end of SW Saga, Avengers (for now), Disney has done its biggest remake, idk if future JW films will be able to improve from Fallen Kingdom. Avatar most likely isn't doing 200 million OW in December, it's not that type of film. That leaves Black Panther 2 as the next likely 200 million opener I guess? I don't know if opening inflation can counteract the decline in IP.

Damn, comps going down on day 3 of ps is not a great sign. This needs a big time final week and walkups.

Captain Marvel should be lower, not all 13 million Marvel India views will be from the first day. As for the 24 hour number, you'll have to be patient. It's not really predictable when they decide to announce these things.

Trailer killing it on Twitter, will finish with about 42 million views from the main channels on YT/FB/Twitter, on par with CM's 24 hours number for main channels. But just from rough recollection reupload views seem lower than CM had, so I think it might touch 100 million but not 109 million of CM's teaser (although some of this depends on Chinese social media for which I don't know the comps). Overall, the trailer has performed very strongly (stronger than I expected), and any thought of a mini-Solo or tepid performance should be dismissed. 1 billion? Well, it's still probably too early to say. Edit: But absolutely crushing CM's performance on IG main channel 11 million views to just 2 million. So perhaps it can surpass 109 million.

Yeah, these aren't just bad Day 2 numbers, these are bad T-10 numbers. And that without much of a cushion beforehand.

The CGI looks fine to me. As far as the scene, it's not quite as good as Mission Impossible but not every actor can be Tom Cruise.

To me WHATIF? ranks lower purely because I have a hard time getting excited for alternate stories, so something like Spider-Man: Homeless Multiverse of Madness Wandavision Eternals Love and Thunder FATWS Black Widow Shang-Chi Loki WHATIF? Hawkeye