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Menor the Destroyer

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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer

  1. Menor the Destroyer
    Oh that's so nice. So much less shit to write lol. But the only thing is I wasn't able to find a list of theaters for it.
  2. Menor the Destroyer
    I have a scraper working for Regal off of the Fandango website. Haven't looked at Cineplex yet.
  3. Menor the Destroyer
    I was surprised that your theaters barely had a Sunday bump yesterday. But today seems like you got both the Sunday and Monday bumps rolled into one.
  4. Menor the Destroyer
  5. Menor the Destroyer
    That is fair. But if bump is lower today then that's more ground to cover on the next three days.
  6. Menor the Destroyer
    We don't have data for that, but I'd be shocked if the presales for the first set of weekdays wasn't way higher. TLJ didn't have any holiday in its first week.
  7. Menor the Destroyer
    Well, not quite that extreme. I think TLJ actuals for T-8 was 22.8 million and with TROS being off by ~0.5 million, it's more like 3.66m for TROS and 2.7m for TLJ. But yes, it's definitely outpacing TLJ.
  8. Menor the Destroyer
    Well we have data showing that there are big presales for the weekdays. Even for Monday and Tuesday numbers are quite strong, then add in Christmas which should be one of the biggest days of ps.
  9. Menor the Destroyer
    Yeah I was going to post this before. So from MTC2 I have day by day comps with The Lion King. Currently TROS daily pace is about on par with that film, so if it has the same jumps for Thursday it should end up at 39-40 million, with 36 million in Friday presales (according to Charlie that will be about 51-52 million Friday based on previous SW films). So 40-51-56-50 will be about 197 million if it can hit that pace. That, imo, would be a pretty strong start. Of course TLK had a very strong final week, so it's not exactly easy for TROS to hit those numbers. To maintain this pace it needs to finish today at 270k tickets at MTC2 for previews and 280k for OD. Not easy but not impossible if shows start to boost a bit (TROS has a pretty low showcount relative to sales rn).
  10. Menor the Destroyer
    That's definitely a good sign. The only thing I'm worried about is that due to Christmas on the Wednesday a much bigger fraction of those sales are gonna be for weekdays than they would be for TLJ, so matching TLJ in overall presales might still leave it significantly behind in FSS.
  11. Menor the Destroyer
    @Jedi Jat off by only 2%, nice. Edit: Actually if this data is from the morning then it's pretty much an exact match with the spreadsheet.
  12. Menor the Destroyer
    It means he's got official presale numbers from his MTC.
  13. Menor the Destroyer
    Can we not do this in the tracking thread?
  14. Menor the Destroyer
    I thought 2019 TLK was pretty good fun, many others did too. It gets shit online but it's not like its audience scores were even bad. People are free to dislike but I don't understand the urge to shit on people for liking it.
  15. Menor the Destroyer
    I think it's not fair to count TLK as animation for record purposes as it didn't suffer from the same stigma that a lot of people give to animated films.
  16. Menor the Destroyer
    Even with Endgame the PS behavior was different from a December SW, it had similar PS heaviness despite it's total PS being so much higher. I mean we still have a ton of theaters that have switched to reserved seating in that time, that's gonna increase PS for any film.
  17. Menor the Destroyer
    Have to account for 2 years growth in presales though.
  18. Menor the Destroyer
    It won't be distinguishable from the bumps that are gonna be happening anyway.
  19. Menor the Destroyer
    Counterpoint: Titanic. Where is the hype for the $125 million opening gonna be coming from? Even Joker only managed $96 million.
  20. Menor the Destroyer
    I think DC movies are a lot less reliant on franchise history than Marvel. For example Aquaman was not really hurt by JL while Shazam probably didn't get much benefit from Aquaman.
  21. Menor the Destroyer
    430 seems very low. Even Catching Fire added 4.9x it's 4th weekend, and F2 has been consistently having better drops than that film. TROS opening will hurt a bit but F2 should also have a pretty good bump from the Christmas period.
  22. Menor the Destroyer
    It's an audience exit poll similar to Cinemascore.
  23. Menor the Destroyer
    PostTrak for Jumanji seems quite meh but I am not able to find what the first one had.
  24. Menor the Destroyer
    Normal for a walkup heavy film kinda like Jurassic World, where the amount of folks who like the franchise far outnumbers the hardcore fanbase.
  25. Menor the Destroyer
    More to do with the season (December is worse than April for theater counts) and also EG had unprecedented demand allowing it to get an insanely wide release for that time of year.
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