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Menor the Destroyer

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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer

  1. Menor the Destroyer
    May go up by 200+ with actuals. EG was 4400 estimated, final was 4662.
  2. Menor the Destroyer
    I think there will be some backlash from the usual boycotting suspects. I also think it will have exactly the same effect on the movie's success as the CM boycott.
  3. Menor the Destroyer
    I will make the over IM3 club sometime this week (probably include an over BP bonus option for the extra bold). But have to make sure the writeup is worthy of the goal.
  4. Menor the Destroyer
    I ran MTC2 twice for Endgame. But the daily splits differ between chains. Charlie from what I remember has historical data of what chains did what percentage of Thursday BO and I assume that is what he is using to extrapolate.
  5. Menor the Destroyer
    Bolded is why I think OD is gonna be lower than that if previews are just $40 million. TROS will have demand spread over weekdays so the previews to Friday bump could be less.
  6. Menor the Destroyer
    How the hell is Kingsman on this list. Edit: This is the same ranking that had Dark Phoenix at 3rd and Hellboy at 10th last year, lmao
  7. Menor the Destroyer
    So is it considered franchise wars to make any comparison at all between the movies? My assumption was that people were comparing them because they both recently released trailers. It's kinda hard to discuss the bolded without making comparisons.
  8. Menor the Destroyer
    That first comparison is not good as the 7 day period does not capture the peak of Black Widow's search interest. Second one is also flawed as Mulan was releasing it's second trailer vs WW's first.
  9. Menor the Destroyer
    It's definitely not a bad sign but expected imo. For example Endgame at this point had way higher OD sales than preview sales at MTC2. TROS will likely have a lower internal multi, so OD will overtake previews later.
  10. Menor the Destroyer
    There we go, that must be it. Thanks!
  11. Menor the Destroyer
    25 hours (close enough to 24) YT: 8.8 million views, 376k likes Twitter: 6 million views, 202k likes Facebook: 2.2 million views, 63k shares Instagram: 3.9 million views (weird, it may be a case of not looking at the right account but I can't find any with more views than WB main), 1.1 million likes Weibo: 5 million views, 10k shares Edit: Thanks to @bruchav for finding the correct numbers on IG.
  12. Menor the Destroyer
    He's talking about total ps including weekdays, TROS will have big time Christmas-adjacent sales which TLJ would not have as its Day 6 for TROS vs Day 11 (post 2nd weekend) for TLJ. Do we really know how it should have behaved? I wasn't around for TLJ tracking, did we have any sort of detailed daily updates to compare that film's release week bump to Solo? Because I'm wondering if SW is just the type of franchise that isn't gonna have a huge bump in release week because fans are buying like crazy ahead of time, drying up possible demand.
  13. Menor the Destroyer
    Ant Man and Wasp was below 7x
  14. Menor the Destroyer
    WW appeals to an older audience than most CBMs. The OW of the first was a whopping 68% (!!) over 25. So it's not going to perform as well in online metrics.
  15. Menor the Destroyer
    I mean, I also want to get some participants. Might have to settle for a shameful IM3.
  16. Menor the Destroyer
    They are absolutely an indicator. They just aren't the indicator.
  17. Menor the Destroyer
    I am tempted to make a really crazy club for this WW, though not sure how bold I wanna go.
  18. Menor the Destroyer
    I don't think any will be horrible. They have earned my cautious trust back with the last few. But the MCU has a bit of an advantage with having already done the worldbuilding to dive into some really cool and weird stuff, while DC is still in the character establishing stage.
  19. Menor the Destroyer
    That's usually the case with nostalgic trailers like Scoob, Pikachu, Sonic (the latest one), etc. They have super high view and like counts but doesn't always translate into BO. Meaning the latest Mulan trailer, not the teaser. It's not at the same level as Mulan teaser.
  20. Menor the Destroyer
    Higher than Bond and Mulan trailer 2, lower than BW.
  21. Menor the Destroyer
    I'm more excited for Eternals, Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, Spidey 3, and Thor: Love and Thunder than any upcoming DC films.
  22. Menor the Destroyer
    3 hours: YT: 478k (still frozen), 109k likes Twitter: 2 million views Facebook: 590k views
  23. Menor the Destroyer
    Hence why I included that the view count was frozen.
  24. Menor the Destroyer
    ~2 hours: YT: 478k views (frozen), 86k likes Twitter: 1.3 million views Facebook: 418k views
  25. Menor the Destroyer
    I think people are overreacting to a single ugly drop. Let's just wait and see how it goes. Legs like Catching Fire will get it to 455, like Ralph 2 gets it to 447.
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