Menor the Destroyer
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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer
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Imo Shrek 2 has a good argument for most anticipated animated movie. Opening was insane for the time. Would have broken OW record if it had an FSS release. -
Well average 25% Sunday drop puts it at 40. I suppose spillover might get it a better hold.
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Damn, it's going to be really close with Finding Dory for the #2 animated OW. That should keep tomorrow quite suspenseful.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
F2 was a different case than TROS. We have had franchise biggies heat up big before, notably IW whose initial day PS was not at the level of say TLJ but it ended up surging to 39 million previews. We could also see a Solo situation where it simply stalls out. It's simply way too early to say. -
Also a non-insignificant amount of kids are off school next Monday. Thinking more like 40m -25%.
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Under 130? From 53ish million Sat? I guess it could happen but would be a steep drop.
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58.8? That seems a bit much to ask. Especially with @keysersoze123's latest update.
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Yeah by a huge margin. #2 is Finding Dory with 54 million, #3 is the notable flop TS4 with 47 million, #4 Minions at 46 million. Funny how all of these opened during the summer when Fridays for family movies are most boosted.
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Wait. For. The. Saturday. Number.
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Oh, I see what you were saying. Yeah I agree that mindset is silly. One of my friends refused to watch TS4 because they'd "outgrown that stuff", like I get if you don't like the Toy Story movies but that's a really snobbish way to think about things. Oh boy, this looks like a doozy.
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I think not watching is fine, people can do what they want. But when they get superior about their particular tastes and criticize other people for choosing to watch, it becomes a problem.
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Frozen II 971m OS 1.44B WW
Menor the Destroyer replied to Jamiem's topic in International Box Office
Do you know how are you two getting so much higher numbers than everyone else in that thread btw? -
It did break presale records. That doesn't always translate into record BO.
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Sat bump have been absolutely nuts overseas so I think/hope we could be in for a nice surprise today.
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The word locked is overused on this site. You can personally have confidence in your prediction without saying "locked", which diminishes the inherently unpredictable nature of the BO.
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Yeah, it'd be a bit disappointing if L&T couldn't get the November record after Thor became so much more popular and Ragnarok itself did 123 million.
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131% bump today, damn.
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Damn, PS heavy everywhere
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Out of likes but the increase seems very good, it's running nearly 50% ahead of yesterday so hopefully big day incoming.
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I wouldn't panic too much about the Cinemascore. Posttrak from last night was par Aladdin and CM which both got As so I think this may have been a fluke or sampling issue.
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I think it depends on how big the next holiday week is. If we see consistent huge numbers it will really help the multi as those are big numbers being added post OW. But if holds are merely average then you may be right.
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That ratio implies I guess around a 50% Sat bump. Although this run has been strange so who knows what's gonna happen.
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Yeah true. I don't know really what to expect. The run so far has been very strange but it's nice to go into a Saturday with real uncertainty for once. Usually after OD numbers it's pretty predictable.
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What was IW's PSm for Sat
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Sat PS is going to be almost +50% of Fri though. So for a usual type of mega blockbuster (like TLK or I2) that might be a 60%+ jump. But I think most likely scenario here is that we just see an unusually PS heavy Saturday and more like 50% jump.
