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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer
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I just threw the flat/below HC thing out there as a point of curiosity, I still think it'll increase. I'm not sure we will have a good idea of the trajectory until Friday. And yeah if it did go under Homecoming that would certainly be a domestic disappointment, there is absolutely no way it should flat or decrease, it has everything going in its favor and increased by significant margins over Homecoming in China, SK, and Japan. But I don't think it will. Even if that does happen, if it manages to still pull out 1 billion worldwide I'd still label it a success overall, though a disappointment domestically.
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One thing if it does open to 160-170 6-day then that's probably around what Homecoming would have gotten with the same sort of calendar configuration. So then it would be curious why this movie increased by a good amount from Homecoming in Asia but not domestically. Yeah WOM but that wouldn't affect the openings too much.
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South Korea Box Office
Menor the Destroyer replied to diskojustice's topic in International Box Office
Presales 68k, down 25% from yesterday. -
Worse than BP (and IW and Endgame). On par with Civil War but that was a weird situation with seemingly very positive WOM not matching with legs. Better than CM. A Cinemascore seems very likely. One thing is that all of the above movies had their ratings after previews whereas Spidey has had a full OD already, doesn't change the conclusion much though.
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Not all discounts are 50%, that tends to be the max but at my theater it's more like 30%. Even with all 50% discounts (very very high estimate) and assuming 40% of theaters (very very high estimate) gave the discount and assuming that demand would have stayed the same without the discount the difference would be 7.2 million, so the true difference was likely much less than that.