Menor the Destroyer
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Posts posted by Menor the Destroyer
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3 minutes ago, john2000 said:
ok ? i guess ? i still dont see where is the problem it could make up for it in the day ahead
If the presales for one day are well below projections, then the projections will be lowered. It could make up for it, but that's not guaranteed, and it could just as easily increase less than predicted.
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1 minute ago, john2000 said:
so he predicted 250 for presales today ? and it will come around low 200 then ?
No, 250 is for final presales. He predicted an increase of 14 million today (138-152), and it will only end up being about 9 million.
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Just now, john2000 said:
aha , he predicted 460 for wednesday though
250 is for presales, 460 is for actuals
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Just now, john2000 said:
od that means tuesday right ? even then why this should be a suprise ? you cant expect this movie to sell so well foverever when already had done what iw did in 7 days
Wednesday. And I think Charlie had accounted for that in his projections chart, but today will still come in well below what he predicted which is not great.
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4 minutes ago, john2000 said:
? 250 for when ? what day ? also really ? bc of one day it changes everything ? ok then hope its not frozen we will find soon enough
250 for OD. And I'm pretty sure it's not frozen because it's been going up, just very slow
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16 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:
1018 @ 13:00 VS 1198 yesterday
Lol never mind. Still it's holding pretty decently for Good Friday.
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4 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:
13 updates
10276 today VS 11249 yesterday
Less than a 9% drop so far. I imagine it will expand a good amount though. The target number is 23000.
I actually think it could gain a bit back throughout the afternoon. The numbers yesterday until about 7pm central were pretty low (relatively speaking).
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Just now, FlashMaster659 said:
What is the pace now?
Fandango rolling tracker is at 26k (was 27.5k end of yesterday) so ~1500 less than yesterday at the same point
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What do people think the chances of TFA previews going down are? Looking at updates in this thread it seems like it'll fall juuust short, but I'm not that experienced with predictions.
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23 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:
If I’m reading it correctly now, it’s gonna up ¥6m in 20 minutes?
Yeah pretty sure (maybe making up for the time frozen?). OD alone has jumped over 2k in the past 30 or so minutes.
Edit: Now gone up another 5m in 15 minutes, did prices decrease or something?
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7 hours ago, Porthos said:
Avengers: Endgame Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 Days and counting
Sellouts
Showings
Seats left
Total Seats
Perct Sold
TOTALS
17
243
5347
24576
78.24%
Total Seats Sold Today: 200
Infinity War Comps:
1.9172x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 8 days before release [Infinity War has 41 days of pre−sales compared to Endgame's 23 days]
1.2212x as many tickets sold as Infinity War at stop of tracking on release night.
1.0864x as many tickets sold as Infinity War at stop of tracking on release night at the exact same theaters in town.NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question. If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio. It will also be counted toward the ratio if it was playing in more theaters locally.
IW (T-8) 207 tickets sold that day [4 sellouts/135 showings | 4628/13013 seats left | 64.44% sold]
EG (adj*): 154 tickets sold today [17 sellouts/243 showings | 4057/20133 seats left | 79.85% sold]
EG (exact**): 143 tickets sold today [17 sellouts/217 showings | 3619/17920 seats left | 79.80% sold]
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IW (final): 13164 tickets sold at stop [59 sellouts/182 showings | 1195/15159 seats left | 86.64% sold]
EG (adj*): 16076 tickets sold so far [17 sellouts/243 showings | 4057/20133 seats left | 79.85% sold]
EG (exact**): 14301 tickets sold so far [17 sellouts/217 showings | 3619/17920 seats left | 79.80% sold]
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* EG (adj) is the number of tickets sold without the extra theaters I now have tracking info for
** EG (exact) is the number of tickets sold at the EXACT same theaters in town for a pure like-for-like comparison.
OTHER COMPS:
WEEKEND INFO: (all IW information is for 8 days before release)
Fri: 1 sellout/364 showings (+0/+7) [IW: 0/215]
Sat: 0 sellouts/354 showings [IW: 0/216]
Sun: 0 sellouts/335 showings (+0/+6) [IW: 0/209]
Sellouts: 17/243 [2D: 17/195 | 3D: 0/44]
Breakdown of seat information in spoiler box:
Do you think it will get a significant amount of showings added?
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15 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:
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Avengers Endgame has already sold double the tickets compared to all the anticipated sale of Infinity War;
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In the first hour of pre-sale, Endgame sold more than the first full day of Infinity War;
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In just 3 DAYS, Endgame surpassed the total amount of tickets sold throughout the pre-sale Infinity War;
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1/3 of Endgame sessions are already sold out.
@Thanos Legion Get out your defibrillator.
Tbf, it's the second-best selling movie on Ingresso.com, not overall (and Ralph 2 likely had many walkups)
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So opening weekend presales for TFA were only $50-60 million (holiday boost). And with Endgame I think it's reasonable to assume that 90%+ of presales are for OW, which makes this performance significantly more impressive than it already was (which was a lot).
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22 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:
RANK PERCENT TICKETS MOVIE 1 43.263% 30004 Avengers Endgame (2019) 2 08.447% 5858 Shazam! 3 05.149% 3571 Captain Marvel (2019) 4 04.885% 3388 Avengers Endgame (2019) 5 04.858% 3369 Little (2019) 6 04.724% 3276 Breakthrough (2019) 7 03.161% 2192 Pet Sematary (2019) 8 02.892% 2006 The Curse of La Llorona 9 02.802% 1943 Dumbo (2019) 10 02.724% 1889 Us (2019) 11 02.675% 1855 Hellboy (2019) 12 02.216% 1537 Missing Link (2019) 13 01.614% 1119 Penguins (2019) 14 01.599% 1109 Kalank 15 01.365% 947 After (2019) 16 00.966% 670 The Pilgrims Progress 17 00.874% 606 John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum 18 00.539% 374 The Best of Enemies 19 00.366% 254 Pokémon Detective Pikachu 20 00.345% 239 Unplanned (2019) 21 00.319% 221 Five Feet Apart 22 00.284% 197 Ben-Hur 60th Anniversary (1959) presented by TCM 23 00.275% 191 Penguins 24 00.247% 171 Hotel Mumbai
Endgame outselling the next 22 films combined over the past 24 hours.
On track to hit that 35k target. I think it'll remain at ~1.5x IW until Sunday. After that I have no idea, but hopefully it gets a healthy release week bump.
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5 hours ago, jordantan29 said:
From Alibaba app all in RMB million
23th Midnight: 97.5 (29224)
24th: 118.8 (154112)
25th: 32.4 (109567)
26th: 41.8 (101641)
27th: 51.8 (92235)
28th: 13.8 (76805)
Total presales: 371
How accurate is it compared to Maoyan?
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2 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:
Saturday @ 930am
Hmm ok, in that case it would need to pick up the pace to be on course for a TFA-beating number (if your theater is representative)
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9 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:
Avengers: Endgame Current Previews Status -- April 17, 2019 @ 6:00pm -- 8 Days Remaining
AMC Prime -- Avg. Ticket Price -- $16.42
6:00pm -- 205/205 -- SOLD OUT
10:00pm -- 202/2052:00am -- 130/205
IMAX 3D -- Avg. Ticket Price -- $16.42
6:30pm -- 148/151
10:30pm -- 142/151
2:30am -- 45/151
Real 3D -- Avg. Ticket Price -- $14.47
6:15pm -- 49/60
6:45pm -- 60/60 -- SOLD OUT
7:30pm -- 107/125
8:00pm -- 62/76
8:45pm --60/60 -- SOLD OUT
9:45pm -- 26/44
10:25pm -- 44/60
10:45pm -- 25/60
11:30pm -- 53/125
12:00am -- 5/76
12:45am -- 2/601:50am -- 2/44
2:20am -- 0/60
Digital -- Avg. Ticket Price -- $10.97
6:00pm -- 71/766:10pm -- 42/44
6:20pm -- 96/125
7:00pm -- 134/147
7:10pm -- 35/44
7:15pm -- 64/76
7:45pm -- 50/60
7:50pm -- 34/44
8:15pm -- 36/44
8:30pm -- 63/76
9:00pm -- 123/147
9:30pm -- 33/44
10:10pm -- 28/44
10:15pm -- 61/76
10:20pm -- 93/125
11:00pm -- 113/147
11:10pm -- 20/44
11:15pm -- 58/76
11:45pm -- 45/60
11:50pm -- 20/44
12:15am -- 22/44
12:30am -- 36/76
1:00am -- 33/147
1:45am -- 5/44
2:10am -- 0/76
2:25am -- 4/147
Fan Event -- Ticket Price -- $20.00
5:00pm -- 147/147 -- SOLD OUT
TOTALS: 46 show times, 2833 tickets sold (+101) out of 4202 available (67.42%)
Estimated Gross: $38,890
Captain Marvel -- 30 show times, 1140 tickets sold out of 2734 available (41.7%) -- final tracking on Wednesday, March 6 @ 6:30pm CST
Infinity War -- 37 show times, 2449 tickets sold out of 3312 available (73.95%) -- final tracking on Wednesday, April 25 @ 8:30pm CSTTickets sold represents 248.5% of the tickets sold for Captain Marvel & 115.7% of the tickets sold for Infinity War through final tracking.
The +101 is from when?
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Dug around this thread around release week of Captain Marvel and found that 84,000 tickets sold on Pulse corresponded with about 3.9m in @Deep Wang numbers. So if Endgame was at 29.4 million on Friday then it should be ~33m today, should beat TFA and TLJ 36m by Friday, and assuming the Pulse multi drops to "only" equal to IW, should be about 48m by release
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https://www.telegraph.co.uk/films/0/uk-box-office-report-april-12-14-hellboy-freezes-dumbo-soars/
1.19 million tickets sold so far for Endgame as of Monday. Wonder how far it will increase in the next two weeks. TFA iirc was around 1.8 million? (not sure of the number) in release week Tuesday.
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On 4/15/2019 at 6:51 AM, VenomXXR said:
@Menor Can you run an update for your Cinemark tracking?
Have been pretty busy this week and forgot to do it for last weekend. I'll definitely have #s by Saturday night.
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What's up with Sunday sales? It was selling at a pretty decent pace compared to other days then suddenly froze.
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In the opening day presales tables that people post in this thread (like the one where Captain Marvel was ~70m), does that number include midnights?
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And already the Maoyan WTS seems to have had a massive acceleration
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My theater had about 26 showtimes for Friday and Saturday and 23 for Sunday before, now it's 39, 40, 36 each.
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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
in China At The Box Office
Posted
Panic aside, I'm surprised the growth rate didn't increase today. Hopefully it starts to see a bump tomorrow