Menor the Destroyer
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Posts posted by Menor the Destroyer
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1 hour ago, TheFlatLannister said:
Youtube:
Deadpool 3 - 1 day (1.2M likes, 23M views)
Joker 2 - 13 days (900k likes, 31M views)
GOTG 3 - 1 year (800k likes, 34M views)
MoM - 2 years (2.1M likes, 64M views)
Quantumania - 1 year (587k likes, 26M views)
Trailer views and likes doesn't mean much, but I do think it can act as a good indicator for anticipation.
I generally wouldn't compare trailer 1 to trailer 2 (for example you have GOTG3 trailer 1 here, but the second trailer for GOTG3 was much lower). To be fair DP3 YouTube metrics have been stable on YouTube from the first trailer, which happens from time to time usually when the second trailer has more/bigger reveals than the first, although other platforms are down which is also normal.
Generally speaking (accounting for the fact that YT views are down a bit relative to OWs since 2022) the YT metrics for this trailer seem to put it in a tier in between Thor 4 and DS2 as far as buzz goes. Non-YouTube platforms are very big but I tend to be a little skeptical of views from those since they are really easy to get.
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2 hours ago, HummingLemon496 said:
Yeah there's no way the OW is only 1.9x the OD
You disagreeing with Legion???
3 hours ago, HummingLemon496 said:Ok now this is pushing it a little. You're basically saying >235 weekend is more likely than <110
I think it's marginally more likely although wouldn't say either is very likely. Expecting OW in the 180s.
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517k likes in 3.5 hours on Reynolds channel. Should be biggest MCU second trailer since DS2.
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Yeah a fun transitional episode but very interested in the dynamic this set up.
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18 minutes ago, James said:
Don’t know where you get that, but Twitter alone has over 40m views only from the big english channels I see: WB, DC, JokerMovie, Lady Gaga and Discussing Film. That’s not even accounting for smaller channels or foreign WB accounts.
There are no views from DC because that is a retweet, and I didn't count DiscussingFilm since I was counting from only official accounts.
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Approximate 24h views (from main/official channels + Lady Gaga channels):
YouTube: 11m
Twitter: 16.6m
Insta: 40m
FB and TikTok seem low for this, <5m for both on the main channels+Gaga but I might be missing something.
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3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:
I would not compare these 2 movies. Even if they are both comic book, Audience base for 1st movie was not atypical CB movie. There are no CGI money shots or action sequences. It was a character drama. So I would not just look at trailer comps here.
First movie had huge trailer views though, I think it did worse domestically than you would expect with the kind of buzz it had. The franchise skews very heavily OS whereas Deadpool is relatively Dom heavy.
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35 minutes ago, eddyxx said:
over/under this outgrosing Deadpool 3 domestic?
Well under, trailer views are not even close to DP3, plus Joker skews much more OS than the Deadpool movies.
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One big hit doesn't make Joker more popular than Batman lmao. Let's see how much a solo Joker movie will do when he's had as many as Batman has.
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3 minutes ago, Last Man Standing said:
No clue if this is reliable, but since people were curious I thought I'd share.
Where on earth are these numbers from...it has 2.7m views between Gaga's channel and WB on Facebook, there's no way the total number is 70m. Looks like BS to me unless there's some verifiable proof.
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That was an intense couple of episodes.
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6 minutes ago, Schlorgan said:
Starting to think A or even A+ for Cinemascore is where we're gonna end up at this point
Certainly not A+
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1 hour ago, Brainbug said:
I think the combination of the goodwill from GvK + the lack of pure popcorn action films for months now + the current Godzilla rennaissance all played a role here.
And the nature of the MonsterVerse as well in my opinion: The main reason i think why the Series continues to be relevant is that in the 10 years since G14, theres now just been 5 movies and 1 TV show. Thats new content for the fans every 2 years and its probably a way more healthy format for a Cinemativ Universe. The Godzilla/Kong films have still not been overexposed to audiences and with a minimum of 2 years separating every installment, the new movie always feels like something special. Its the Anti-Marvel (especially Phase 4) format, if you will.
I see this argument a lot but... it isn't healthier, Marvel's format is leagues and leagues more successful, it's not even a comparison. I would argue the Monsterverse is not even really viewed as a cinematic universe by most audiences.
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6 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
I don't think there is anything abnormal happening here. It's a sequel to film which would have opened $90-110M, $70-80M OW is pretty much par course.
Inflation adj Monster Verse openings
G 2014 - 125
Skull Island - 75
KOTM - 58GvK (in normal times) - 90-110
That 90-110 seems low to me. But agreed that this isn't an unusual number.
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This movie is plenty flawed and is begging to be a 90 minute film with all the needless setup and exposition that takes up the human storyline but damn I had a huge grin on my face during a lot of the monster scenes, the climax is just so much fun. When it's good it's very, very good.
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4 minutes ago, Porthos said:
Hey, people have corrected me before on much more obscure things in my comps!
(values were probably low enough that it wasn't becoming apparent until just now)
((mostly I'm annoyed at myself for this when it comes right down to it))
I noticed it looked weirdly high but forgot to ask/didn't think too much of it.
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4 hours ago, WittyUsername said:
People always single out Bear McCreary’s score from KotM as being great, but let’s be honest, Akira Ifukube’s compositions did a lot of the heavy lifting.
Knowing when to reference preexisting themes is part of the job when you're scoring in a franchise.
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I wouldn't even really characterize Giacchino as hit or miss, his weaker scores are still pretty functional.
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56 minutes ago, Porthos said:
Not the only person to say that, but there's also a fair amount of debate if it was said character's motif or the person who was already in the episode.
FWIW, prior storytelling beats/ways they tell their stories in TBB does suggest you are right.
It sounded to me like the motif for the character shown rather than the character theorized.
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I have a soft spot for these types of episodes so this is one of my favorites of the season. Nice character work, fun action, advances the larger plot as well, good vibes all around.
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Looks pretty neat.
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13 minutes ago, Porthos said:
Obviously counting on the T-mobile deal to rescue GBFE. 😉
Look, while it might be more concentrated than some, thinking GBFE is gonna act like a late-arriving GA film isn't without reason.
On the other hand, with four large(-ish) films release in a short amount of time "middle child syndrome" had to be kept in mind as a possibility. It is true that technically movie going isn't a zero-sum game. At the same time family movie-going budget isn't infinite, so increased competition in such a short amount of time within relatively similar demos really should be kept in mind.
So could that Deadline range hit? Sure. Personally I'd take the under, but we won't really know how likely that is until we see review/social bump + T-mobile bump.
I mean technically anything can get good walkups, but Afterlife wasn't anything impressive and demographically Ghostbusters doesn't really fit with the type of film to get good walkups, I don't see any particular reason for this to be an exception.
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Another solid couple of episodes, Crosshair being back with the squad is so refreshing. This season is definitely much more cohesive but I do miss the more episodic/varied nature of the previous seasons a bit. Do enjoy that this first half of the season has set up a ton of stuff that's gonna make the back half a hell of a payoff.
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12 minutes ago, Legion Again said:
Look if you wanna sell “Turning White” to the boys in marketing, be my guest
Turning Giant
DEADPOOL & WOLVERINE | 07.26.2024 | Disney | latest trailer on page 76
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
If there were doubts about a 100M opening after the first trailer then there really shouldn't have been.