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Sue Denim

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Everything posted by Sue Denim

  1. Makes me feel more confident that this will crawl to 900M.
  2. I am bummed about the release date change, because JC is responsible for two of my favorite movies (Aliens & Terminator 1) and I wanted to see more from him... that being said, the timing of the announcement was just perfect, coming on the heels of one poster willing to bet money that this would come out in 2020.
  3. That sounds reasonable. Still trying to get the hang of this. Maybe this would be a better projection: Mon 10.7 -76% Tue 13.9 +30% Wed 9.5 -32% Thu 9.0 -5% Weekdays: 43.1 Fri 18.4 +105% Sat 30.6 +66% Sun 20.2 -34% Weekend: 69.2 Total after 3rd WE: 733.5
  4. With 736-740M total after the next weekend, this is going to leg it out past 900M.
  5. I'm projecting a strong Tuesday increase. I think the little differences are all going to get us to the same place, around 45 million weekdays.
  6. I figured 35% was a normal Tuesday increase for a movie in it's 3rd weekend. Thought about using Captain Marvel as a comp but that increased 47% on it's 3rd Tuesday. What was A:IW's increase at this point in it's run?
  7. Projecting conservatively for the week: Mon 10.7 Tue 14.7 Wed 10.0 Thu 9.2 Fri 18.80 Sat 31.21 Sun 20.60 2nd WE: 70.6 -52% Total after 2nd Weekend: 736.40
  8. I never saw Titanic in a theater, but after watching it on HBO during a work trip, I wish I had. I'll watch it any time/anywhere it shows up. And for the record, Kate's boobs (and everything else) are spectacular!!
  9. Your post made me chuckle, because I was just thinking the same thing. For me, not only did I get the epic movie I wanted, and a spectacular opening weekend, but now I get to read about how the second weekend (which is going to be the biggest weekend of May) is a disappointment.
  10. Thought I would check out my local theater to see how things look tonight for both Avengers and The Longshot. Here are the shows that are left for tonight. Walk ups should be heavy at my theater. A:EG 2D 6:05 162 209 77.51% 6:40 167 209 79.90% 7:00 137 155 88.39% 7:30 122 154 79.22% 8:00 142 152 93.42% 9:00 77 97 79.38% 9:20 75 152 49.34% 9:50 12 209 5.74% 10:30 10 209 4.78% 10:45 24 155 15.48% 3D 6:20 39 60 65.00% 8:30 38 100 38.00% 1005 1861 54.00% Longshot 6:45 49 100 49.00% 7:45 40 98 40.82% 9:30 10 100 10.00% 10:30 0 98 0.00% 99 396 25.00%
  11. That's where I see it landing. Fri 44.16 (+105%) 64.91 (+47%) 50.63 (-22%) 2nd Weekend: 159.7 (-55%) Total after 2nd WE: 633.57
  12. Been checking the business at my local theater for A:EG and the late afternoon through evening shows are all going strong. Anecdotal to be sure, but I'm still going with: Fri 44.16 (+105%) 64.91 (+47%) 50.63 (-22%) 2nd Weekend: 159.7 (-55%) Total after 2nd WE: 633.57
  13. 117M Weekdays during a non-holiday work week is a MONSTER haul. The floor for the weekend will be 151M, with a lower-than-normal 95% bump for Friday and a 25% decrease for Sunday. At worst, it will be sitting at $625M after the weekend.
  14. Sorry. You're right. Just a bit much sometimes.
  15. A 24% drop from Tuesday to Wednesday to 25.2M, just like Charlie said. Number keeps bumping up today. Can the actual go up a little more?? Thursday: 23.1 (-8.5%) Total Weekdays: 118.3!!! I think the second weekend gonna be 163M (-54%)
  16. Wednesday number is higher than my earlier prediction so...yay!! Opening weekend: 357.12 Mon 36.9 Tue 33.1 Wed 25.0 (-24.5%) Thu 22.9 (-8.5%) Total Weekdays: 117.9 Fri 44.60 (+95%) Sat 66.90 (+50%) Sun 50.18 (-25%) 2nd Weekend: 161.7 (-55%) Total after 2nd WE: 636.69
  17. That would be great. I'm erring on the low side for this weekend. I think any number above 150 million for a second weekend would be amazing!!
  18. I'm still thinking with the 33.1 actual number: Wed 23.8 (-28%) Thu 22.2 (-7%) Fri 42.12 (+90%) Sat 65.29 (+50%) Sun 48.97 (-25%) 2nd Weekend: 156.4 (-56%)
  19. If I may ask, are you using pre-sales data to reach this conclusion, or are using other films as a basis of modeling?? That seems like a too-good-to-be-true kind of hold.
  20. Updating my prediction with Charlie's Tuesday number: 1st Weekend: 357.12 Mon 36.9 Tue 33.0 Wed 23.8 (-28%) Thu 22.1 (-7%) Total Weekdays: 115.8 Fri 41.98 (+90%) 65.08 (+50%) 48.81 (-25%) 2nd Weekend: 155.9 (-57%) Total after 2nd WE: 628.74
  21. How about this math for the weekend?? 357.12 Mon 36.9 Tue 34.5 Wed 24.8 (-28%) Thu 23.1 (-7%) Weekdays 119.3 Fri 43.9 (+90%) Sat 65.8 (+50%) Sun 49.4 (-25%) Weekend 159.1 (-55%) TOTAL 635.6
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